Shiloh
Editor, Senior Moderator
Source: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/eci.13484
Assessing Mandatory Stay‐at‐Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID‐19
Eran Bendavid
Christopher Oh
Jay Bhattacharya
John P.A. Ioannidis
First published: 05 January 2021
https://doi.org/10.1111/eci.13484
This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process, which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as doi:10.1111/eci.13484
Abstract
Background and Aims
The most restrictive non‐pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for controlling the spread of COVID‐19 are mandatory stay‐at‐home and business closures. Given the consequences of these policies, it is important to assess their effects. We evaluate the effects on epidemic case growth of more restrictive NPIs (mrNPIs), above and beyond those of less restrictive NPIs (lrNPIs)...
Conclusions
While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less restrictive interventions.
Assessing Mandatory Stay‐at‐Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID‐19
Eran Bendavid
Christopher Oh
Jay Bhattacharya
John P.A. Ioannidis
First published: 05 January 2021
https://doi.org/10.1111/eci.13484
This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process, which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as doi:10.1111/eci.13484
Abstract
Background and Aims
The most restrictive non‐pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for controlling the spread of COVID‐19 are mandatory stay‐at‐home and business closures. Given the consequences of these policies, it is important to assess their effects. We evaluate the effects on epidemic case growth of more restrictive NPIs (mrNPIs), above and beyond those of less restrictive NPIs (lrNPIs)...
Conclusions
While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less restrictive interventions.