Lets not forget about H5N1 in Indonesia

[Laidback Al]

With world attention focused on the current H1N1 pandemic, <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indonesia</st1:place></st1:country-region> manages to continue to avoid complying with IHR regarding the timely reporting of human cases of H5N1. <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indonesia</st1:place></st1:country-region> has the highest number of confirmed H5N1 cases in the world, but has not officially reported any human cases with onset in 2009. With the increased number of human H5N1 cases reported since January 1, 2009 in <st1:country-region w:st="on">Egypt</st1:country-region>, there is no reason to believe that humans are no longer being infected with H5N1 in <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indonesia</st1:place></st1:country-region>. The table below shows the number of confirmed H5N1 cases in Indonesia cross tabulated by month and year since 2005, followed by a graph of the data. The table and graph show that from 2005 to 2008, the period from January to June has the highest number of human cases, yet, Indonesia has not official reported one human H5N1 case with onset after January 1, 2009.

It is time again to request that Indonesia release the genetic sequences from H5N1 infected individuals as well as the specific case information on all infected individuals in the country.




<o:p> </o:p>

[The Mountains Voice]

Re: Lets not forget about H5N1 in Indonesia

With world attention focused on the current H1N1 pandemic, <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indonesia</st1:place></st1:country-region> manages to continue to avoid complying with IHR regarding the timely reporting of human cases of H5N1. <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indonesia</st1:place></st1:country-region> has the highest number of confirmed H5N1 cases in the world, but has not officially reported any human cases with onset in 2009. With the increased number of human H5N1 cases reported since January 1, 2009 in <st1:country-region w:st="on">Egypt</st1:country-region>, there is no reason to believe that humans are no longer being infected with H5N1 in <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Indonesia</st1:place></st1:country-region>.

There are 2 places that are always in my mind.....
Indonesia & Egypt. I've been saying since 2003/2004 that I believed the 1st wave of H2H infectious "Birf Flu H5N1" would come out of Indonesia. I also believe Egypt is a good candidate, and will eventually produce an H2H strain - but I think it will be slightly different.

I still believe it. And it is getting EVEN LESS coverage now - since all the focus is on H1N1.

But one thing about Indonesian Media/Official approach..... it worked. It accomplished the goal of completely removing it from public attention.

It seems to me that world/national officials have taken a chapter out of the Indonesian playbook in their approach to current H1N1.

But I still believe that Indonesia is going to be the source of the 1st really serious high mortality version of flu we are going to see. Whether that's a staight Bird Flu/H5N1, or a gene-swapped H1 / H5 new thing I don't know. I just feel that's WHAT will happen - and WHERE it will start.

[The Mountains Voice]

Re: Lets not forget about H5N1 in Indonesia

I've been saying since 2003/2004 that I believed the 1st wave of H2H infectious "Birf Flu H5N1" would come out of Indonesia.

And lest we think that things are getting any better in Indonesia, we do still find disturbing stories, even in themidst of ZERO official announcements. Below is an excerpt from JUNE 4, 2009, which Shiloh found in her thread....

http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...4&postcount=10
Excerpt.....

"At least 25 people who make direct contact with poultry that died as people are now in the investigation (ODI). They will continue to monitor for 14 days. Hopefully it does not have a suspect bird flu, "he said.