The H1N1 situation in India August 2009 to July 2010

[Ronan Kelly]

Since the first fatal case in Pune on August 3rd, Novel Influenza A/ H1N1 has spread throughout Western India with fatalities reported as far North as Uttarakhand, as far south as Tamil Nadu, and as far East as Chhattisgarh. Cases have been reported in all 27 states and territories. As of August 28, there were 87 confirmed fatalities;

Geographic distribution:

Maharashtra:46
Karnataka: 23
Gujarat: 7
Delhi: 4
Kerala:3
Tamil Nadu:3
Uttarakhand: 1

Time distribution:

Aug 1-7: 1
Aug 8-14: 22
Aug 15-21: 28
Aug 22-28: 34
Unk: 2

Age distribution:

0-9: 10
10-19:4
20-29:21
30-39:21
40-49:18
50-59:9
60-69:2
70-79:1
Unk:1
Average: 33; Median: 35; Range 2 months to 70 years).

Underlying conditions

There were 27 cases with reported underlying conditions.
Diabetes/High blood sugar: 8
Pregnant:4
Cardiovascular:3
Asthma/Bronchitis: 3
Liver disorder:2
Meningitis, arthritis, haemoptysis, HIV, Guillain-Barre, Tuberculosis, Malaria, Chickungunya: 1 each.
(one patient had malaria and asthma)

[Farmer]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Thanks for the summary RoRo!

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

You are welcome!

For comparison's sake, these are the fatality figures from the US in the four weeks after the first reported death,
4/25-5/1: 1
5/2-5/8:1
5/9-5/15:2
5/16-5/22:5
Total 9.

[Commonground]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Excellent analysis, thank you RoRo.

[Farmer]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

As we all feared, I expect that we will see a much higher number of deaths in less developed countries. For a crude comparison among some other countries, see:

Brazil reported the first 2009 H1N1 death on June 28.

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=112963

and 61 deaths reported by July 28.

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=117681

Argentina:
First death reported on June 15

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=110556

137 deaths reported by July 15

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=114567

[Laidback Al]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Thanks, RoRo.

Sixty-nine of the 87 confirmed deaths occurred in two states, Maharashtra and Karnataka. The map below shows the geographic relationship between these two states in India.

[JimO]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Great work RoRo. Thanks

[Commonground]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Thanks Laidback Al. I didn't realize that.

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:India-states-numbered.svg

States;
1.Andhra Pradesh
2.Arunachal Pradesh
3.Assam
4.Bihar
5.Chhattisgarh
6.Goa
7.Gujarat
8.Haryana
9.Himachal Pradesh
10.Jammu and Kashmir
11.Jharkhand
12.Karnataka
13.Kerala
14.Madhya Pradesh
15.Maharashtra
16.Manipur
17.Meghalaya
18.Mizoram
19.Nagaland
20.Orissa
21.Punjab
22.Rajasthan
23.Sikkim
24.Tamil Nadu
25.Tripura
26.Uttar Pradesh
27.Uttarakhand
28.West Bengal

Union Territories:

A.Andaman and Nicobar Islands
B.Chandigarh
C.Dadra and Nagar Haveli
D.Daman and Diu
E.Lakshadweep
F.National Capital Territory of Delhi
G.Puducherry

Courtesy of wikipedia.

[kiwibird]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

http://www.swineflu-india.org/September-4th-Update-124-New-Cases.html.html

September 4th Update: 124 New Cases
One hundred and twenty four new cases of swine flu were reported in India today. Tamil Nadu reported 33 while Uttar Pradesh reported 30 cases. The total number of cases in the country rises to 4488. Three deaths were reported - two in Karnataka and one in Gujarat. The total number of deaths rise to 114.

Infections by State:

State Infections
Delhi 15
Karnataka 18
Tamil Nadu 33
Maharashtra 21
Kerala 2
Haryana 1
Goa 1
West Bengal 1
Uttarakhand 1
Jammu & Kashmir 1
Uttar Pradesh 30


http://images.google.co.nz/imgres?imgurl=http://geology.com/press-release/northern-india-water-supply/india-ground-water-lg.jpg&imgrefurl=http://geology.com/press-release/northern-india-water-supply/&usg=__bibCWuuf4XUhbSk6D0AsGe3J4V0=&h=839&w=900&sz =102&hl=en&start=10&sig2=t6JhRhNMMgFT68A1_8nh1Q&tb nid=eS1UQxGus-yOLM:&tbnh=136&tbnw=146&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dgroundwater%2Bindia%26gbv%3D2%26h l%3Den%26sa%3DG&ei=7UGiSpHkLqeetgPXhJnqCw

Swine Flu Graph in India

http://www.swineflu-india.org/

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Thanks for the info and for the link, kiwibird.

[Snowy Owl]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Thanks or everything Kiwibird and everybody

Snowy

[Commonground]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

http://www.swineflu-india.org/

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

H1N1 continues to affect India with 954 new confirmed cases (total 4,488) and 36 deaths (total 123) reported in the week from August 29th to Sep 4th. As of Friday Sep 4, 39% of confirmed cases and 47% of all fatalities were from the state of Maharashtra. While the rate of confirmed deaths did not increase during this week, first fatalities were recorded in three states; Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh.

Geographic distribution:

Maharashtra:58 (+12)
Karnataka: 39 (+16)
Gujarat: 10 (+3)
Delhi: 4
Kerala:4 (+1)
Tamil Nadu:3
Andhra Pradesh: 2 (+2)
Uttarakhand: 1
Rajasthan: 1 (+1)
Chhattisgarh: 1 (+1)

Time distribution:

Aug 1-7: 1
Aug 8-14: 23
Aug 15-21: 31
Aug 22-28: 35
Aug 29-Sep 4: 31
Unk: 2

Age distribution:

0-9: 13
10-19:5
20-29:30
30-39:33
40-49:23
50-59:12
60-69:2
70-79:1
Unk:4
(Average: 32.4; Median: 35; Range 2 months to 70 years).

Underlying conditions (based on media reports)

There were 34 fatal cases with reported underlying conditions.
Diabetes/High blood sugar: 10
Pregnant:5
Cardiovascular:3
Asthma/Bronchitis: 3
Liver disorder:2
Tuberculosis: 2
HIV: 2
Meningitis: 2
Arthritis, haemoptysis, Guillain-Barre, Malaria, Chickungunya, kidney disorder, Parkinson?s disease: 1 each.

[Ronan Kelly]

Re: The situation in India, an Overview.

Cases and fatalities from H1N1 are beginning to accelerate in India. 1,308 new cases (total 5796) and 48 new deaths (total 174*) were reported in the week September 5th to September 11th. The first death was recorded from Haryana. The average age of fatalities has been dropping the past 2 weeks.
* I inadvertently omitted Goa last week

Geographic distribution:

Maharashtra: 72 (+14)
Karnataka: 60 (+21)
Gujarat: 15 (+5)
Delhi: 7 (+3)
Andhra Pradesh: 6 (+4)
Kerala: 4
Tamil Nadu: 3
Goa: 3
Uttarakhand: 1
Rajasthan: 1
Chhattisgarh: 1
Haryana: 1 (+1)

Time distribution:

Aug 1-7: 1
Aug 8-14: 23
Aug 15-21: 32
Aug 22-28: 35
Aug 29-Sep 4: 39
Sep 5- Sep 11: 44

Age Distribution:

0-9: 22
10-19:11
20-29:43
30-39:44
40-49:29
50-59:16
60-69:5
70-79:1
Unk: 3
(Average: 31.0; Median: 32; Range 2 months to 70 years).

Underlying conditions (based on media reports)

There were 48 fatal cases with reported underlying conditions.
Diabetes/High blood sugar: 12
Pregnant: 8
Hypertension: 6
Heart problems: 5
Asthma/Bronchitis: 4
Tuberculosis: 3
HIV: 3
Liver disorder:2
Meningitis: 2
Arthritis, haemoptysis, Guillain-Barre, Malaria, Chickungunya, kidney disorder, Parkinson?s disease, Dengue, Epilepsy, Muscular Dystrophy: 1 each.