Call for extreme measures to strengthen "Hilary" The category four hurricane rains and waves generated

[Tonka]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201109.public.html

Statement as of 5:00 am PDT on September 22, 2011
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...Hilary near hurricane strength...


summary of 500 am PDT...1200 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...15.0n 98.6w
about 90 mi...145 km S of punto maldonado Mexico
maximum sustained winds...70 mph...110 km/h
present movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h
minimum central pressure...991 mb...29.26 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

none.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Lagunas de chacahua Mexico westward to Punta San Telmo

a tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* west of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo

for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your National meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 500 am PDT...1200 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Hilary was
located near latitude 15.0 north...longitude 98.6 west. Hilary is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph...15 km/h...and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 to 48
hours. On the forecast track the core of Hilary will continue to
move parallel to the southwest coast of Mexico...but any deviation
to the north of the track could bring stronger winds to the coast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/h...with higher
gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next 48
hours. Hilary is forecast to become a hurricane today and could
become a major hurricane by Saturday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb...29.26 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm force winds are expected to first reach the
warning area later this morning...and then spread westward along the
coast during the next 24 to 36 hours.

Rainfall...Hilary is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5
inches across southern Guerrero and southwestern Oaxaca in southern
Mexico with isolated amounts of 10 inches possible.
Surf...swells generated by Hilary are affecting portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.


Next advisory
-------------
next complete advisory...800 am PDT.

$$
Forecaster cangialosi/Pasch

 

[Tonka]

Re: Pacific Coast of Mexico:Hilary is now a hurricane...additional strengthening expected

Re: Pacific Coast of Mexico:Hilary is now a hurricane...additional strengthening expected

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201109.public.html

Statement as of 8:00 am PDT on September 22, 2011
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...Hilary is now a hurricane...additional strengthening expected...


summary of 800 am PDT...1500 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...15.1n 98.9w
about 140 mi...225 km SSE of Acapulco Mexico
maximum sustained winds...75 mph...120 km/h
present movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 10 mph...17 km/h
minimum central pressure...989 mb...29.21 inches


watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

none.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Lagunas de chacahua Mexico westward to Punta San Telmo

a tropical storm watch is in effect for...
* west of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo

for storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your National meteorological service.


Discussion and 48-hour outlook
------------------------------
at 800 am PDT...1500 UTC...the center of Hurricane Hilary was
located near latitude 15.1 north...longitude 98.9 west. Hilary is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph...17 km/h...and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next 24 to 48
hours. On the forecast track the core of Hilary will continue to
move parallel to the southwest coast of Mexico...but any deviation
to the north of the track could bring stronger winds to the coast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph...120 km/h...with higher
gusts. Hilary is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
hurricane wind scale. Additional strengthening is expected during
the next 48 hours...and Hilary could become a major hurricane by
Friday night.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles...30 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 75
miles...120 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb...29.21 inches.


Hazards affecting land
----------------------
wind...tropical storm force winds are beginning to reach the coast
within the warning area. These winds are expected to spread
westward along the coast during the next 24 to 36 hours.

Rainfall...Hilary is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5
inches across southern Guerrero and southwestern Oaxaca in southern
Mexico with isolated amounts of 10 inches possible.

Surf...swells generated by Hilary are affecting portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.


Next advisory
-------------
next intermediate advisory...1100 am PDT.
Next complete advisory...200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster cangialosi/Pasch

 

[Tonka]

Re: Pacific Coast of Mexico:Hilary near hurricane strength

Re: Pacific Coast of Mexico:Hilary near hurricane strength

http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/estados/82189.html

Spanish to English translation

Call for extreme measures to strengthen "Hilary"
The category four hurricane rains and waves generated

DANGER. The port of Acapulco was closed to small vessels to the high waves forecast (Photo: ADRIANA COVARRUBIAS EL UNIVERSAL)


Friday September 23, 2011
Edgar Avila and Roberto BarbozaCorresponsales | El Universal


XALAPA

Runoff generated in the mountain regions of the Southeast by the effects of Hurricane Hilary, who rose to category four, continue to increase the flow of major rivers of southern Veracruz and Tabasco central, which already exceeded their "level critical "and threatening to flood affected with a score of municipalities in both states.

At press time, the Early Warning System to Hurricane Hilary placed that on the afternoon of Thursday passed a category four on the Saffir-Simpson, 155 kilometers southwest of Acapulco, Guerrero, to shift to the northwest, with winds of 205 kilometers and gusts of 250 kilometers.

The phenomenon generates storms and heavy rains to torrential bodies of Oaxaca, Guerrero and Michoacan, with high waves even in the state of Colima.

According to the forecast, although Hurricane Hilary is situated on the southern coast of Guerrero, circulation remain strong atmospheric instability with the possibility of heavy rain over the Southeast. "

Flood Risk

The Gulf Basin Agency Centre National Water Commission (Conagua) reported that growth in the rivers flow and Uxpanapa Coatzacoalcos, which exceeded their critical scale fed by the rains of tropical depression 9 parked on the state of Oaxaca, threaten seven municipalities of Veracruz.

Also due to the rains on the territory of Tabasco and northern Chiapas, four rivers are out of their beds and seven continue gradually raising their levels, but have not exceeded their critical scale.

In its latest report, the National Water Commission said that under the constant monitoring Coatzacoalcos river flow grew 51 inches in the last 24 hours to go from one level of 8.88 meters 9.38 meters on Wednesday to Thursday, 85 inches on its critical level.

The authorities advised extreme caution and monitor the course of Coatzacoalcos to its mouth, especially in the villages adjoining the municipalities of Jesus Carranza, Hidalgotitlan, Texistepec, J?ltipan, Cosoleacaque and Minatitlan.

Uxpanapa River in the municipality of Las Choapas, recorded a level of 11 meters and 29 centimeters, 29 centimeters above its critical range, and the anticipated Conagua some area roads may be interrupted.

In Tabasco, the floods Pichucalco, La Sierra, Tulij? and Usumacinta, and low-lying areas were flooded grassland and pastures, where farmers and their livestock had been removed. In the city of Villahermosa was recorded yesterday in heavy rain collapsed drains and numerous streets were flooded and cars were stranded, authorities reported.

Close monitoring

In Colima, Civil Protection reported that maintains close monitoring Hilary path is expected to maintain a route parallel to the Mexican coast, causing showers and thunderstorms from Oaxaca to Michoacan, Colima affecting the coast from the early hours of Saturday and even part of Monday.

Civil Protection also forecast strong winds, high waves to exceed three meters in height, strong surf and rip currents, which has begun to recommend people be aware of the information generated, mainly residents of Colima's coastal zone and upland areas, because in case of rain it is possible that generated landslides in the mountainous area of ​​the entity.