Farmer
Senior Moderator
We have discussed for years how health care worker illnesses can serve as sentinel events for evidence of increased human to human transmission of H5N1. I wonder if now our educators are the sentinels for community outbreaks of novel influenza A (H1N1). They have multiple opportunities for exposure to the young people who comprise the most severely affected age categories; 2/3rds of confirmed H1N1 cases occur among those less than 18 years of age.
http://www.cdc.gov/media/transcripts/2009/t090512.htm
As has been previously suggested, novel influenza A (H1N1) appears to present as afebrile illness among some of those infected.
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=231936
This presents difficulties for parents during the decision-making process of whether to keep children home due to illness. Many people do not receive paid sick leave in this country, and may use the presence of fever as a major criterion for severe illness requiring home care. These children have a high probability of attending activities outside the home - certainly during the incubation period or prodrome - and potentially during a course of relatively mild illnesses.
It strikes me that one novel influenza A (H1N1) death- Judy Trunnell, the 33 year old Texan was a special education teacher, http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=229287
and one severe illness - a NYC school staff member, is now hospitalized in critical condition.
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=104203
Both of these individuals were both potentially exposed to large numbers of children.
Soon in the US, schools will be out for the summer. Children will still congregate at retail outlets, summer camps, community recreational facilities, etc. Many of these facilities are staffed by teenagers and college-age students working summer jobs. Due to their age, these older children and young adults appear to be at higher risk for infection. They may also have underlying illnesses and potential risk factors for severe novel influenza A (H1N1) infection.
Will we start seeing more illness in this new sentinel population of younger but significantly exposed people, or will novel influenza A (H1N1) transmission be reduced during the warm summer months?
I believe that we must increase surveillance for novel influenza A (H1N1) at this time. We must continue to count individual cases of confirmed illness and to analyze them not only by age, but also by occupation and behavioral risk factors. We need this information to understand how best to intervene to minimize the public health effects of this outbreak. Time is short, as we expect opportunities for transmission or viral pathogenicity to potentially increase in the autumn.
As a society, we must consider and seriously weigh the immediate economic impacts of cancelling gatherings of children versus the potential longer term health consequences of ‘business as usual’ as this novel influenza A (H1N1) epidemic continues in the US.
http://www.cdc.gov/media/transcripts/2009/t090512.htm
As has been previously suggested, novel influenza A (H1N1) appears to present as afebrile illness among some of those infected.
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=231936
This presents difficulties for parents during the decision-making process of whether to keep children home due to illness. Many people do not receive paid sick leave in this country, and may use the presence of fever as a major criterion for severe illness requiring home care. These children have a high probability of attending activities outside the home - certainly during the incubation period or prodrome - and potentially during a course of relatively mild illnesses.
It strikes me that one novel influenza A (H1N1) death- Judy Trunnell, the 33 year old Texan was a special education teacher, http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=229287
and one severe illness - a NYC school staff member, is now hospitalized in critical condition.
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=104203
Both of these individuals were both potentially exposed to large numbers of children.
Soon in the US, schools will be out for the summer. Children will still congregate at retail outlets, summer camps, community recreational facilities, etc. Many of these facilities are staffed by teenagers and college-age students working summer jobs. Due to their age, these older children and young adults appear to be at higher risk for infection. They may also have underlying illnesses and potential risk factors for severe novel influenza A (H1N1) infection.
Will we start seeing more illness in this new sentinel population of younger but significantly exposed people, or will novel influenza A (H1N1) transmission be reduced during the warm summer months?
I believe that we must increase surveillance for novel influenza A (H1N1) at this time. We must continue to count individual cases of confirmed illness and to analyze them not only by age, but also by occupation and behavioral risk factors. We need this information to understand how best to intervene to minimize the public health effects of this outbreak. Time is short, as we expect opportunities for transmission or viral pathogenicity to potentially increase in the autumn.
As a society, we must consider and seriously weigh the immediate economic impacts of cancelling gatherings of children versus the potential longer term health consequences of ‘business as usual’ as this novel influenza A (H1N1) epidemic continues in the US.
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