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Source: http://7thspace.com/headlines/34578...surveillance_application_to_dengue_fever.html
A dynamic estimation of the daily cumulative cases during infectious disease surveillance: application to dengue fever
In infectious disease surveillance, when the laboratory confirmation of the cases is time-consuming, there is often a time lag between the number of suspect cases and the number of confirmed cases. This study proposes a dynamic statistical model to estimate the daily number of new cases and the daily cumulative number of infected cases, which was then applied to historic dengue fever data...
...Conclusion: The proposed method provides a more accurate real-time estimation of the daily new cases and daily cumulative number of infected cases. The model makes use of the most recent "moving window"of information relative to suspect cases and dynamically updates the parameters.
The proposed method will be useful for the real-time evaluation of a disease outbreak when case classification requires a time-consuming laboratory process to identify a confirmed case.
Author: Pei-Hung ChuangJen-Hsiang ChuangI-Feng Lin
Credits/Source: BMC Infectious Diseases 2010, 10:136
A dynamic estimation of the daily cumulative cases during infectious disease surveillance: application to dengue fever
In infectious disease surveillance, when the laboratory confirmation of the cases is time-consuming, there is often a time lag between the number of suspect cases and the number of confirmed cases. This study proposes a dynamic statistical model to estimate the daily number of new cases and the daily cumulative number of infected cases, which was then applied to historic dengue fever data...
...Conclusion: The proposed method provides a more accurate real-time estimation of the daily new cases and daily cumulative number of infected cases. The model makes use of the most recent "moving window"of information relative to suspect cases and dynamically updates the parameters.
The proposed method will be useful for the real-time evaluation of a disease outbreak when case classification requires a time-consuming laboratory process to identify a confirmed case.
Author: Pei-Hung ChuangJen-Hsiang ChuangI-Feng Lin
Credits/Source: BMC Infectious Diseases 2010, 10:136