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  • Using animals to predict natural disasters like hurricanes, earthquakes, and tsunamis

    Please take note that this article was posted in 2005


    Using animals to predict natural disasters like hurricanes, earthquakes, and tsunamis

    Biologists find some animals get early warnings on natural disasters

    By David Fleshler
    Staff Writer
    Posted January 13 2005

    As hurricane after hurricane struck Florida last year, animals showed a striking ability to predict catastrophe and get out of the way.

    </B>When Hurricane Charley came within hours of the Caloosahatchee River, eight sharks tagged by biologists suddenly bolted out of the estuary to the safety of the open ocean.

    When Hurricane Jeanne approached Gainesville, butterflies in an experimental rain forest wedged themselves under rocks and disappeared into tree hollows.

    And as the whole series of hurricanes churned through the state, birds appeared to delay their migration south, stacking up somewhere north of Florida until the route to their winter habitat was safe.

    Like the elephants, buffalo and deer of South Asia that fled to high ground well ahead of last month's tsunami, many Florida animals have shown they can predict hurricanes and take steps to survive them.

    While there was talk that the Asian wildlife displayed a "sixth sense" in anticipating the huge waves, scientists say animals may simply have a more acute ability to detect vibrations, smells or changes in barometric pressure. Until the past few decades, when humans invented weather satellites and seismographs to extend the range of their own crude sensory organs, it may be that animals had the advantage in avoiding natural disasters.

    "It doesn't make any difference if it's a hurricane, a fire or an earthquake," said Frank Mazzotti, a wildlife biologist at the University of Florida. "They apparently sense these things before humans can do that. Not a lot of work has been done to learn the sensory mechanisms. It's likely a combination of smell, vibrations and pressure. They start moving away from danger before humans pick it up."

    Hurricane Jeanne was several hours away from Gainesville last September when University of Florida biologist Thomas Emmel noticed butterflies taking shelter among rocks and trees in the university's enclosed rain forest. He suspects they could detect changes in barometric pressure with eardrum-like organs on their abdomens. Because air pressure decreases before a storm, this ability allows them to avoid being torn apart by high winds.

    About 12 hours before Hurricane Charley struck southwestern Florida, scientists at Mote Marine Laboratory noticed odd behavior among sharks they had tagged in Pine Island Sound. As underwater hydrophones listened, eight of the 10 sharks headed swiftly out to sea.

    Michelle Heupel, staff scientist at the lab's Center for Shark Research, said she suspects the sharks sensed the drop in air pressure and instinctively headed for the safety of the open ocean.

    "If they get caught in the storm surge or big wave action, they could get bashed around or pushed ashore," she said. "What we've been finding fairly consistently, that sharks in coastal areas actually leave the area as storms approach."

    While sharks fled the area, migratory birds may have delayed their flight through Florida until the hurricanes passed.

    Fred Griffin, a Broward County birder, said it appeared that birds waited until October, very late in the season to head south into Florida.

    "Once the hurricanes got through, it seemed like the migration really started," he said. "You have to figure they were hanging around and waiting for the atmosphere to clear out."

    Douglas Levey, professor of zoology at the University of Florida, said birds have the ability to time migrations to take advantage of trailing winds and avoid headwinds. As with other animals, he suspects it's through detecting changes in air pressure.

    "Nobody is out studying birds during a hurricane," he said. "But we can tell you that a lot of birds survive. Nobody has ever been able to tell where they go during a hurricane. But it's safe to say most of them find shelter."

    The hurricanes of 2004 avoided the southeastern tip of Florida, home to endangered American crocodiles. But judging from past experience, the reptiles would have known how to handle whatever nature threw at them.

    In 1992 Hurricane Andrew scored a direct hit on the crocodiles that live in the cooling canals of the Turkey Point power plant in southern Miami-Dade County. But when the storm passed, not a single dead crocodile was found. No one knows where they went, whether to open water or the bottom of 20-foot canals.

    "There was no diminishment of nesting activity," Mazzotti said.

    Not all animals could avoid danger. Last year's hurricanes wiped out about half the sea turtles nests in Florida, washing them away or burying them in sand. Many bald eagles returned to the state this winter to discover their nests were destroyed. After one of the hurricanes that passed over Lake Okeechobee, 30 to 40 dead alligators were found along the northwestern shore, Mazzotti said.

    Among experienced hunters and fishermen, it's well known that animals show themselves more in the days or hours before a hurricane, as they pack in calories before the storm makes it hard to find food.

    "When you go fishing before a storm, they bite like crazy," said Bouncer Smith, a Miami Beach charter captain. "Snook, grouper and tarpon feed very aggressively because storms cause them to relocate and make the water dirty."

    As he bow-hunted in northwest Palm Beach County the day before the arrival of Hurricane Charley, J.R. Muguerza saw a huge buck with a nine-point rack emerge from the forest. He shot it dead, crediting the approaching hurricane with drawing out the big animal.

    As he hunted, he was struck by the number of deer and hogs scurrying around the pine trees and palmetto bushes trying to stock up on food before the storm.

    "They're feeding and running around," he said. "It was like somebody rang the dinner bell."

    http://www.mongabay.com/external/2005/01_13-sun.html

  • #2
    Re: Using animals to predict natural disasters like hurricanes, earthquakes, and tsunamis

    Did Animals Sense Tsunami Was Coming?

    By Maryann Mott
    for National Geographic News

    January 4, 2005

    <!--- startbody --->Before giant waves slammed into Sri Lanka and India coastlines ten days ago, wild and domestic animals seemed to know what was about to happen and fled to safety. According to eyewitness accounts, the following events happened:<!--- deckend --->

    ? Elephants screamed and ran for higher ground.
    ? Dogs refused to go outdoors.
    ? Flamingos abandoned their low-lying breeding areas.
    ? Zoo animals rushed into their shelters and could not be enticed to come back out.

    The belief that wild and domestic animals possess a sixth sense?and know in advance when the earth is going to shake?has been around for centuries.

    Wildlife experts believe animals' more acute hearing and other senses might enable them to hear or feel the Earth's vibration, tipping them off to approaching disaster long before humans realize what's going on.

    The massive tsunami was triggered by a magnitude 9 temblor off the coast of northern Sumatra island on December 26. The giant waves rolled through the Indian Ocean, killing more than 150,000 people in a dozen countries.

    Relatively few animals have been reported dead, however, reviving speculation that animals somehow sense impending disaster.

    Ravi Corea, president of the Sri Lanka Wildlife Conservation Society, which is based in Nutley, New Jersey, was in Sri Lanka when the massive waves struck.
    Afterward, he traveled to the Patanangala beach inside Yala National Park, where some 60 visitors were washed away.

    The beach was one of the worst hit areas of the 500-square-mile (1,300-square-kilometer) wildlife reserve, which is home to a variety of animals, including elephants, leopards, and 130 species of birds. Corea did not see any animal carcasses nor did the park personnel know of any, other than two water buffalos that had died, he said.<!--- deckend --->

    Along India's Cuddalore coast, where thousands of people perished, the Indo-Asian News service reported that buffaloes, goats, and dogs were found unharmed.

    Flamingos that breed this time of year at the Point Calimere wildlife sanctuary in India flew to higher ground beforehand, the news service reported.

    Strange Animal Behavior

    Accounts of strange animal behavior have also started to surface.
    About an hour before the tsunami hit, Corea said, people at Yala National Park observed three elephants running away from the Patanangala beach.
    World Wildlife Fund, an organization that leads international efforts to protect endangered species and their habitats, has satellite collars on some of the elephants in the park.

    A spokeswoman said they plan to track the elephants on that fateful day to verify whether they did move to higher ground. She doesn't know, though, when the satellite data will be downloaded and analyzed.
    Corea, a Sri Lankan who emigrated to the United States 20 years ago, said two of his friends noticed unusual animal behavior before the tsunami.

    One friend, in the southern Sri Lankan town of Dickwella, recalls bats frantically flying away just before the tsunami struck. Another friend, who lives on the coast near Galle, said his two dogs would not go for their daily run on the beach.

    "They are usually excited to go on this outing," Corea said. But on this day they refused to go and most probably saved his life.

    Alan Rabinowitz, director for science and exploration at the Bronx Zoo-based Wildlife Conservation Society in New York, says animals can sense impending danger by detecting subtle or abrupt shifts in the environment.

    "Earthquakes bring vibrational changes on land and in water while storms cause electromagnetic changes in the atmosphere," he said. "Some animals have acute sense of hearing and smell that allow them to determine something coming towards them long before humans might know that something is there."
    Did Humans Lose Their Sixth Sense?

    At one time humans also had this sixth sense, Rabinowitz said, but lost the ability when it was no longer needed or used.

    Joyce Poole is director of the Savanna Elephant Vocalization Project, which has its headquarters in Norway. She has worked with African elephants in Kenya for 25 years. She said the reports of Sri Lanka's elephants fleeing to higher ground didn't surprise her.

    Research on both acoustic and seismic communication indicates that elephants could easily pick up vibrations generated from the massive earthquake-tsunami, she said.

    Poole has also experienced this firsthand.

    "I have been with elephants during two small tremors, and on both occasions the elephants ran in alarm several seconds before I felt the tremor," she said.

    One of the world's most earthquake-prone countries is Japan, where devastation has taken countless lives and caused enormous damage to property. Researchers there have long studied animals in hopes of discovering what they hear or feel before the earth shakes. They hope that animals may be used as a prediction tool.

    Some U.S. seismologists, on the other hand, are skeptical. There have been documented cases of strange animal behavior prior to earthquakes. But the United States Geological Survey, a government agency that provides scientific information about the Earth, says a reproducible connection between a specific behavior and the occurrence of a quake has never been made.

    "What we're faced with is a lot of anecdotes," said Andy Michael, a geophysicist at USGS. "Animals react to so many things?being hungry, defending their territories, mating, predators?so it's hard to have a controlled study to get that advanced warning signal."
    In the 1970s a few studies on animal prediction were done by the USGS, "but nothing concrete came out of it," Michael said. Since that time the agency has made no further investigations into the theory.

    http://news.nationalgeographic.com/n...i_animals.html

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