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Avian Influenza: Exploring All the Avenues

Snowy Owl

Retired in 2010, In Memoriam
[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif]Avian Influenza: Exploring All the Avenues[/FONT][/FONT]

Annals of Internal Medicine - [FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]17 October 2006 | Volume 145 Issue 8

http://www.annals.org/cgi/content/full/0000605-200610170-00140v1

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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]As the clock continues to tick, health officials worldwide are<sup> </sup>scrambling to find viable means to head off the next pandemic.<sup> </sup>To date (9 August 2006), 236 recognized cases of avian (H5N1)<sup> </sup>influenza virus infections have occurred in humans, resulting<sup> </sup>in 138 deaths. New human cases are now being detected in Thailand<sup> </sup>after initial hope that the disease had been controlled there.<sup> </sup>The vast majority of these cases have been the result of transmission<sup> </sup>directly to humans from infected birds, although person-to-person<sup> </sup>transmission has occurred in a few instances.

The potential<sup> </sup>for these avian viruses to completely bridge the species barrier<sup> </sup>and acquire the ability to spread between humans is unclear;<sup> </sup>recent experiments suggest that adaptation to mammals may be<sup> </sup>complex (1). However, if at some point this virus, or some other<sup> </sup>influenza virus with a novel hemagglutinin or neuraminidase,<sup> </sup>does emerge as a human-to-human pathogen, the world will confront<sup> </sup>an extremely severe public health threat.

<sup> </sup>[/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT] [FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]Our options for combating an H5N1 pandemic are limited. Vaccines<sup> </sup>will represent the ultimate method of control but, given the<sup> </sup>limits of current vaccine production technology, may not be<sup> </sup>available in time to prevent the first wave of pandemic cases.<sup> </sup>In addition, for reasons that are not clear, effective immunization<sup> </sup>using conventional inactivated vaccines will require relatively<sup> </sup>high doses, which will reduce vaccine availability during a<sup> </sup>pandemic (2, 3). Antiviral agents have some promise.
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]Most of<sup> </sup>the attention has focused on the neuraminidase inhibitor oseltamivir,<sup> </sup>because early isolates of H5N1 viruses were resistant to the<sup> </sup>adamantanes (4). Effective use of oseltamivir in a pandemic<sup> </sup>will present significant supply and logistical hurdles, and<sup> </sup>we do not understand fully the appropriate dose and duration<sup> </sup>of therapy (5) or the influenza virus's potential to develop<sup> </sup>resistance. Clearly, we urgently need additional, alternative<sup> </sup>approaches.[/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT]

[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]This issue contains news of an alternative approach from an<sup> </sup>unlikely source: research reports published shortly after the<sup> </sup>1918 pandemic. In a thorough review and analysis of the historical<sup> </sup>literature, Luke and colleagues (6) document the effects of<sup> </sup>passive immunotherapy. They found 8 studies that evaluated the<sup> </sup>effects of therapy with serum or plasma from convalescent patients<sup> </sup>on the course of clinically diagnosed influenza pneumonia during<sup> </sup>the 1918 Spanish influenza pandemic.
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]Although the quality of<sup> </sup>these studies was relatively poor by modern standards, they<sup> </sup>all reached similar conclusions. In 6 of these studies, treatment<sup> </sup>was compared with a control group that received standard care,<sup> </sup>and in each of these reports, the mortality rate was lower in<sup> </sup>treated patients, although the decrease was statistically significant<sup> </sup>in only 3 reports. Two of the studies also compared the outcomes<sup> </sup>in those who received early treatment and those who received<sup> </sup>late treatment.
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]An additional 2 reports compared early and late<sup> </sup>therapy but did not have an untreated control group. These studies<sup> </sup>demonstrated that only those who received early intervention<sup> </sup>experienced a beneficial effect of serum therapy, which is consistent<sup> </sup>with reports of serotherapy for other human infectious diseases.<sup> </sup>Luke and colleagues discarded multiple other reports that did<sup> </sup>not meet the methodologic criteria for inclusion in their meta-analysis.<sup> </sup>These weaker studies also supported the hypothesis that passive<sup> </sup>serotherapy was useful in treating Spanish influenza.[/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT]

[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]Would a similar approach be effective and feasible in the event<sup> </sup>of a pandemic of H5N1 influenza? Passive immunotherapy to treat<sup> </sup>infection with influenza viruses, including H5N1, has been effective<sup> </sup>in a mouse model. Other viral diseases offer ample precedent:<sup> </sup>Passive antibody prevents many human viral diseases, including<sup> </sup>varicella, rabies, hepatitis A and B, and respiratory syncytial<sup> </sup>virus (RSV). [/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]However, the distinction between prevention of<sup> </sup>disease and treatment of active disease is important. Few recent<sup> </sup>data support the use of passive antibody therapeutically after<sup> </sup>disease manifestations have already begun. For example, although<sup> </sup>passive antibody is highly effective at prevention of RSV infection<sup> </sup>in high-risk infants, systemic administration of antibody with<sup> </sup>high levels of RSV neutralizing activity is not useful therapeutically<sup> </sup>in infants with RSV disease (7).[/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT]

[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]Nevertheless, the concept is important and it should be explored<sup> </sup>further, especially given our lack of proven interventions to<sup> </sup>prevent or treat illness due to H5N1 influenza. The use of serum<sup> </sup>from recovered patients as the source of antibody for passive<sup> </sup>immunotherapy has the advantage of being technically simple,<sup> </sup>and ample numbers of convalescing patients should be available<sup> </sup>for plasmapheresis. The resulting antibody would be polyclonal,<sup> </sup>which would decrease the chance of an escape mutant developing<sup> </sup>in treated patients. The serum also might have antibody to other<sup> </sup>bacterial pathogens, which might decrease the severity of coexisting<sup> </sup>bacterial superinfections (a mechanism that may account for<sup> </sup>some of the efficacy of serotherapy in 1918). Balanced against<sup> </sup>these optimistic considerations are several major concerns.<sup> </sup>Formidable logistical hurdles would complicate the ability to<sup> </sup>obtain, characterize, and prepare these materials for use in<sup> </sup>the midst of an outbreak. As yet, we don't know if patients<sup> </sup>who recover from H5N1 influenza develop particularly high levels<sup> </sup>of antibody (8).
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]Other types of antibody preparations might<sup> </sup>be more effective, such as pools of serum with high titers of<sup> </sup>antibody generated from individuals who had received vaccines.<sup> </sup>With the recent advances in antibody technology, rapid production<sup> </sup>of humanized monoclonal antibodies with neutralizing activity<sup> </sup>is possible (9).
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]We lack sufficient understanding of the immune<sup> </sup>response to H5N1 infection in humans, as well as the potentially<sup> </sup>protective humoral and cellular responses associated with recovery<sup> </sup>from disease. We don't know the level of antibody that needs<sup> </sup>to be achieved to confer protection or the appropriate dose<sup> </sup>of serum needed to achieve useful antibody levels in recipients.<sup> </sup>The evidence supporting serotherapy in humans appears to be<sup> </sup>limited to the experience in 1918.[/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT]

[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]We can, should, and must explore these issues about serotherapy<sup> </sup>now, in advance of the pandemic. We could evaluate the effectiveness<sup> </sup>of transfusing high-titered plasma for the treatment of immunocompromised<sup> </sup>patients with severe influenza, a situation in which prolonged<sup> </sup>shedding of influenza viruses often occurs and development of<sup> </sup>resistance to antiviral agents is common (10).

Ultimately proving<sup> </sup>the concept of serotherapy for treatment of severe H5N1 in advance<sup> </sup>of a pandemic would require the development of infrastructure<sup> </sup>and protocols for controlled trials of therapy in regions of<sup> </sup>the world where such infections are currently occurring. We<sup> </sup>urgently need more coordination of clinical research among institutions<sup> </sup>in countries currently experiencing cases (11). Although many<sup> </sup>logistical hurdles exist, controlled clinical studies done now<sup> </sup>will probably pay a considerable dividend when the pandemic<sup> </sup>begins.

[/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif]<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><th align="left" valign="middle" width="95%">[FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=+2] References [/SIZE][/FONT]<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" height="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#009982" height="1" width="100%">
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[SIZE=-1] <!-- null -->[/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]1. Maines TR, Chen LM, Matsuoka Y, Chen H, Rowe T, Ortin J, et al. Lack of transmission of H5N1 avian-human reassortant influenza viruses in a ferret model. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006;103:12121-6. [PMID: 16880383].<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2006:0000605-200610170-00140:1" --><nobr>[Abstract/Free Full Text]</nobr>[/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]<nobr>
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]4. Li KS, Guan Y, Wang J, Smith GJ, Xu KM, Duan L, et al. Genesis of a highly pathogenic and potentially pandemic H5N1 influenza virus in eastern Asia. Nature. 2004;430:209-13. [PMID: 15241415].<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2006:0000605-200610170-00140:4" -->[Medline][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]5. Yen HL, Monto AS, Webster RG, Govorkova EA. Virulence may determine the necessary duration and dosage of oseltamivir treatment for highly pathogenic A/Vietnam/1203/04 influenza virus in mice. J Infect Dis. 2005;192:665-72. [PMID: 16028136].<!-- HIGHWIRE ID="0:2006:0000605-200610170-00140:5" -->[Medline][/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]
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[FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]6. Luke TC, Kilbane EM, Jackson JL, Hoffman SL. Meta-analysis: convalescent blood products for Spanish influenza pneumonia: a future H5N1 treatment? Ann Intern Med. 2006;145:000-000.[/SIZE][/FONT][/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=verdana,arial,helvetica,sans-serif][SIZE=-1][FONT=arial, verdana, helvetica, sans-serif][SIZE=-1]
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