Many people may avoid falling victim to the Pandemic flu by accumulating enough food, water, and medicines to shelter in place for the entire pandemic, only to find they have not adequately prepared to endure months of living without heat in their home.
Without enough warm clothing and bedding many people will succumb to "indoor hypothermia."
Do not overlook your need for warm clothing and bedding.
A pandemic wave could start in September and end in March, which are the coldest months in the United States.
Because of high absenteeism it is expected that the utilities might fail to deliver gas and electricity during this time. This will result in an inability to heat most residences and commercial and public buildings in the northern states. With temperatures sometimes plummeting to below freezing, and down to zero and below in many areas, many more deaths than usual due to 'indoor hypothermia' can be expected.
It is imperative that the public be warned, via radio and TV announcements and pamphlets, to prepare for weeks of frigid temperatures by stockpiling warm clothing and bedding.
The public should also have a means to heat food and beverages to help maintain their body heat when exposed to weeks of cold weather.
Experts say it is critical to have fuel and a stove to heat water for drinking. Dehydration can contribute to the effects of hypothermia, and eating cold food will only further lower the body's temperature.
Here are some informative articles I have found on the subject of hypothermia and how best to avoid it, and also how to treat victims:
1: Intensive Care Med. 2000 Dec;26(12):1843-9. Related Articles, Links
Hypothermia with indoor occurrence is associated with a worse outcome.
Megarbane B, Axler O, Chary I, Pompier R, Brivet FG.
Department of Medical Intensive Care Unit and Medical Emergency, Antoine Beclere Hospital, Clamart, France. bruno-megarbane@wanadoo.fr
OBJECTIVE: To describe patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) for hypothermia, evaluate prognostic factors, and test the hypothesis that patients found indoors have a worse outcome. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective clinical investigation in a medical ICU. PATIENTS: Eighty-one consecutive patients admitted to ICU, with a body temperature of 35 degrees C or lower and rewarmed passively or with minimally invasive techniques, over a 17-year period. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Patients were analyzed by age, gender, and causes of hypothermia and split into two groups (indoors and outdoors), according to the location where hypothermia occurred. Prognostic factors were determined by univariate method and stepwise logistic regression. The major complications were acute renal failure (43 %), aspiration pneumonia (22 %), rhabdomyolysis (22 %), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (12%). Principal comorbidities in the outdoor patients (21%) were alcohol and drug intoxication, and those in the indoor patients (79 %) were sepsis and neuropsychiatric disorders. Stepwise logistic regression identified two variables predictive of death: illness severity at admission (SAPS II > or = 40) and the location where hypothermia occurred (indoors versus outdoors). CONCLUSIONS: With equivalent body temperature, patients found indoors were more severely affected and died more frequently than those found outdoors.
PMID: 11271094 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
================================================== ===========================
1: Age Ageing. 1986 Jul;15(4):212-20. Related Articles, Links
Low indoor temperatures and morbidity in the elderly.
Collins KJ.
Low ambient temperatures are particularly harmful to the elderly and in the winter in the UK temperatures in some dwellings may fall to 6 degrees C. The World Health Organization recommends a minimal indoor temperature of 18 degrees C and a 2-3 degrees C warmer minimal temperature for rooms occupied by sedentary elderly, young children and the handicapped. Below 16 degrees C, resistance to respiratory infections may be diminished. Both low and high relative humidities promote respiratory illnesses. At temperatures below 12 degrees C, cold extremities and slight lowering of core temperature can induce short-term increases in blood pressure. Raised blood pressure and increased blood viscosity in moderate cold may be important causal factors in the increased winter morbidity and mortality due to heart attacks and strokes. Deep body temperature does not usually fall until resting clothed elderly people are exposed for two or more hours to an ambient temperature of 9 degrees C or below. Statistics available for the UK population do not support the view that there are large numbers of elderly people suffering from clinical hypothermia, though there may be a larger number in whom hypothermia is undiagnosed when the condition occurs secondary to other disorders.
PMID: 3751747 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
================================================== ==========================
1: Chest. 2001 Dec;120(6):1998-2003. Links
Severe accidental hypothermia treated in an ICU: prognosis and outcome.
Vassal T, Benoit-Gonin B, Carrat F, Guidet B, Maury E, Offenstadt G.
Service des Urgences, Hopital Saint-Antoine, Assistance Publique - Hopitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Paris, France.
STUDY OBJECTIVES: To assess the characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to an ICU for severe accidental hypothermia, and to identify risk factors for mortality. METHODS: All consecutive patients admitted to an ICU between January 1, 1979, and July 31, 1998, with a temperature of < or = 32 degrees C were retrospectively analyzed. Rewarming was always conducted passively with survival blankets and conventional covers. Prognostic factors were studied by means of univariate analysis (Mann-Whitney U and chi(2) tests) and multivariate analysis (logistic regression). RESULTS: Forty-seven patients were enrolled (mean +/- SD age, 61.7 +/- 16 years). Five patients had a cardiac arrest before ICU admission. Patient characteristics at ICU admission were as follows: temperature, 28.8 +/- 2.5 degrees C; systolic BP, 85 +/- 23 mm Hg; heart rate, 60 +/- 24 beats/min; Glasgow Coma Scale, 10.4 +/- 3.7; and simplified acute physiology score (SAPS) II, 50.9 +/- 27. Mechanical ventilation was necessary in 23 cases, and 22 patients in shock received vasoactive drugs. The mean length of stay in the ICU was 6.7 +/- 9 days. Eighteen patients (38%) died, but ventricular arrhythmia was never the cause. Univariate analysis identified several prognostic factors (p < 0.05): age (57 +/- 16 years vs 69 +/- 14 years), systolic arterial BP (93 +/- 20 mm Hg vs 71 +/- 21 mm Hg), blood bicarbonate level (23.5 +/- 5.2 mmol/L vs 16.6 +/- 6.2 mmol/L), SAPS II score (35.3 +/- 19.5 vs 72 +/- 21), mechanical ventilation (34% vs 81%), vasopressor agents (42% vs 82%), rewarming time (11.5 +/- 7.2 h vs 17.2 +/- 7 h), and discovery of the patient at home (2.3% vs 54.5%). The initial temperature did not influence vital outcome (28.9 +/- 2.6 degrees C vs 28.6 +/- 2.2 degrees C). Only the use of vasoactive drugs (odds ratio, 9; 95% confidence interval, 1.6 to 50.1) was identified as a prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Severe accidental hypothermia is a rare cause of ICU admission in an urban area. Its mortality remains high, but there is no overmortality according to the SAPS II-derived prediction of death. Shock, requiring treatment with vasoactive drugs, is an independent risk factor for mortality, while initial core temperature is not. It remains to be determined whether aggressive rather than passive rewarming procedures are better.
PMID: 11742934 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
================================================== =====================================
AND IF SOMEONE OUT THERE KNOWS HOW TO POST CHARTS AND DIAGRAMS, THIS PRINCETON ARTICLE IS VERY INFORMATIVE:
Without enough warm clothing and bedding many people will succumb to "indoor hypothermia."
Do not overlook your need for warm clothing and bedding.
A pandemic wave could start in September and end in March, which are the coldest months in the United States.
Because of high absenteeism it is expected that the utilities might fail to deliver gas and electricity during this time. This will result in an inability to heat most residences and commercial and public buildings in the northern states. With temperatures sometimes plummeting to below freezing, and down to zero and below in many areas, many more deaths than usual due to 'indoor hypothermia' can be expected.
It is imperative that the public be warned, via radio and TV announcements and pamphlets, to prepare for weeks of frigid temperatures by stockpiling warm clothing and bedding.
The public should also have a means to heat food and beverages to help maintain their body heat when exposed to weeks of cold weather.
Experts say it is critical to have fuel and a stove to heat water for drinking. Dehydration can contribute to the effects of hypothermia, and eating cold food will only further lower the body's temperature.
Here are some informative articles I have found on the subject of hypothermia and how best to avoid it, and also how to treat victims:
1: Intensive Care Med. 2000 Dec;26(12):1843-9. Related Articles, Links
Hypothermia with indoor occurrence is associated with a worse outcome.
Megarbane B, Axler O, Chary I, Pompier R, Brivet FG.
Department of Medical Intensive Care Unit and Medical Emergency, Antoine Beclere Hospital, Clamart, France. bruno-megarbane@wanadoo.fr
OBJECTIVE: To describe patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) for hypothermia, evaluate prognostic factors, and test the hypothesis that patients found indoors have a worse outcome. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective clinical investigation in a medical ICU. PATIENTS: Eighty-one consecutive patients admitted to ICU, with a body temperature of 35 degrees C or lower and rewarmed passively or with minimally invasive techniques, over a 17-year period. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Patients were analyzed by age, gender, and causes of hypothermia and split into two groups (indoors and outdoors), according to the location where hypothermia occurred. Prognostic factors were determined by univariate method and stepwise logistic regression. The major complications were acute renal failure (43 %), aspiration pneumonia (22 %), rhabdomyolysis (22 %), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (12%). Principal comorbidities in the outdoor patients (21%) were alcohol and drug intoxication, and those in the indoor patients (79 %) were sepsis and neuropsychiatric disorders. Stepwise logistic regression identified two variables predictive of death: illness severity at admission (SAPS II > or = 40) and the location where hypothermia occurred (indoors versus outdoors). CONCLUSIONS: With equivalent body temperature, patients found indoors were more severely affected and died more frequently than those found outdoors.
PMID: 11271094 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
================================================== ===========================
1: Age Ageing. 1986 Jul;15(4):212-20. Related Articles, Links
Low indoor temperatures and morbidity in the elderly.
Collins KJ.
Low ambient temperatures are particularly harmful to the elderly and in the winter in the UK temperatures in some dwellings may fall to 6 degrees C. The World Health Organization recommends a minimal indoor temperature of 18 degrees C and a 2-3 degrees C warmer minimal temperature for rooms occupied by sedentary elderly, young children and the handicapped. Below 16 degrees C, resistance to respiratory infections may be diminished. Both low and high relative humidities promote respiratory illnesses. At temperatures below 12 degrees C, cold extremities and slight lowering of core temperature can induce short-term increases in blood pressure. Raised blood pressure and increased blood viscosity in moderate cold may be important causal factors in the increased winter morbidity and mortality due to heart attacks and strokes. Deep body temperature does not usually fall until resting clothed elderly people are exposed for two or more hours to an ambient temperature of 9 degrees C or below. Statistics available for the UK population do not support the view that there are large numbers of elderly people suffering from clinical hypothermia, though there may be a larger number in whom hypothermia is undiagnosed when the condition occurs secondary to other disorders.
PMID: 3751747 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
================================================== ==========================
1: Chest. 2001 Dec;120(6):1998-2003. Links
Severe accidental hypothermia treated in an ICU: prognosis and outcome.
Vassal T, Benoit-Gonin B, Carrat F, Guidet B, Maury E, Offenstadt G.
Service des Urgences, Hopital Saint-Antoine, Assistance Publique - Hopitaux de Paris (AP-HP), Paris, France.
STUDY OBJECTIVES: To assess the characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to an ICU for severe accidental hypothermia, and to identify risk factors for mortality. METHODS: All consecutive patients admitted to an ICU between January 1, 1979, and July 31, 1998, with a temperature of < or = 32 degrees C were retrospectively analyzed. Rewarming was always conducted passively with survival blankets and conventional covers. Prognostic factors were studied by means of univariate analysis (Mann-Whitney U and chi(2) tests) and multivariate analysis (logistic regression). RESULTS: Forty-seven patients were enrolled (mean +/- SD age, 61.7 +/- 16 years). Five patients had a cardiac arrest before ICU admission. Patient characteristics at ICU admission were as follows: temperature, 28.8 +/- 2.5 degrees C; systolic BP, 85 +/- 23 mm Hg; heart rate, 60 +/- 24 beats/min; Glasgow Coma Scale, 10.4 +/- 3.7; and simplified acute physiology score (SAPS) II, 50.9 +/- 27. Mechanical ventilation was necessary in 23 cases, and 22 patients in shock received vasoactive drugs. The mean length of stay in the ICU was 6.7 +/- 9 days. Eighteen patients (38%) died, but ventricular arrhythmia was never the cause. Univariate analysis identified several prognostic factors (p < 0.05): age (57 +/- 16 years vs 69 +/- 14 years), systolic arterial BP (93 +/- 20 mm Hg vs 71 +/- 21 mm Hg), blood bicarbonate level (23.5 +/- 5.2 mmol/L vs 16.6 +/- 6.2 mmol/L), SAPS II score (35.3 +/- 19.5 vs 72 +/- 21), mechanical ventilation (34% vs 81%), vasopressor agents (42% vs 82%), rewarming time (11.5 +/- 7.2 h vs 17.2 +/- 7 h), and discovery of the patient at home (2.3% vs 54.5%). The initial temperature did not influence vital outcome (28.9 +/- 2.6 degrees C vs 28.6 +/- 2.2 degrees C). Only the use of vasoactive drugs (odds ratio, 9; 95% confidence interval, 1.6 to 50.1) was identified as a prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Severe accidental hypothermia is a rare cause of ICU admission in an urban area. Its mortality remains high, but there is no overmortality according to the SAPS II-derived prediction of death. Shock, requiring treatment with vasoactive drugs, is an independent risk factor for mortality, while initial core temperature is not. It remains to be determined whether aggressive rather than passive rewarming procedures are better.
PMID: 11742934 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]
================================================== =====================================
AND IF SOMEONE OUT THERE KNOWS HOW TO POST CHARTS AND DIAGRAMS, THIS PRINCETON ARTICLE IS VERY INFORMATIVE:
Comment