Shiloh
Editor, Senior Moderator
Source:http://www.lanacion.com.ar/nota.asp?nota_id=1157650
Health Alert / Son 270 deaths confirmed
There are 400,000 infected by influenza A
In the week after the elections, was the peak of infected people, with 91,963 cases, according to data from the Ministry of Health
Sunday August 2, 2009 | Published in print edition
Daniel Gallo
THE NATION
More than 400,000 Argentines were infected by influenza A. Patients are treated in public hospitals and private clinics across the country. At least 270 people died from the virus H1N1 (83 in Santa Fe only), although there are more than 200 cases of deaths are examined to confirm the presence of influenza A.
That is the information reported by the 24 districts of the country to the Ministry of Health of the Nation. The figure is also a picture of the situation in the middle of last month. There is an update in the nearest time as a consequence of the delay in reporting of influenza-like diseases (ETI).
From these official figures, obtained by the National Surveillance System, projected a historic peak of cases of pneumonia, which would have exceeded the 11,000 affected, served only in the week before the national elections of June 28 last.
The numbers confirm the fears of infectologists, who had recommended the suspension of elections. In the week after the vote, which mobilized more than 20 million people in one day, was the peak of patients in hospitals, with 91,963 cases.
The then Health Minister Graciela Ocana, says that his advice was not heeded by the Casa Rosada, as commented in a note published today in the Supplement approaches.
The number of infections also exceeds the annual average. Since early this year to 4 last month, there were 602,083 cases of ETI, while the average for the past five years for the same period was 468,976 cases.
The H1N1 viruses circulating in Argentina since May 7 this year, when it was confirmed the disease in people who had returned from a trip to the United States. Contagion that followed, especially in schools, causing a sharp change in our country.
The school, which tomorrow will return to normal in most districts, was suspended for two weeks to add these days to the winter and thus slow the transmission of the virus. Special licenses were also awarded in the work and recommended social distancing measures, which resulted in the closure of theaters and the decline in public cinemas, restaurants and shopping.
Moreover, the Argentine Chamber of Mediana Empresa (CAME) estimated at $ 3000 million loss related to the measures generated by influenza A.
The health authorities contend that the closures that caused the fall in trading income decreased contagion. They rely on the reports received in the hospital guards. However, influenza A circulated vigorously before that society take greater security measures.
Health Minister, Juan Manzur, warned on July 2 that 100,000 people had become sick by this virus. The official, a day after taking office, explained that studies indicated that over 80 percent of cases were reported as influenza A. TSI The minister then had data to epidemiological week number 23, completed on June 13. Since then, 283,552 cases were reported from other TSI to epidemiological week 27, the last relay and the period up to July 11.
The week before the election, began to raise the cases of TSI. The 90,233 notifications almost doubled the figure of 56,517 patients treated between 14 and 20 June. In the seven days after the elections, remained very high level of contagion and consultations in hospitals, with 91,963 records cited.
Decisions stronger
In those days, the decisions were made stronger to cause social alienation. Classes were suspended and, in several districts, commercial activities were prohibited in cinemas, restaurants and shopping. TSI Communications fell in the first days of July, with 44,539 patients treated, although that figure could rise as several provinces due data. Cordova, for example, should the information of the last ten weeks.
Deaths suspected to have been caused by influenza A is the beginning of July. Therefore, it is estimated that in government offices in September or October will be known more deaths occurred in those days. The mortality rate in the world is 0.2 percent. For the delay in reporting data in Argentina today that figure stands at 0.06 per cent a stranger.
Health ministers from the main Argentines are convinced that the influenza A does not, by far, the high mortality rate was expected in previous studies. While maintaining the alert.
Argentina faced the pandemic that was unleashed in the world with a contingency plan approved by mid-2007. That report established an estimate of people who need to be admitted for influenza and possible deaths. Relied on a mathematical model presented by the Center for Emergency Control and Prevention (CDC, for its acronym in English) of the United States and used two potential attack rates. With 15% of the affected population are expected in Argentina and 69,000 internments 13,215 deaths, whereas 35% of the population affected the figures climbed to 136,104 and 30,834, respectively.
However, he appeared unexpectedly at a particular influenza A mathematical scheme that altered that the change of the age group that attacked the new flu. Influenza A replaced the stationary and that it had averted an overlay actually collapsed health system.
The annual risk
In 2007 came the most important TSI deaths in several decades. Many public officials mentioned in Argentina that killed 3600 people every year because of influenza. However, this fact does not exist in any official register. Those who know the statistics say it was a confusion arising from old anti-sales campaigns.
That is, in fact, more than 18,000 deaths were confirmed by the Ministry of Health of the Nation, because of ETI in 2007.
In the province of Buenos Aires, 6567 people died that year, while in the capital exceeded the 3800 deaths. But over 80% of these cases occurred in people over 70 years. And another large percentage was less than a year. Two groups most vulnerable against any kind of course of illness.
A flu affects far more people between 20 and 50 years. And that would have given a respite in total deaths is a group with better physical defense. There is a belief among health authorities of that in the end, to be known only next year, there will be fewer deaths than in 2007 ETI. But the risk remains high.
Health Alert / Son 270 deaths confirmed
There are 400,000 infected by influenza A
In the week after the elections, was the peak of infected people, with 91,963 cases, according to data from the Ministry of Health
Sunday August 2, 2009 | Published in print edition
Daniel Gallo
THE NATION
More than 400,000 Argentines were infected by influenza A. Patients are treated in public hospitals and private clinics across the country. At least 270 people died from the virus H1N1 (83 in Santa Fe only), although there are more than 200 cases of deaths are examined to confirm the presence of influenza A.
That is the information reported by the 24 districts of the country to the Ministry of Health of the Nation. The figure is also a picture of the situation in the middle of last month. There is an update in the nearest time as a consequence of the delay in reporting of influenza-like diseases (ETI).
From these official figures, obtained by the National Surveillance System, projected a historic peak of cases of pneumonia, which would have exceeded the 11,000 affected, served only in the week before the national elections of June 28 last.
The numbers confirm the fears of infectologists, who had recommended the suspension of elections. In the week after the vote, which mobilized more than 20 million people in one day, was the peak of patients in hospitals, with 91,963 cases.
The then Health Minister Graciela Ocana, says that his advice was not heeded by the Casa Rosada, as commented in a note published today in the Supplement approaches.
The number of infections also exceeds the annual average. Since early this year to 4 last month, there were 602,083 cases of ETI, while the average for the past five years for the same period was 468,976 cases.
The H1N1 viruses circulating in Argentina since May 7 this year, when it was confirmed the disease in people who had returned from a trip to the United States. Contagion that followed, especially in schools, causing a sharp change in our country.
The school, which tomorrow will return to normal in most districts, was suspended for two weeks to add these days to the winter and thus slow the transmission of the virus. Special licenses were also awarded in the work and recommended social distancing measures, which resulted in the closure of theaters and the decline in public cinemas, restaurants and shopping.
Moreover, the Argentine Chamber of Mediana Empresa (CAME) estimated at $ 3000 million loss related to the measures generated by influenza A.
The health authorities contend that the closures that caused the fall in trading income decreased contagion. They rely on the reports received in the hospital guards. However, influenza A circulated vigorously before that society take greater security measures.
Health Minister, Juan Manzur, warned on July 2 that 100,000 people had become sick by this virus. The official, a day after taking office, explained that studies indicated that over 80 percent of cases were reported as influenza A. TSI The minister then had data to epidemiological week number 23, completed on June 13. Since then, 283,552 cases were reported from other TSI to epidemiological week 27, the last relay and the period up to July 11.
The week before the election, began to raise the cases of TSI. The 90,233 notifications almost doubled the figure of 56,517 patients treated between 14 and 20 June. In the seven days after the elections, remained very high level of contagion and consultations in hospitals, with 91,963 records cited.
Decisions stronger
In those days, the decisions were made stronger to cause social alienation. Classes were suspended and, in several districts, commercial activities were prohibited in cinemas, restaurants and shopping. TSI Communications fell in the first days of July, with 44,539 patients treated, although that figure could rise as several provinces due data. Cordova, for example, should the information of the last ten weeks.
Deaths suspected to have been caused by influenza A is the beginning of July. Therefore, it is estimated that in government offices in September or October will be known more deaths occurred in those days. The mortality rate in the world is 0.2 percent. For the delay in reporting data in Argentina today that figure stands at 0.06 per cent a stranger.
Health ministers from the main Argentines are convinced that the influenza A does not, by far, the high mortality rate was expected in previous studies. While maintaining the alert.
Argentina faced the pandemic that was unleashed in the world with a contingency plan approved by mid-2007. That report established an estimate of people who need to be admitted for influenza and possible deaths. Relied on a mathematical model presented by the Center for Emergency Control and Prevention (CDC, for its acronym in English) of the United States and used two potential attack rates. With 15% of the affected population are expected in Argentina and 69,000 internments 13,215 deaths, whereas 35% of the population affected the figures climbed to 136,104 and 30,834, respectively.
However, he appeared unexpectedly at a particular influenza A mathematical scheme that altered that the change of the age group that attacked the new flu. Influenza A replaced the stationary and that it had averted an overlay actually collapsed health system.
The annual risk
In 2007 came the most important TSI deaths in several decades. Many public officials mentioned in Argentina that killed 3600 people every year because of influenza. However, this fact does not exist in any official register. Those who know the statistics say it was a confusion arising from old anti-sales campaigns.
That is, in fact, more than 18,000 deaths were confirmed by the Ministry of Health of the Nation, because of ETI in 2007.
In the province of Buenos Aires, 6567 people died that year, while in the capital exceeded the 3800 deaths. But over 80% of these cases occurred in people over 70 years. And another large percentage was less than a year. Two groups most vulnerable against any kind of course of illness.
A flu affects far more people between 20 and 50 years. And that would have given a respite in total deaths is a group with better physical defense. There is a belief among health authorities of that in the end, to be known only next year, there will be fewer deaths than in 2007 ETI. But the risk remains high.