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Asia Pac J Public Health . A Year Trend Analysis and Spatial Distribution of COVID-19 Cases in Nepal

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Asia Pac J Public Health


. 2021 May 3;10105395211012233.
doi: 10.1177/10105395211012233. Online ahead of print.
A Year Trend Analysis and Spatial Distribution of COVID-19 Cases in Nepal


Buddha Bahadur Basnet[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Ramesh Raj Pant[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Kiran Bishwakarma[SUP] 3 4 [/SUP], Sudip Paudel[SUP] 2 [/SUP], Nashib Pandey[SUP] 5 [/SUP], Samir Kumar Adhikari[SUP] 6 [/SUP], Kamal Ranabhat[SUP] 2 6 [/SUP], Archana Ghimire[SUP] 3 7 [/SUP]



Affiliations

Abstract

This study analyzes the trend and spatial distribution of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases with geographic information systems approach from January 23, 2020, to January 1, 2021. The prevalence of COVID-19 on the tested population, the case fatality rate, and cured rate in Nepal was ~13.00%, ~0.71%, and ~96.97%, respectively. The prevalence (~1.87) and death rate (~1.28 times) were higher among men than women and ~68% of fatal cases were with comorbidities-distinctly hypertension and chronic kidney diseases. The distribution of COVID-19 cases was heterogeneous across all administrative regions, mainly in Kathmandu valley and Bagmati Province. Confirmed and cured cases showed an upward trend till the end of October 2020 followed by a downward trend as of January 1, 2021. In the present scenario of the ongoing pandemic in Nepal, one of the better strategies to prevent and control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) could be monitoring using geographic information systems and spatial analysis.

Keywords: COVID-19; Nepal; SARS-CoV-2; comorbidities; spatial distribution.
 
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