tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2014 Apr;5(2):101-7. doi: 10.1016/j.phrp.2014.03.003. Epub 2014 Apr 2.
Assessment of the intensive countermeasures in the 2009 pandemic influenza in Korea.
Choi JH1, Kim Y2, Choe S3, Lee S3.
Author information
Abstract
OBJECTIVES:
It is critical to implement effective multiple countermeasures to mitigate or retain the spread of pandemic influenza. We propose a mathematical pandemic influenza model to assess the effectiveness of multiple countermeasures implemented in 2009.
METHODS:
Age-specific parameters, including the transmission rate, the proportion of asymptomatic individuals, the vaccination rate, the social distancing rate, and the antiviral treatment rate are estimated using the least-square method calibrated to the incidence data.
RESULTS:
The multiple interventions (intensive vaccination, social distancing, antivrial treatment) were successfully implemented resulting in the dramatic reduction in the total number of incidence.
CONCLUSION:
The model output is sensitive to age-specific parameters and this leads to the fact that a more elaborate age group model should be developed and extensive further studies must be followed.
KEYWORDS:
2009 pandemic influenza in the Republic of Korea; age-specific vaccination; antiviral treatment; social distancing
PMID:
24955320
[PubMed]
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24955320
Assessment of the intensive countermeasures in the 2009 pandemic influenza in Korea.
Choi JH1, Kim Y2, Choe S3, Lee S3.
Author information
Abstract
OBJECTIVES:
It is critical to implement effective multiple countermeasures to mitigate or retain the spread of pandemic influenza. We propose a mathematical pandemic influenza model to assess the effectiveness of multiple countermeasures implemented in 2009.
METHODS:
Age-specific parameters, including the transmission rate, the proportion of asymptomatic individuals, the vaccination rate, the social distancing rate, and the antiviral treatment rate are estimated using the least-square method calibrated to the incidence data.
RESULTS:
The multiple interventions (intensive vaccination, social distancing, antivrial treatment) were successfully implemented resulting in the dramatic reduction in the total number of incidence.
CONCLUSION:
The model output is sensitive to age-specific parameters and this leads to the fact that a more elaborate age group model should be developed and extensive further studies must be followed.
KEYWORDS:
2009 pandemic influenza in the Republic of Korea; age-specific vaccination; antiviral treatment; social distancing
PMID:
24955320
[PubMed]
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24955320