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BMJ: Predictors of severe H1N1 infection in children presenting within Pediatric Emergency Research Networks (PERN): retrospective case-control study

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Predictors of severe H1N1 infection in children presenting within Pediatric Emergency Research Networks (PERN): retrospective case-control study
BMJ 2013; 347 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.f4836 (Published 12 August 2013)
Cite this as: BMJ 2013;347:f4836



Stuart R Dalziel, paediatrician12,
John MD Thompson, senior research fellow2,
Charles G Macias, associate professor3,
Ricardo M Fernandes, paediatrician4,
David W Johnson, professor5,
Yehezkel Waisman, professor6,
Nicholas Cheng, paediatrician7,
Jason Acworth, paediatrician8,
James M Chamberlain, professor9,
Martin H Osmond, professor10,
Amy Plint, associate professor10,
Paolo Valerio, paediatrician11,
Karen JL Black, paediatrician12,
Eleanor Fitzpatrick, research coordinator12,
Amanda S Newton, assistant professor13,
Nathan Kuppermann, professor14,
Terry P Klassen, professor15
for the Pediatric Emergency Research Networks (PERN) H1N1 working group

Author Affiliations

Correspondence to: S R Dalziel sdalziel@adhb.govt.nz

Accepted 22 July 2013

Abstract

Objective To identify historical and clinical findings at emergency department presentation associated with severe H1N1 outcome in children presenting with influenza-like illness.

Design Multicentre retrospective case-control study.

Setting 79 emergency departments of hospitals associated with the Pediatric Emergency Research Networks in 12 countries.

Participants 265 children (<16 years), presenting between 16 April and 31 December 2009, who fulfilled Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria for influenza-like illness and developed severe outcomes from laboratory confirmed H1N1 infection. For each case, two controls presenting with influenza-like illness but without severe outcomes were included: one random control and one age matched control.

Main outcome measures Severe outcomes included death or admission to intensive care for assisted ventilation, inotropic support, or both. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to compare cases and controls, with effect sizes measured as adjusted odds ratios.

Results 151 (57%) of the 265 cases were male, the median age was 6 (interquartile range 2.3-10.0) years, and 27 (10%) died. Six factors were associated with severe outcomes in children presenting with influenza-like illness: history of chronic lung disease (odds ratio 10.3, 95% confidence interval 1.5 to 69.8), history of cerebral palsy/developmental delay (10.2, 2.0 to 51.4), signs of chest retractions (9.6, 3.2 to 29.0), signs of dehydration (8.8, 1.6 to 49.3), requirement for oxygen (5.8, 2.0 to 16.2), and tachycardia relative to age).

Conclusion These independent risk factors may alert clinicians to children at risk of severe outcomes when presenting with influenza-like illness during future pandemics.


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