Laidback Al
Well-known member
from CDC Presentation: Pandemic Preparedness August 8, 2006
<DIR>The seasonality of a pandemic cannot be predicted with certainty.
Susceptibility to pandemic influenza will be universal.
Overall, 30% of the population will become ill.
50% of those who are ill will seek outpatient medical care.
The number of hospitalizations and deaths will depend on the virulence of the pandemic virus.
Risk groups for severe and fatal infections cannot be predicted with certainty.
</DIR>
<DIR>The typical incubation period for influenza averages 2 days.
Persons who become ill may transmit infection for one-half to one day before the onset of illness.
On average about 2 secondary infections will occur as a result of transmission from someone who is ill.
In an affected community, a pandemic outbreak will last about 6 to 8 weeks.
Work/school absenteeism may be as high as 40% at the peak.
At least two pandemic disease waves are likely.
</DIR>
<DIR>
</DIR>
Planning Assumptions in the US (l)
<DIR>The seasonality of a pandemic cannot be predicted with certainty.
Susceptibility to pandemic influenza will be universal.
Overall, 30% of the population will become ill.
50% of those who are ill will seek outpatient medical care.
The number of hospitalizations and deaths will depend on the virulence of the pandemic virus.
Risk groups for severe and fatal infections cannot be predicted with certainty.
</DIR>
Planning Assumptions in the US (ll)
<DIR>The typical incubation period for influenza averages 2 days.
Persons who become ill may transmit infection for one-half to one day before the onset of illness.
On average about 2 secondary infections will occur as a result of transmission from someone who is ill.
In an affected community, a pandemic outbreak will last about 6 to 8 weeks.
Work/school absenteeism may be as high as 40% at the peak.
At least two pandemic disease waves are likely.
</DIR>
<DIR>
pdf file of Powerpoint presentation:
View attachment PanFlu??_nsmith_v2.pdf
Hat-tip to Hawkeye: all CDC presentations are at:
http://www.bt.cdc.gov/coca/callinfo.asp
View attachment PanFlu??_nsmith_v2.pdf
Hat-tip to Hawkeye: all CDC presentations are at:
http://www.bt.cdc.gov/coca/callinfo.asp
</DIR>