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Australia: Swine flu 'more worrying' than bird flu

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/04/27/2553670.htm

An Australian infectious diseases expert says the threat from an outbreak of swine flu is greater than bird flu.

The probable death toll in Mexico from the outbreak has risen to 103 people, Health Minister Jose Angel Cordova has told Mexican television.

The outbreak of a new strain of flu in Mexico in the last few days has stoked fears of a global epidemic as new cases crop up in the United States and Canada.

Possible infections are also being checked in Europe, Israel and New Zealand.

Professor Paul Kelly from the Australian National University says swine flu is more worrying to humans than bird flu because it has the potential to spread to more people.

"It doesn't seem to have as high a fatality rate as avian influenza but it does seem to be more easily spread and rather rapidly," he said.

"In terms of an epidemic, for the virus to be able to spread it's actually better for the virus for humans to remain alive because that can spread it more quickly and to a greater extent."

Professor Kelly said while swine flu had claimed many lives in Mexico, there had been no deaths elsewhere.

Those killed have been generally young and otherwise healthy.

"It's not the typical people that are a greatest risk during a normal flu season," he said.

Anti-viral drugs working
Meanwhile, Australian medical experts say that existing vaccines are unlikely to be effective against an outbreak of swine flu, but anti-viral drugs can help to combat it.

Health officials have given advice about the outbreak to GPs and hospital emergency departments and want any suspected cases to be reported to authorities.

The nation's chief medical officer Professor Jim Bishop says Australia is well-equipped to cope if the virus continues to spread.

The World Health Organisation Influenza Centre's Doctor Ian Barr says current vaccines are unlikely to work, but evidence from overseas shows that anti-viral drugs have helped.

"In the initial reports from the US from the CDC [Centre for Disease Control], the seven strains of their swine influenza were all susceptible to the influenza drugs such as Tamiflu and Relenza," he said.

"They weren't susceptible to the older class of drug."

An Australian flu expert says that it is highly likely an outbreak of swine flu will become a global pandemic.

Professor Greg Tannock says the likelihood that the virus will spread worldwide.

"I'd say reasonably high, but just how virilent it'll be we don't know," he said.

"This is something that'll play itself out over the next six months, especially in the southern hemisphere with the flu season coming along."

Local response
Stricter surveillance measures will be imposed on people travelling from the Americas to Australia in response to the outbreak.

From midnight, the captains of all planes landing in Australia from the Americas will have to provide a report to the Quarantine Service on the health of all those on board.

Any passengers with flu-like symptoms will be seen by a Quarantine officer, who will check if medical attention is needed.

The Federal Government says the measures have been recommended by the chief medical officer.

The Government says travel advisories may also be changed as events unfold overseas.

A hotline will be set up for people with questions about the swine flu outbreak.

Authorities say five people in New South Wales and two people in Queensland - who'd been to the US and Mexico - have been tested for the virus.

The Greens want all passengers at international airports to be screened to guard against the spread of the disease.

'We're prepared'
A Western Australian health official says previous influenza scares have helped Australian health departments prepare for any new outbreak.

WA's chief health officer Dr Tarun Weeramanthri has told the ABC1's News Breakfast program that although the 2002 SARS outbreak did not reach Australia, health departments learnt from the situation.

"The public may have forgotten that epidemic but I think professionals haven't," he said.

"All of that experience is still deep in our system and in fact, it's been really reassuring on the weekend.

"We've been meeting regularly, we've got very very good experts around the country putting their heads together to [assess] what's appropriate at this stage."
 
Re: Australia: Swine flu 'more worrying' than bird flu

Because avian influenza H5N1 isn't disappeared from the world, I ask for caution before drawing any conclusion about the possible morbidity and mortality caused by this novel influenza A virus (A/California/2009).
 
Re: Australia: Swine flu 'more worrying' than bird flu

if only we could stop the media from drawing conclusions :)
 
Re: Australia: Swine flu 'more worrying' than bird flu

swine flu is more worrying to humans than bird flu

Given that we haven't experienced the full potential of either strain, I'm surprised an educator would make that statement.

hopefully, the reporter took it out of context or had a slight misunderstanding.

.
 
Re: Australia: Swine flu 'more worrying' than bird flu

May I add a little to the confusion :D :

this morning the leading virus expert in the Netherlands, dr Osterhaus, said something like: the name "swine flu" is not accurate. in fact it is avian flu .



It seems to me it is too early to evaluate the current outbreak . In a few weeks we will know more. And who knows: a 2nd wave after the summer?
 
Re: Australia: Swine flu 'more worrying' than bird flu

the name "swine flu" is not accurate. in fact it is avian flu .

Now people will ascribe all the H5N1 characteristics to this "swine flu."

.
 
Re: Australia: Swine flu 'more worrying' than bird flu

Now people will ascribe all the H5N1 characteristics to this "swine flu."
.
#6/7

We wieved this 2 days some media/country tryings to name it pig pest, an classic initial escamotage to divert the attention from its human transmisibility to the old known animal only pig pest, to try to downplaying that as the avian flu now mainly confined to poultry (with couvert cases not in the TV media for years).

But that masquerade fails the same day when it became clear that it spreading as a pandemic, precisely as warn us Dr. Niman with his suggestion of being in phase 6 (Thank You Dr. Niman).

Now, I think I did not see any incongruence in the above cited statements. Why?

Because seems to floating out that we have already some form of bird flu into this chimera - with the famous "chick" part of the virus.
And maybe because of that bf component it is sensitive (for now, maybe, but how long) to oseltamivir.

At the same time it is also a "piggy", one part, so it can be named swine flu.

But definitively it is human to human to human (parents in NZ illnessed), so the last chance that this would be only an 2nd hand infections from mex., and not H2H2H, now is vanished.

So, it is the 3 headed beast highjacking further now on the whole planet, and it spreaded at plain speed.

And this is why the prof. make the statement that is more worying than bf, because it had already and bf part, but diferently from the actual AH5N1, this chimera have all it need to spread sustained worldwide - and if could do it very well on grounds worldwide, some folks give it an helping hand by plains.
So it is an pandemic virus now.

But I agree with many of you that it can got by overcruising the planet now, the great possibility of take on the ride into itself the dreaded AH5N1 deadly component, and that would be the real doomsday chimera which would be much more worst that the swine flu.

Good thing is that it is weakened now, but the next phases or strains now could be very tricky to us, as we know.
 
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