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Emerg Infect Dis. Monitoring Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus through National Influenza-like Illness Surveillance, China

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  • Emerg Infect Dis. Monitoring Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus through National Influenza-like Illness Surveillance, China

    [Source: Emerging Infectious Diseases Journal, full page: (LINK). Edited.]
    Volume 19, Number 8?August 2013

    Dispatch

    Monitoring Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus through National Influenza-like Illness Surveillance, China


    Cuiling Xu, Fiona Havers, Lijie Wang, Tao Chen, Jinghong Shi, Dayan Wang, Jing Yang, Lei Yang, Marc-Alain Widdowson, and Yuelong Shu

    Author affiliations: Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China (C. Xu, L. Wang, T. Chen, J. Shi, D. Wang, J. Yang, L. Yang, Y. Shu); US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA. (F. Havers, M.-A. Widdowson)


    Abstract

    In China during March 4?April 28, 2013, avian influenza A(H7N9) virus testing was performed on 20,739 specimens from patients with influenza-like illness in 10 provinces with confirmed human cases: 6 (0.03%) were positive, and increased numbers of unsubtypeable influenza-positive specimens were not seen. Careful monitoring and rapid characterization of influenza A(H7N9) and other influenza viruses remain critical.
    ________

    As of April 28, 2013, a total of 125 cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus infection and 24 related deaths were confirmed in humans in 8 provinces and 2 municipalities (hereafter called affected provinces/municipalities) of mainland China (1). The median age of patients was 63 years; most were male and had a history of exposure to live poultry (2). The first confirmed case was reported on March 31. On April 3, the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) distributed primers and probes specific for avian influenza A(H7N9) virus to all national influenza surveillance network laboratories in China. To better understand the epidemiology, geographic spread, and clinical spectrum of this virus in China, we describe the Chinese National Influenza-Like Illness Surveillance Network (CNISN) and analyze data collected since March 4, 2013.


    The Study

    ________
    Figure 1

    Figure 1. Geographic distribution of national influenza surveillance sentinel hospitals in Beijing and Shanghai Municipalities and 8 provinces with confirmed human cases of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus infection, China, 2013.
    ________

    The CNISN includes 554 sentinel hospitals conducting surveillance for influenza-like illness (ILI; hereafter called sentinel hospitals) and 408 network laboratories in all 31 provinces of China (Figure 1). On a weekly basis, sentinel hospitals report the number of outpatient visits, by age group, for ILI and the total number of outpatients. Each week, 5?15 nasopharyngeal swab samples are collected from a convenience sample of patients who visit sentinel hospitals within 3 days of ILI onset. ILI is defined as temperature >38?C and cough or sore throat. Demographic and epidemiologic data, including age, sex, date of illness onset, and occupation, are also collected. Patient specimens are tested by real-time reverse transcription PCR or virus isolation in the affiliated laboratories.

    On April 3, 2013, to enhance surveillance for influenza A(H7N9) virus, all network laboratories were required to increase the number of specimens to a minimum of 15/week and to test all specimens collected since March 4, 2013, for influenza A(H7N9) virus by real-time reverse transcription PCR as described (3,4). We analyzed data collected by CNISN during March 4?April 28. Population data by age group were provided by the National Bureau of Statistics of China.
    ________
    Figure 2
    Figure 2. Percentage of hospital visits attributed to influenza-like illness, China, April 2, 2012?May 6, 2013. Hospital visits were made to sentinel surveillance hospitals in 7 southern provinces (SP) and 3 northern...
    ________

    During March 4?April 28, CNISN tested 46,807 nasopharyngeal swab samples from 554 sentinel hospitals throughout mainland China. Samples included 20,739 specimens from patients with ILI at 141 sentinel hospitals in 10 affected provinces/municipalities: Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Henan, Fujian, Jiangxi, and Hunan Provinces and Shanghai and Beijing Municipalities (Tables 1, 2). The median number of specimens collected each week from affected provinces/municipalities was 244 (range 72?792). Of the 20,739 samples from patients with ILI, 10,035 (48.4%) were from persons 0?14 years of age, 9,319 (44.9%) were from persons 15?59 years of age, and 1,385 (6.7%) were from persons >60 years of age. The age distribution of ILI cases in the 10 affected provinces/municipalities was substantially different from that in the overall population; persons 25?60 years of age had a lower proportion of ILI than would be expected had ILI distribution mirrored the age distribution of the population. (Technical Appendix [PDF - 98 KB - 3 pages], Figure 1). In the affected provinces/municipalities, the number of specimens tested increased from a mean of 2,643 during the week starting April 1 to a peak of 3,259 during the week starting April 9; the increase was highest among persons 15?24 and 25?59 years of age (Technical Appendix [PDF - 98 KB - 3 pages] Figure 2).

    During April 1?28, the percentage of visits for ILI increased in 5 of the 7 affected southern provinces and 2 of 3 affected northern provinces/municipalities (Figure 2). However, during the same period, the proportion of specimens positive for influenza decreased in the affected provinces/municipalities.
    Of the 10 affected provinces/municipalities, 5 reported >1 ILI patient with test results positive for influenza A(H7N9) virus.

    The percentage of specimens positive for influenza A(H7N9) virus, by province/municipality, ranged from 0 to 0.06% (Table 2). We detected influenza A(H7N9) virus in samples from 6 (0.03%) of the 20,739 patients with ILI; these cases were then reported as confirmed to the local CDCs and China CDC.

    No unsubtypeable influenza samples were reported in the affected provinces/municipalities during the study period (Technical Appendix [PDF - 98 KB - 3 pages] Table).

    Epidemiologic investigations found that 2 of the 6 patients with influenza A(H7N9) infection had not been hospitalized, and the other 4 had been hospitalized for pneumonia complications. The 2 patients who were not hospitalized were 2 and 4 years of age. Of the 4 hospitalized patients, 3 were 25?59 years of age, and 1 was 69 years of age. Four of the patients had a history of contact with live chickens or visiting a live poultry market.


    Conclusions

    After the avian influenza A(H7N9) virus outbreak was identified in China, CNISN increased sampling and testing of ILI case-patients. CNISN has tested >46,807 specimens from all provinces, including 20,739 specimens from affected provinces/municipalities. As a result of this testing, CNISN identified 6 influenza A(H7N9) virus?positive specimens in 5 provinces that were already known to have cases. These data demonstrate that avian influenza A(H7N9) virus is an uncommon cause of ILI in any age group and in the areas reporting confirmed cases of influenza A(H7N9) infection. The confirmed case-patients included 2 children who did not require hospitalization and 4 adults with more severe disease, possibly indicating that influenza A(H7N9) virus causes milder disease in younger persons.

    Although the proportion of all outpatient visits for ILI increased in affected provinces/municipalities, virologic surveillance data showed that the proportion of ILI patient specimens positive for influenza decreased, and there was no increase in unsubtypeable influenza viruses during the study period. This suggests that any increase in the percentage of consultations for ILI might be a result of increased healthcare?seeking behavior after media reports of the avian influenza A(H7N9) virus outbreak or the circulation of non-influenza respiratory viruses.

    The spectrum of illness caused by other avian influenza viruses varies tremendously and can also vary by age group.

    Previous human infections with avian influenza A(H7) viruses (i.e., subtypes H7N3, H7N2, and H7N7) have been generally mild, causing conjunctivitis, with the exception of very occasional cases of pneumonia and a single fatal case in the Netherlands in a highly exposed veterinarian (5?10). In contrast, avian influenza A(H5N1) virus has an overall case fatality rate of 60%, and persons with confirmed cases are usually severely ill (11). Recent reviews of avian influenza A(H5N1) virus seroprevalence studies found little evidence that large numbers of human infections are going undetected (12?14). Among the 82 human influenza A(H7N9) virus infections reported as of April 17, 2013, a total of 38 (46%) were in persons >65 years of age (2). We did not find evidence of widespread mild disease, suggesting that the reported cases reflect the true distribution of infection and not a surveillance artifact.

    Our study had several limitations. The 554 CNISN sentinel hospitals are located in urban areas, so the surveillance system may not detect influenza A(H7N9) virus infections in rural areas. In addition, most sentinel hospitals are tertiary care hospitals, and their patient populations are not representative of the general population with ILI. The distribution of those patients who had specimens tested is not necessarily random and may not reflect the population of those with ILI. Last, our system lacks a straightforward way to calculate rates of disease because it lacks denominators.

    The emergence of a reassortant between avian influenza A(H7N9) virus and seasonal influenza subtype viruses, with possible increased human transmissibility, is possible during the upcoming summer influenza season in southern China. Careful monitoring and rapid characterization of influenza A(H7N9) viruses and unsubtypeable viruses from infected humans will be critical. Enhanced surveillance studies of mild and severe respiratory disease and seroprevalence studies in focal areas are necessary to further characterize the epidemiology and clinical spectrum of this emerging virus.


    Dr Xu is an epidemiologist at the Chinese National Influenza Center, National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. She is interested in influenza surveillance and epidemiologic research on the transmission patterns and the effects of influenza viruses.


    Acknowledgments

    We thank the 554 sentinel hospitals and 408 network laboratories participating in the Chinese National Influenza Surveillance Network for data collection and laboratory testing. We thank the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the Ministry of Health, China, for coordinating and supporting the Chinese National Influenza Surveillance Network. We thank the China?US Collaborative Program on Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Diseases for support of epidemiologic experts and Danielle Iuliano for comments on the manuscript.

    The Chinese National Influenza-like Illness Surveillance Network was supported by the Chinese central government.
    ________

    References
    1. Ministry of Health. Three confirmed cases of human infection with a A(H7N9) avian influenza virus in Shanghai, Anhui [cited 2013 Apr 6]. http://www.moh.gov.cn/mohwsyjbgs/s3578/201303/44f25bd6bed14cf082512d8b6258fb3d.shtml
    2. Li Q, Zhou L, Zhou M, Chen Z, Li F, Wu H, Preliminary report: epidemiology of the initial H7N9 influenza outbreak in China. N Engl J Med. 2013 [Epub 2013 Apr 24].
    3. Ministry of Health. Guideline for diagnosis and treatment of human infection with a A(H7N9) avian influenza virus [cited 2013 Apr 6]. http://www.moh.gov.cn/mohyzs/s3586/201304/826ca1fb686f41ab9e8938ecdfa46a70.shtml
    4. Gao RB, Cao B, Hu YW, Feng ZJ, Wang DY, Hu WF, Severe human infections with a novel Reassortant avian-origin influenza A (H7N9) virus. N Engl J Med. 2013 [Epub 2013 Apr 11].
    5. Tweed SA, Skowronski DM, David ST, Larder A, Petric M, Lees W, Human illness from avian influenza H7N3, British Columbia. Emerg Infect Dis. 2004;10:2196?9. DOIPubMed
    6. Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Nair P, Acheson P, Baker A, Barker M, Bracebridge S, Outbreak of low pathogenicity H7N3 avian influenza in UK, including associated case of human conjunctivitis. Euro Surveill. 2006;11:E060504.2 .PubMed
    7. Editorial team. Avian influenza A/(H7N2) outbreak in the United Kingdom. Euro Surveill. 2007;12:E070531.2 .PubMed
    8. Fouchier RA, Schneeberger PM, Rozendaal FW, Broekman JM, Kemink SA, Munster V, Avian influenza A virus (H7N7) associated with human conjunctivitis and a fatal case of acute respiratory distress syndrome. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2004;101:1356?61 . DOIPubMed
    9. Koopmans M, Wilbrink B, Conyn M, Natrop G, van der Nat H, Vennema H, Transmission of H7N7 avian influenza A virus to human beings during a large outbreak in commercial poultry farms in the Netherlands. Lancet. 2004;363:587?93 . DOIPubMed
    10. Belser JA, Bridges CB, Katz JM, Tumpey TM. Past, present, and possible future human infection with influenza virus A subtype H7. Emerg Infect Dis. 2009;15:859?65 . DOIPubMed
    11. World Health Organization. Cumulative number of confirmed human cases for avian influenza A(H5N1) reported to WHO, 2003?2013 [cited 2013 Apr 30]. http://www.who.int/influenza/human_animal_interface/EN_GIP_20130426CumulativeNumberH5N1cases.pdf.pdf
    12. Van Kerkhove MD, Mumford E, Mounts AW, Bresee J, Ly S, Bridges CB, Highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1): pathways of exposure at the animal-human interface, a systematic review. PLoS ONE. 2011;6:e14582. DOIPubMed
    13. Toner ES, Adalja AA, Nuzzo JB, Inglesby TV, Henderson DA, Burke DS. Assessment of serosurveys for H5N1. Clin Infect Dis. 2013;56:1206?12 . DOIPubMed
    14. Wang TT, Parides MK, Palese P. Seroevidence for H5N1 influenza infections in humans: meta-analysis. Science. 2012;335:1463 . DOIPubMed
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    Figures________
    Tables________
    Technical Appendix________

    Suggested citation for this article: Xu C, Havers F, Wang L, Chen T, Shi J, Wang D, et al. Monitoring avian influenza A(H7N9) virus through national influenza-like illness surveillance, China. Emerg Infect Dis [Internet]. 2013 Jul [date cited]. http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1908.130662

    DOI: 10.3201/eid1908.130662
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  • #2
    Re: Emerg Infect Dis. Monitoring Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus through National Influenza-like Illness Surveillance, China

    [Source: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), full page: (LINK). Edited.]
    New Study by Chinese and CDC Experts Shows H7N9 Illness Uncommon in China


    Thursday, May 9, 2013 ? A study by CDC and Chinese public health experts published On May 8, 2013, indicates that human infections with the H7N9 virus remain very rare in China among people seeking medical care for influenza-like illness (ILI)*. This study presents some of the first available information regarding the prevalence of H7N9 among people in China.

    Researchers found that only 0.03 percent of patients who sought medical care for ILI at Sentinel sites in China from March 4 through April 28, 2013 were infected with the H7N9 virus. However, the study?s authors cautioned that China?s ILI surveillance network covers mostly urban areas and may not capture H7N9 infections among people living in rural areas of China.

    Data for the study was collected through the ?Chinese National Influenza Like Illness Surveillance Network? (CNISN), which includes 554 sentinel hospitals and 408 network laboratories operating in all 31 provinces of China.

    During the study period, the CNISN network tested 46,807 swabs from patients seeking health care for ILI. These swabs included 20,739 ILI surveillance specimens from 141 sentinel hospitals in 10 provinces where H7N9 cases have been detected (Shanghai, Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Beijing, Shandong, Henan, Fujian, Jiangxi, and Hunan). Of these 20,739 samples, only 6 (0.03%) tested positive for H7N9 infection. Among the six positive H7N9 cases, four of the patients were hospitalized for pneumonia complications.

    Among these four patients, three were 25-29 years old, and one was 69 years of age. Two of the six people infected with H7N9 were not admitted to a hospital.

    In addition, four of the six patients with H7N9 infection reported a history of contact with live chickens or having visited a live poultry market. This is consistent with other reports out of China that most of the cases of H7N9 have reported poultry contact or exposure to environments that might be contaminated with H7N9 virus, like live bird markets, for example.

    During the study period, five provinces reported one or more cases of ILI testing positive for H7N9 virus. The percent of all patient visits due to ILI increased during the study, but the proportion of ILI specimens that tested positive for flu decreased. Furthermore, there were no detections of ?unsubtypable? (and therefore, novel) flu viruses from the patients tested. This suggests that the increase in the health care visits among patients with ILI may be attributed to increased health-care seeking behavior following media reports of the H7N9 outbreak. The researchers concluded that overall, H7N9 virus infection remains an uncommon cause of ILI among patients in China?s provinces reporting confirmed H7N9 cases.

    The study, entitled ?Monitoring avian influenza A(H7N9) virus through national influenza-like illness surveillance, China? was published in the journal Emerging Infectious Diseases (EID).

    This study was a collaborative effort between Chinese public health and CDC Influenza Division experts. The CDC Influenza Division team traveled to China to assist in investigating the H7N9 virus outbreak in response to a bi-lateral request for assistance from China.
    ________

    *ILI is defined as fever (temperature of 38 degrees Celsius or greater) and cough or sore throat.
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    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Emerg Infect Dis. Monitoring Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus through National Influenza-like Illness Surveillance, China

      cidrap: http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/con...y0913h7n9.html
      eid: http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/19/...62_article.htm

      I estimate/interpret that they estimate that their were ~5000 human cases of H7N9 in China
      Mar.4-Apr.28


      554 sentinel hospitals in 31 provinces tested 46807 swabs
      141 sentinel hospitals in 10 H7N9-provinces tested 20739 swabs
      6 were positive for H7N9

      54 days during a H1N1-wave may have covered ~50% of the wave, ~2 such waves in China
      per season, ~10% of Chinese infected per season --> ~1.4B*10%*.5*.5*6/46807~4500

      in an earlier study they checked 1200 contacts of confirmed cases
      and found only 19 who developed ILI-symptoms within 7 days

      and they all tested negative.
      I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
      my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Emerg Infect Dis. Monitoring Avian Influenza A(H7N9) Virus through National Influenza-like Illness Surveillance, China

        Originally posted by Giuseppe Michieli View Post

        Epidemiologic investigations found that 2 of the 6 patients with influenza A(H7N9) infection had not been hospitalized, and the other 4 had been hospitalized for pneumonia complications. The 2 patients who were not hospitalized were 2 and 4 years of age. Of the 4 hospitalized patients, 3 were 25?59 years of age, and 1 was 69 years of age. Four of the patients had a history of contact with live chickens or visiting a live poultry market.

        Leads to two questions -

        Was there a correlation between the four who were hospitalized and the four who had contact with poultry?

        In the general population, what proportion have a history of contact with live chickens or visit a poultry market? I keep seeing that more than half of patients have a history of poultry contact, but I don't recall ever seeing the control number.
        Twitter: @RonanKelly13
        The views expressed are mine alone and do not represent the views of my employer or any other person or organization.

        Comment

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