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  • #16
    Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

    Egyptian woman dies of bird flu, 2nd in week

    Mon Dec 31, 2007 2:45am EST
    CAIRO (Reuters) - A 25-year-old Egyptian woman died of bird flu on Sunday, the second fatality among humans in Egypt in less than one week, the Health Ministry said.
    Fatma Fathi Mohamed died in hospital in the Nile Delta city of Mansoura, three days after she was admitted to a smaller local hospital with a high temperature and difficulty breathing, it said in a statement carried by the state news agency MENA.
    Her death was the 17th in Egypt since the deadly virus arrived in February 2006 and it was the 42nd case of bird flu reported among humans in the Arab world's most populous country.
    The Health Ministry said that the latest victim was suspected of handling sick domestic birds -- the usual way of contracting the virus in Egypt.
    On Wednesday last week another 25-year-old woman, Ola Younis, died of bird flu in Beni Suef province south of Cairo, the first case of this winter season.
    It is the third winter that the virus has struck, after appearing to remain dormant during the hot summers.
    The health ministry said on Thursday that two other Egyptians had contracted the disease and were receiving treatment. But the latest death was not one of those and one health official said those two were still in hospital.
    John Jabbour, an official at the World Health Organisation (WHO), said last week that the new cases were not surprising.
    "The agent is there... Since July we've had no human cases and many things calmed down, so people returned to dealing with live birds as usual. Since the virus is there, we expect to have human cases. It's not a surprise at all," Jabbour said.
    The government has promoted a poultry vaccination program but coercive measures are hard to enforce.
    Around 5 million households in Egypt depend on poultry as a main source of food and income, and the government has said this makes it unlikely the disease can be eradicated.
    Health experts fear the virus could mutate into a form that spreads easily from one person to another, possibly triggering a pandemic that could kill millions.
    The virus has killed 212 people since it re-emerged in 2003, according to the most recent figures from the WHO.
    (Writing by Jonathan Wright; editing by Keith Weir)

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

      The government has promoted a poultry vaccination program but coercive measures are hard to enforce.
      Around 5 million households in Egypt depend on poultry as a main source of food and income, and the government has said this makes it unlikely the disease can be eradicated.
      Multiply that by many other countries with the same circumstances.

      .
      "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

      Comment


      • #18
        Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

        Updated map

        Comment


        • #19
          Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

          Commentary at

          Comment


          • #20
            Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

            Originally posted by niman View Post
            Commentary

            New H5N1 Cases in Egypt Raise Pandemic Concerns

            Recombinomics Commentary 11:38
            December 31, 2007

            The fourth confirmed H5N1 case in Egypt raises pandemic concerns. The four cases are in separate governorates (see satellite map). Two of the four have died (25F, 25F) while the remaining two are either in critical condition (50F) or in the ICU (22F). Three additional suspect cases have been identified (two of the suspect cases are in the same governorate, Al Minufiyah, as one of the confirmed cases).


            New confirmed H5N1 outbreaks in poultry are reported daily. These bird flu outbreaks are on commercial farms as well as small holdings and are also widespread and have raised questions about the effectiveness of a vaccination campaign. The human and poultry outbreaks have led to an alert followed by the distribution of Tamiflu, and increased surveillance. However, the condition of the four confirmed cases has suggested a more virulent strain of H5N1 is in circulation. This possibility is supported by the outbreaks on commercial farms. Last season, most outbreaks were on small holdings.

            Increased activity in Egypt was expected, due to the widespread outbreaks of H5N1 in Europe this fall. In the past no EU country reported H5N1 in the fall even though H5N1 was reported in eastern Europe in the fall of 2005 and 2006.

            In addition to the European outbreaks, a reported 38 outbreaks in Saudi Arabia have been noted and a suspect case at Kuwait airport has been described. Similarly, the first H5N1 cases have been reported in Pakistan, including the most sustained transmission chain reported to date.

            In the past, reported outbreaks in Egypt have been limited to H5N1 with regional markers found in Israel, Gaza, and Djibouti. However, the recent outbreaks in Europe have been a distinct clade 2.2 sub-clade tracing back to Uva Lake. Last season, the H5N1 in Egypt was more genetically complex. This was due in part because of recombination due to the high concentration of cases. This increased complexity was in both human and avian influenza isolates.

            Egypt lies at the intersection of two major flyways, and cases have been reported throughout the Nile Delta. Migration of the Uva Lake strain into Egypt would accelerate H5N1 evolution in the region.

            Sequence data on the recent human and avian outbreaks would be useful.


            .
            "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

            Comment


            • #21
              Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

              Eight (8) new suspected cases -- 3 in Al Minufiyah; 1 in Alexandria; and a family of 4 in Port Said.

              Also, Attorh Hanim Ibrahim (50F) and Nora Aboul Abbas Mohamed (22F) improving(?)/now testing negative(?).

              Also, more outbreaks in poultry in Al Gharbiyah and Al Qaliubiyah.

              Oh -- and dead poultry being dumped in the roads and canals again....


              Google-translated from Arabic:

              After the death of a new situation and the detention of 8 Menoufia [Al Minufiyah], Port Said and Alexandria
              The execution of 10 thousand bird Bank [in Al Gharbiyah] and Qaliubia
              The safety analysis demonstrated ma'am, Aisha from bird flu
              Citizens receive Baltra dead chickens and the streets!!

              Dec 31, 2007

              Been executed 10 thousand and 400 bird in the provinces of West [Al Gharbiyah] and Qaliubia by committees composed of veterinary medicine, health and water bodies.

              And after the emergence of new cases of Avian which led to the death case Badakkhlih and detention 3 Bhmyat Menoufiya, and 4 in Port Said .. and the situation in Alexandria ..

              The analysis results showed two women from the safety of Damietta and Qena.

              Showed that citizens still receive dead birds Baltra and streets, which threatens to aggravate the crisis.

              West [Al Gharbiyah] Ayman Al-Ghazali:

              In the West [Al Gharbiyah] were executed 5 thousand bird farm village mosque and summer status Zfti rented by Mohamed Ali Ibrahim, a committee headed by Sami Musa Prime Zfti city center. After the results of the analysis showed that the samples taken by the competent authorities to be positive.

              In Qalyubiyah emerged second focus of avian influenza farm citizen Said exactly from the village of Kafr in honor of religion Bkivr thanked been executed 5400 chickens .. The conservative Justice Adli Hussein, the necessity for commitment not to sell poultry living of the citizens.

              The head of the Center and the city of Kfar thanked Engineer Ahmad Bandari had been intensified campaigns on the market and to take all precautions during the transfer of chickens across city limits.

              Eng Ahmad Saad Delta station manager for poultry Bgaha confirmed that the station by 120 thousand chickens are working fortifications patrol them.

              On the other side is still the behavior of the people threatening to aggravate the problem with dead chickens laid on the banks of canals and agricultural roads .. They also vaccinate poultry knowledge without the supervision of veterinary medicine.

              Abdel - Menoufiya [Al Minufiyah] emerged:

              In Menoufiya [Al Minufiyah], were detained 3 hospitals pathogenesis Mnov after the [suspected] injury Avian They are: Abdul Rahman Ibrahim, "57 years" and the spiritual Abed Rabbo, "50 years" and Mohammad Ferdous "36 years" .. Hisham Atta Undersecretary of the Ministry of Health had been taking samples of infected plants and sent to the central Ministry of Health for analysis.

              Alexandria have Zaki:

              As new cases emerged in Alexandria for a woman claiming Faten out 23 years homemaker came as a result of tests to confirm infected with Avian.

              The inquiries Major General Salim al Security Director they were raising chicken house all birds were slaughtered in cooperation with the competent authorities.

              Port Said - Tariq Hassan:

              Helmi Fiqi Under the Directorate of Health that four suspected cases infected with Avian been booked for the result until the arrival of samples from the central laboratory. They are from one family.

              Damietta - Amara Nader:

              On the other hand, the analysis showed that Atwah Ibrahim ma'am already booked Hospital pathogenesis Damietta sound .. As he said. . Salah Abu Atta Director of Preventive Medicine Directorate of Health and Population that.

              The analysis also confirmed the safety of Aisha Mohammed Awad from Qena after booking Bhmyat Qena.

              http://www.algomhuria.net.eg/almessa...l/detail02.asp [<< not a permalink]

              ...when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth. - Sherlock Holmes

              Comment


              • #22
                Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                Updated list:
                Originally posted by Theresa42
                SUMMARY OF CONFIRMED AND SUSPECTED CASES IN EGYPT SINCE DEC 25

                Confirmed cases:

                Oula Yunis Ali Mohamed (25F) - d. Dec 25, 2007

                - from Beni Haroun village in Beni Suef governorate, south of Cairo
                - admitted to Beni Suef hospital on Friday, Dec 21, with high fever, breathing problems and pneumonia
                - diagnosed (test results came back) the day she died, Dec 25
                - in contact with birds thought to be infected with bird flu
                - relatives being checked/tested / mentioned in one article that her mother, specifically, was being tested
                - brother of victim said that they went to one doctor who diagnosed bronchitis, but when she didn't get better they went to another doctor in a "special hospital" who sent her to the hospital in Beni Suef
                - 39th case / 16th person to die of bf in Egypt

                Attorh Hanim Ibrahim [aka Hanem Atwa Ibrahim] (50F)

                - from Damietta governorate ("from Al Ngdi's land in the region of Ezbet meat in Damietta district")
                - admitted to Damietta hospital on Monday, Dec 24 with high fever, breathing problems and pneumonia
                - husband reports she began showing symptoms on Dec 24
                - transferred to Cairo's Abbasiyah hospital
                - reported on Dec 31st to be in critical condition
                - in contact with birds thought to be infected with bird flu; husband reports that she keep poultry and that two days before she became ill, ten of her poultry had died
                - husband and children tested and put under observation for 7 days
                - 40th case

                Nora Aboul Abbas Mohamed (21/22F)

                - from "Center Worries" in Al Minufiyah governorate (also reported: "from the belonging village of Barhim [Braheem], to Minuf center")
                - admitted to Minuf hospital on Wednesday, Dec 26 with high fever and difficulty breathing
                - transferred to Cairo's Abbasiyah hospital on Dec 27
                - father reports that she began showing symptoms on the night of Dec 25 and that she had found dead poultry in her shop that morning
                - reported on Dec 31st to be recovering in intensive care
                - poultry seller, in contact with birds thought to be infected with bird flu
                - family being tested
                - 41st case

                Fatma Fathi Mohamed (25F) - d. Dec 30, 2007

                - from Daqahliya governorate
                - admitted to local hospital on Dec 27 with high temperature and difficulty breathing; transferred to Mansoura hospital on Dec 29
                - suspected of handling sick domestic birds
                - 42th case / 17th person to die of bf in Egypt

                Firdaus Mohamed Hadad (26F) - d. Dec 31, 2007

                - from Al Minufiyah governorate
                - hospitalized on Saturday, Dec 29
                - high fever, difficulty breathing, pulmonary infection
                - reportedly in contact with sick birds
                - 18th death / 43rd case

                Suspected cases reported in the last week:

                Dec 30 -

                Mohamed Khalil Abdul Qawi (40M) - Beheira governorate - from the village of Ezbet Alhouci Bbrem Center Kom Hamada
                Nader Said Babylonian (5M) - Al Minufiyah governorate - from the village "Alaptanon"
                Ahmad Abdulmohsen (6M) - Al Minufiyah governorate - from the village "Kafr Tunbdi" at the centre of Shebin Mound

                *Note that the two boys are from the same governorate as confirmed case Nora Aboul Abbas Mohamed above.

                Dec 31 -

                Amiriya north of Cairo:
                Salah Eddin Mohamed Ali (43M) - d. Dec 29 - schoolteacher - had acute pneumonia - kept roof-top birds

                Al Minufiyah:
                Abdul Rahman Ibrahim (57M)
                Abed Rabbo (50M?)
                Mohammad Ferdous (36M)

                Alexandria:
                Faten (23F)

                Port Said:
                4 members of one family
                ...when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth. - Sherlock Holmes

                Comment


                • #23
                  Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                  Thank you Theresa42.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                    Commentary at

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                      Originally posted by niman View Post
                      Commentary

                      Five Suspect H5N1 Cases Menoufia Egypt

                      Recombinomics Commentary 14:36
                      December 31, 2007

                      In Menoufiya [Al Minufiyah], were detained 3 hospitals pathogenesis Mnov after the [suspected] injury Avian They are: Abdul Rahman Ibrahim, "57 years" and the spiritual Abed Rabbo, "50 years" and Mohammad Ferdous "36 years" .. Hisham Atta Undersecretary of the Ministry of Health had been taking samples of infected plants and sent to the central Ministry of Health for analysis.

                      The above translation describes three more suspect H5N1 cases in Menoufia, raising the number of suspect cases in the governorate to five. The most recent confirmed case was also from Menoufia, as was an earlier confirmed case. Thus, there are two confirmed and five suspect cases there.

                      There are also three confirmed cases elsewhere, in addition to multiple suspect cases. Confirmed H5N1 cases on commercial farms and backyard holdings are being reported daily (see satellite map).

                      This spike in H5N1 may ne related to new sequence migrating into the region, or the emergence of a more virulent strain.

                      Release of sequence data and human and poultry cases is critical.


                      .
                      "The next major advancement in the health of American people will be determined by what the individual is willing to do for himself"-- John Knowles, Former President of the Rockefeller Foundation

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                        Originally posted by Theresa42
                        Eight (8) new suspected cases -- 3 in Al Minufiyah; 1 in Alexandria; and a family of 4 in Port Said.

                        Also, Attorh Hanim Ibrahim (50F) and Nora Aboul Abbas Mohamed (22F) improving(?)/now testing negative(?).

                        Also, more outbreaks in poultry in Al Gharbiyah and Al Qaliubiyah.

                        Oh -- and dead poultry being dumped in the roads and canals again....


                        Google-translated from Arabic:

                        After the death of a new situation and the detention of 8 Menoufia [Al Minufiyah], Port Said and Alexandria
                        The execution of 10 thousand bird Bank [in Al Gharbiyah] and Qaliubia
                        The safety analysis demonstrated ma'am, Aisha from bird flu
                        Citizens receive Baltra dead chickens and the streets!!

                        Dec 31, 2007

                        (...)

                        Port Said - Tariq Hassan:

                        Helmi Fiqi Under the Directorate of Health that four suspected cases infected with Avian been booked for the result until the arrival of samples from the central laboratory. They are from one family.

                        (...)

                        http://www.algomhuria.net.eg/almessa...l/detail02.asp [<< not a permalink]
                        More on the four suspected cases from one family in Port Said (which is over by the Suez Canal, so not in the usual delta area)....

                        Google-translated from Arabic:

                        Detention Family Hospital pathogenesis Port Said on suspicion of injury Avian
                        Dec 31, 2007

                        Port Said Rahman unrelated: Detained by the Department of Hospital pathogenesis Said a family of four persons in the isolation hospital, after very high degree temperature and influenza and severe injuries in the suspected Avian .. family is composed of Reza Abdalmugod Abdilkadir 25 years, and allow the Radwan wife and his two sons Mohammed 9 years and Rajab 5 years. Dr. Imad Eddin Mohamed, director general of the Directorate of Health Port Said that the family maintains a village south of Port Said Radwan.

                        The Family Educational [backyard/roof-top] used bird, poultry house, and announced the formation of a medical committee to survey the region in full, and take samples from the family and sent to labs central Cairo to show how Avian infected or not. At the same time, Dr. Mustafa Musa director of veterinary services to the Directorate continue their survey area full and adjacent to the Cape cow mother behind, and the Sea Cow and educators to educate citizens ducks inside their houses, and sampling of these birds infected with the family and still under observation pending the receipt of results analysis of samples from labs and the Central Plan vaccinations and immunizations continuing and will not stop to make sure the area is free of the disease.

                        ...when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth. - Sherlock Holmes

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                          Hat-tip, Rickk!

                          Bird flu claims lives of two more Egypt women
                          Published: Tuesday, 1 January, 2008, 02:26 AM Doha Time

                          (...)

                          Health Minister Hatem al-Gabali on Sunday warned against ?slackness in the preventive measures taken to fight bird flu especially as winter approaches.?
                          But some experts say the government has not done enough and tends to react rather than act.

                          Talaat Khatib, a professor of food hygiene at Assiut University said the government awareness campaign was not comprehensive enough.

                          ?Most doctors can?t even recognise the symptoms of bird flu on a human being,? he said by telephone.

                          (...)

                          Gulf Times - Qatar’s top-selling English daily newspaper published in Qatar and provide the latest information locally and internationally.
                          ...when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth. - Sherlock Holmes

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                            Commentary at

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                              Commentary

                              Suspect H5N1 Familial Cluster in Nile Delta

                              Recombinomics Commentary 01:22
                              January 1, 2008

                              Detained by the Department of Hospital pathogenesis Said a family of four persons in the isolation hospital, after very high degree temperature and influenza and severe injuries in the suspected Avian .. family is composed of Reza Abdalmugod Abdilkadir 25 years, and allow the Radwan wife and his two sons Mohammed 9 years and Rajab 5 years. Dr. Imad Eddin Mohamed, director general of the Directorate of Health Port Said that the family maintains a village south of Port Said Radwan.

                              The Family Educational [backyard/roof-top] used bird, poultry house, and announced the formation of a medical committee to survey the region in full, and take samples from the family and sent to labs central Cairo to show how Avian infected or not.

                              The above translation describes a suspect H5N1 cluster in Port Said in the Nile Delta (see satellite map). The family of four has bird flu symptoms and is being tested, as are their birds.

                              Egypt has a large number of suspect cases, but the high number of confirmed fatal cases in the past week increases the likelihood that suspect cases will be confirmed positives.


                              More information on symptoms in this family would be useful. http://www.recombinomics.com/News/01...ster_Said.html
                              CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

                              treyfish2004@yahoo.com

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Re: EGYPT - Dec 4, 2007+

                                UPDATED SUMMARY OF CONFIRMED AND SUSPECTED CASES IN EGYPT SINCE DEC 25

                                5 confirmed cases / 4 deaths:

                                Oula Yunis Ali Mohamed (25F) - d. Dec 25, 2007

                                Attorh Hanim Ibrahim [aka Hanem Atwa Ibrahim] (50F) - d. Dec 31, 2007

                                Nora Aboul Abbas Mohamed (21/22F)

                                Fatma Fathi Mohamed (25F) - d. Dec 30, 2007

                                Firdaus Mohamed Hadad (26F) - d. Dec 31, 2007


                                12 suspected cases reported in the last week / 1 death:

                                Beheira Governorate

                                Dec 30 - Mohamed Khalil Abdul Qawi (40M)

                                Al Minufiyah Governorate

                                Dec 30 - Nader Said Babylonian (5M)
                                Dec 30 - Ahmad Abdulmohsen (6M)
                                Dec 31 - Abdul Rahman Ibrahim (57M)
                                Dec 31 - Abed Rabbo (50M?)
                                Dec 31 - Mohammad Ferdous (36M)

                                *Note that confirmed case Nora Aboul Abbas Mohamed above is also from Al Minufiyah.

                                Amiriya north of Cairo:

                                Dec 31 - Salah Eddin Mohamed Ali (43M) - d. Dec 29

                                Alexandria:

                                Dec 31 - Faten (23F)

                                Port Said:

                                Reza Abdalmugod Abdilkadir (25M) - husband of Radwan
                                Radwan - wife of Reza
                                Mohammed (9M) - son of Reza & Radwan
                                Rajab (5M) - son of Reza & Radwan
                                ...when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth. - Sherlock Holmes

                                Comment

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