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  • Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

    2009-01-25 16:28:22 - Information Statement

    Unrest at Redoubt Volcano continues. AVO conducted an overflight of the volcano this afternoon, and observations confirm that an eruption has not occurred. Increased steaming through previously observed sources in the snow and ice cover were seen and sulfur gas emissions were noted. There was no significant disruption of the glacial ice, nor any apparent increased water discharge down the Drift River.

    Seismicity remains well above background levels. Beginning at 00:58 AST (9:58 UTC) this morning, nearly continuous volcanic tremor was recorded at stations near Redoubt's summit, prompting AVO to raise the Aviation Color Code to ORANGE and the Alert Level to WATCH at 02:09 AST (11:09 UTC). Seismicity began to decline at about 05:30 AST (14:30 UTC) this morning, but remains elevated as of this writing.

    The current activity at Redoubt could be precursory to an eruption, perhaps within hours to days. A further increase in seismicity is expected to accompany an eruption. Staff are currently monitoring the volcano 24 hours a day.

    AVO raised the Aviation Color Code to YELLOW and the Volcano Alert Level to ADVISORY on November 5, 2008, in response to increased emissions of SO2, H2S, and CO2; melting of snow and ice near the volcano’s summit; and a subtle increase in seismicity. These observations reflected a change in the volcano’s hydrothermal system, possibly associated with an influx of new magma beneath the volcano. It is also possible that the change was related to the development of a new pathway of heated fluids rising from magma intruded during the 1989-90 eruption.
    source: http://www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/Redoubt.php

    Last eruption in 1989:


    Description: From Miller and others (1998): "The most recent eruption at Redoubt began with a major phreatomagmatic, vent-clearing explosion at 9:47 am on December 14, 1989 (Brantley, 1990; EOS, 1990; Miller and Chouet, 1994) after less than 24 hours of intense precursory seismicity. Three more ash-rich explosions occurred the following day, December 15, with the last blast generating a pyroclastic flow down the Drift Glacier. The resulting debris flow contained entrained ice blocks as large as 10 m across and crested about 8 m above the river channel near the Drift River Oil Terminal, 35 km downstream (Waitt and others, 1994). A Boeing 747 enroute from Amsterdam that flew into the ash cloud several hours after the eruption experienced complete engine failure and narrowly avoided tragedy when the crew successfully restarted the engines and safely landed in Anchorage (Casadevall, 1994).

    "These initial explosive events were just the first of 23 major explosive events between December 1989 and April 1990. Following the mid-December explosive phases, the crater vent emitted only minor ash and steam for the next 5-7 days. From December 22 to January 2, 1990, however, a large, over-steepened lava dome grew over the vent. At 5:48 pm on January 2, the first of two powerful explosions destroyed most of the dome and sent ash plumes to over 12 km. Massive block and ash avalanches down the Drift Glacier generated the largest debris flow of the eruption, completely covering the 2-km-wide valley floor and spilling into Cook Inlet. Flood waters entered the oil terminal, as much as 75 cm deep in some buildings, and caused a temporary halt in operations.

    "Three eruptions occurred in the next two weeks during which time the vent remained open. The January 8 event occurred with no precursory warnings and the resulting ashfall on the Kenai Peninsula disrupted commerce and transportation. Open-vent eruptions on January 11 and 16 resulted in minor debris flows down the Drift River.

    "After the January 16 eruption, another period of dome growth ensued through mid-February. This dome was smaller than the earlier dome but larger than succeeding domes (Miller, 1994). Early on February 15, the dome was destroyed in an explosive eruption that again sent a large debris flow down the Drift River and blanketed the lower Kenai Peninsula with ash. A pyroclastic flow and surge traveled down the canyon, across the piedmont lobe of Drift Glacier, and swept up the opposite valley wall 700 m topping the ridge (Gardner and others, 1994). Flow down the Drift River was largely diverted into a side drainage that carried flood waters close to oil storage tanks at the downstream oil terminal prompting reinforcement of the containment dikes surrounding the tank farm. A new dome began growing immediately following the eruption.

    "On February 21, the new, but considerably smaller, dome was destroyed, marking the beginning of a new trend in eruptive behavior. Characteristically, small domes were emplaced and subsequently destroyed explosively or by gravitational collapse, resulting in debris avalanches down the now ice-free canyon leading down to the Drift River valley, and flooding down the Drift River. Ten such eruptions followed from February 24 to April 21 at 4 to 8 day intervals.

    "Following the April 21 eruption, growth of the present lava dome began and continued through early June. During the next several months, seismic activity declined dramatically and only steam emissions and minor rock falls from the dome were recorded as the eruption came to an end.

    "The 1989-90 eruption of Redoubt seriously affected the populace, commerce, and oil production throughout the Cook Inlet region and air traffic as far away as Texas. Total estimated economic costs are $160 million (Tuck and others, 1992), making the eruption the of Redoubt the second most costly in U.S. history."

    From Miller and Chouet (1994): "The eruption produced about 20 significant tephra deposits between December 14 and April 26 (Scott and McGimsey, 1994 - this volume) with a total tephra volume of about 20 to 40 x10^6 cubic m (DRE). Tephra plumes rose off the pyroclastic flows to altitudes in excess of 10 km (Woods and Kienle, 1994 - this volume) and were carried mainly northward and eastward by prevailing winds.

    Miller and Chouet (1994) also summarize "The volumes of individual domes ranged from z to 20x10^6 cubic m and magma supply rates ranged from 1.8 to 2.5 x10^6 cubic m per day. Total dome volume is estimated at about 90x10^6 cubic m (Miller, 1994 - this volume [Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 1994, v. 62]).

    source: http://www.avo.alaska.edu/volcanoes/...eruptionid=442


    I'd like to point out that the ash disrupted air traffic at Anchorage International Airport - 3rd largest cargo airport in the world!
    "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

  • #2
    Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

    The petroleum products from the area supply not only automobile fuel to southcentral Alaska, but also jet fuel to the international airport and Elmendorf Air Force base.

    They export considerable petroleum products to Asia (LP, naptha, etc.)

    .
    "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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    • #3
      Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

      From overflight at 13:00 today:



      Seismogram: http://www.avo.alaska.edu/webicorder...ubt&station=37

      .
      Last edited by AlaskaDenise; March 8, 2009, 04:40 PM. Reason: remove photo
      "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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      • #4
        Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

        Last eruption (lasted several months) - photo taken 21 April 1990

        Click image for larger version

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        "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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        • #5
          Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

          to add some perspective.....

          There are currently 24 flights in the air flying in the dark toward Anchorage - and that only takes the schedule to 3:30 AM - 5 more hours till sunlight.

          So the volcano scientists must monitor the seismograms carefully and "guess" whether there has been an eruption, warm the incoming flights and reroute them.

          I believe during the last eruption, they only allowed daylight flights. I do remember that it created a scheduling nightmare.

          .
          "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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          • #6
            Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

            May be if something happens, this webcam can show it:






            Maps, including additional informatian and location of nearby oil terminal (word is , this terminal is not at riks in case of an eruption, main problem could be ash):

            http://www.avo.alaska.edu/pdfs/redou...ards.plate.pdf (5,48 MB)

            Smaller map:

            Click image for larger version

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            "Addressing chronic disease is an issue of human rights that must be our call to arms"
            Richard Horton, Editor-in-Chief The Lancet

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            • #7
              Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

              Where are the webcams located?

              The ones on the AVO site are for other volcanoes, although one, Mt. Spurr, is close and rumbing. But then our volcanoes rumble regularly.

              http://www.avo.alaska.edu/image.php?id=348 .....is a photo of the oil terminal in the earlier eruption.

              While it wasn't damaged that time, I have memories of what Mt. St. Helens did to bridges, building, etc. when it's pyroclastic flows melted ice and mixed with muds, etc. - it damaged quite a bit. This mountain shouldn't be "blowing its top off" like St. Helens - we'll see.

              Biggest problem would be air traffic. Gotta get all the "made in china" cargo to North America.

              .
              "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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              • #8
                Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                Lots of good information at http://www.avo.alaska.edu/image_full.php?id=16029

                Earlier eruption ash created aircraft problems as far as Texas.!

                .
                "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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                • #9
                  Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                  I really don't know the location of the cam, found it here:

                  "Addressing chronic disease is an issue of human rights that must be our call to arms"
                  Richard Horton, Editor-in-Chief The Lancet

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                  • #10
                    Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                    May be this can give you a clue of the location of the cam:

                    Webcams on hillside look towards Susitna, Mt. Redoubt, and airport

                    "Addressing chronic disease is an issue of human rights that must be our call to arms"
                    Richard Horton, Editor-in-Chief The Lancet

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                      The site isn't working at the moment. Overload?

                      According to a list of statewide webcams, it looks like a good candidate - when it gets light.

                      I'm also going to watch one of the highway condition webcams that is right across the water from the volcano - at Ninilchik bridge. It's at


                      We'll see if the state computer system can manage all these hits.! Between the cams and the AVO site - they should be busy.

                      .
                      "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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                      • #12
                        Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                        BTW - current jet stream would carry the ash right down the coast to Seattle. So I imagine the FAA is watching this closely.

                        .
                        "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                          Mount Redoubt rumbles: eruption possible
                          SEISMIC ACTIVITY: Volcano last erupted from 1989-90.

                          By GEORGE BRYSON
                          gbryson@adn.com

                          (01/25/09 22:04:03)
                          New seismic activity at Mount Redoubt has increased significantly and may be the prelude to an eruption, "perhaps within hours to days," the Alaska Volcano Observatory reported Sunday.

                          Geologists there upgraded the aviation color code for Redoubt from yellow to orange, indicating that an eruption may be imminent.

                          The 10,197-foot peak -- located about 50 miles west of Kenai and 100 miles southwest of Anchorage -- last erupted during a five-month period from December 1989 through April 1990.

                          Scientists keep a close eye on ground monitors on Redoubt to detect any movement.

                          "Around 1 o'clock (Sunday) morning the seismic activity really started to pick up," said AVO volcanologist Dave Schneider.

                          The shaking quieted about five hours later, but it still remains well above normal "background" tremor levels, Schneider said.

                          In the afternoon, a team from the observatory flew over Redoubt and determined that it hadn't yet erupted.

                          "There was steaming through pre-existing holes, but there were no new holes. ... and there was no ash on the snow cover," he said.

                          The crew members smelled sulphur as they flew over the volcano.

                          Now they'll be monitoring seismic activity at Redoubt around the clock, as well as satellite images that detect changes there in temperature, Schneider said.

                          Weather radar scanners near the Kenai airport, which transmit data every six minutes, will also be able to detect an ash plume should one appear, he said.

                          During the 1989-90 eruption, mud flows from Redoubt sped down the Drift River drainage and partially flooded the Drift River Oil Terminal facility.

                          The ash plume disrupted international air traffic and coated Anchorage and other nearby communities in a thin layer of ash.

                          The 1992 eruption of Mount Spurr, located about 70 miles due west of Anchorage, left a thicker layer of ash on Anchorage.

                          The volcanic activity Sunday followed by just one day a magnitude 5.7 earthquake at the mouth of Cook Inlet.

                          Both earthquakes and volcanoes can generally be traced to the tremendous heat that's generated far below the surface of the earth along a subduction zone where tectonic plates collide.

                          But that doesn't mean that the earthquake caused the volcanic activity, Schneider said. And the fact that the two were more than a hundred miles apart makes it more unlikely.

                          "Volcanic earthquakes are typically within five miles or so of the volcano," Schneider said.

                          Images of Mount Redoubt photographed by scientists who flew over the volcano on Sunday -- as well as any updates on the volcano's status -- are available online at avo.alaska.edu.


                          Find George Bryson online at adn.com/contact/gbryson or call 257-4318.


                          "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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                          • #14
                            Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                            Redoubt 24 hour webicorder, showing the seismic activity of Mount Redoubt:

                            "Addressing chronic disease is an issue of human rights that must be our call to arms"
                            Richard Horton, Editor-in-Chief The Lancet

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                            • #15
                              Re: Redoubt volcano alert at Orange - constant seismic activity

                              There are 3 webicorders listed on the left side of that page under "Redoubt" - in a yellow box. The ones starting with "RSO..." and "RED..." show lots of action.

                              Perhaps the larger one on the first page has its sensitivity turned down.

                              .
                              "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

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