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...EARL EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE OUTER BANKS AS A LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.7N 75.2W ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 720 MI...1155 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO MEDWAY HARBOUR AND FROM DIGBY TO FORT LAWRENCE.
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR NEW BRUNSWICK FROM JUST WEST OF FORT LAWRENCE WESTWARD TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. * WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE. * NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA. * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. * THE EASTERN PORTION OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR. * NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS... INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE. * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR. * NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO MEDWAY HARBOUR AND FROM DIGBY TO FORT LAWRENCE. * NEW BRUNSWICK FROM JUST WEST OF FORT LAWRENCE WESTWARD TO THE U.S./CANADA BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST. EARL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR
THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN
NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT EARL HAS BEGUN TO
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD
CONTINUE TODAY AND FRIDAY...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
POWERFUL HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR THE OUTER BANKS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES...370 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE
WAS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN IF
THE CENTER OF EARL REMAINS OFFSHORE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THE OUTER BANKS BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO
NEW JERSEY TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN BOTH HURRICANE WARNING
AREAS AND THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY. ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER TO THE NORTH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMAS
AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
Dangerous Hurricane Earl heading for Outer Banks of North Carolina - About 26 million people in 68 counties, stretching from North Carolina to Maine, could face hurricane and tropical storm conditions within the next 48 hours
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: THURSDAY, SEPT. 2, 2010
Media Advisory ? Census Bureau Provides Updated Look at Coastal Areas Potentially Impacted by Hurricane Earl
The U.S. Census Bureau today released updated demographic information on the coastal communities potentially impacted by Hurricane Earl.
Based on the current projected path of Hurricane Earl, currently a Category 3 storm, the Census Bureau calculates about 26 million people in 68 counties, stretching from North Carolina to Maine, could face hurricane and tropical storm conditions within the next 48 hours. This figure comes from the Census Bureau's 2009 population estimates.
According to the latest National Hurricane Center advisory today (2 p.m. EDT), Hurricane Earl, centered about 245 miles south of Cape Hatteras, N.C. and 720 miles south-southwest of Nantucket, Mass., with maximum sustained winds of 125 miles per hour, is projected to brush the North Carolina and Virginia coasts tonight, staying offshore and moving past New England early on Saturday. The National Hurricane Center indicates that area residents may experience heavy rains, high winds and coastal flooding.
The Census Bureau produces timely local data that are critical to emergency planning, preparedness and recovery efforts. According to the most recent storm track data available, once the hurricane moves past Dare County, N.C., the likeliest county with a sizeable population to be directly impacted is Barnstable County, Mass.
The median housing value for Barnstable County, Mass., where Cape Cod is located, was $408,100. Additionally, about 83 percent of housing units were built before 1990. The median household income was $60,452, and about 6 percent of the population lived in poverty. Nearly 5 percent of householders did not have access to a vehicle. These data come from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey 3-year estimates.
Furthermore, 24.5 percent of the residents of Barnstable County, Mass., were 65 and older, according to 2009 population estimates.
To view more detailed population and economic data, please visit the Census Bureau's American FactFinder application at <www.factfinder.census.gov> and the data profile for <Barnstable County, Mass.>
There were 8,549 employer business establishments in Barnstable County, which employed 73,970 workers. The total annual payroll for these businesses was $2.8 billion. In addition, there were 23,955 nonemployer businesses in Barnstable County, Mass. The health care and social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation and food services sectors employed about 57 percent of all workers in Barnstable County. These statistics come from the 2008 County Business Patterns and the 2008 Nonemployer Statistics data sets.
As the 2010 hurricane season progresses, the Census Bureau will continue to post information about the affected areas on its Census Bureau Data and Emergency Preparedness website at <www.census.gov/newsroom/emergencies/>.
Please visit our "OnTheMap for Emergency Management: Hurricanes" application at <lehdmap4.did.census.gov/themap4/em/index.html> to view the relationship between where people work and where they live and the characteristics of the local workforce.
For current forecast and status of Hurricane Earl, please visit the National Hurricane Center website at <www.nhc.noaa.gov>.
-X-
Editor?s note: News releases, reports and data tables are available on the Census Bureau?s home page. Go to <http://www.census.gov> and click on ?Releases.?
Re: Dangerous Hurricane Earl heading for Outer Banks of North Carolina - About 26 million people in 68 counties, stretching from North Carolina to Maine, could face hurricane and tropical storm conditions within the next 48 hours
Hurricane Weakens as It Hits the Coast</NYT_HEADLINE> Doug Mills/The New York Times
Beachgoers looked on as the waves broke on the Avalon Pier in North Carolina as Hurricane Earl headed for the East Coast. <NYT_BYLINE>
KITTY HAWK, N.C. ? Hurricane Earl flooded roads and left thousands of people without power along North Carolina?s coastline on Friday morning, but the weakening storm seemed to have passed without inflicting any serious harm as it churned north through the Atlantic.
The storm was still lashing the Outer Banks with heavy rain and gusting winds, but it was downgraded to a Category 2 hurricane from a Category 3 early Friday morning.
In Hyde County, there were reports of 5,000 people without power and three feet of flooding along barrier islands that received the brunt of the storm?s impact. But emergency officials in neighboring Dare County said the night had passed quietly, with few calls for help from the residents who had decided not to evacuate.
?It?s been sort of a brush-by blow,? said Mark Van Sciver, a spokesman for the state?s Emergency Operations Center, who said there were no reports of injuries or deaths.
Hurricane Earl now a Category 2 continues toward the north-northeast
Hurricane EARL Public Advisory
000
WTNT32 KNHC 031145
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
800 AM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010
...HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...WEATHER
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE IN THE OUTER BANKS LATER THIS MORNING...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.2N 73.6W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND THE EASTERN
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER
* STONINGTON MAINE EASTWARD TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM LISMORE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO
ECUM SECUM
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET ON THE SOUTH
SHORE AND WEST OF PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR ON THE NORTH SHORE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM TIDNISH WESTWARD TO SHEDIAC
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM NORTHEASTWARD TO POINT TUPPER...AND
EAST OF LISMORE TO POINT TUPPER
* CAPE BRETON ISLAND AND THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.6 WEST. EARL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EARL
WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TODAY...AND WILL
APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED REMAIN A LARGE
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM. DARE COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT NORTH CAROLINA JUST
REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 70 MPH...113 KM/HR.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING ALONG THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BUT ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL
LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO MASSACHUSETTS
LATER TODAY...AND SPREAD OVER THE COAST OF MAINE WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN MASSACHUSETTS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA OVER NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS IN THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY.
STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER MASSACHUSETTS.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA...STORM SURGE WILL
RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES...WITH STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA AND
ACROSS CENTRAL AND COASTAL MAINE.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY...AND BEGIN TO SUBSIDE IN THE NORTHERN
BAHAMAS. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS
AND RIP CURRENTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
...EARL CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...RAIN AND WIND SPREADING OVER
LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.1N 70.8W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES
...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO CANADA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST. EARL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...EARL WILL BE VERY NEAR
OR JUST EAST OF CAPE COD LATER TONIGHT AND REACH THE COAST OF NOVA
SCOTIA ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED REMAIN A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AS
IT APPROACHES SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND NOVA SCOTIA TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA FROM LONG ISLAND TO MASSACHUSETTS THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...MOST OF THE HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF CAPE COD...HOWEVER ONLY A SMALL
DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING HURRICANE
CONDITIONS TO THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL REACH THE WARNING AREA IN MAINE EARLY SATURDAY
...AND SPREAD ACROSS THE WARNING AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON
SATURDAY.
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS COULD RISE BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD INCLUDING
LONG ISLAND SOUND. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED
BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUBSIDE FROM THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA TO DELAWARE BAY.
RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
Tropical storm Earl moving NE - Very near Nova Scotia
Tropical Storm EARL Public Advisory
000
WTNT32 KNHC 041145
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 2010
...EARL VERY NEAR NOVA SCOTIA...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.9N 65.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF CAPE SABLE NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR MAINE FROM
STONINGTON TO EASTPORT.
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR NOVA
SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO POINT TUPPER.
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM DIGBY TO PORT MAITLAND HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA
BORDER TO FUNDY NATIONAL PARK HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO POINT TUPPER
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE FUNDY NATIONAL PARK EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF EARL WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER NOVA SCOTIA TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...EARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A VERY LARGE AND STRONG
EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CANADIAN
MARITIME PROVINCES.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
FROM THE CENTER. BUOY 44024 LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE
SABLE REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE REACHED THE WARNING
AREA IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TODAY.
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL VALUES ALONG THE
SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. NEAR THE COASTS...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
RAINFALL...EARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER EASTERN MAINE...NEW BRUNSWICK...NOVA
SCOTIA...AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NEW JERSEY NORTHWARD THROUGH TODAY.
THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
Re: Tropical storm Earl moving NE - Very near Nova Scotia
Earl hammers Nova Scotia Hurricane packs heavy rain, strong winds By THE CANADIAN PRESS and BEVERLEY WARE South Shore Bureau | UPDATED 12:42 p.m. Sat, Sep 4 - 4:54 AM
A fast-moving hurricane Earl has shifted to make landfall near Halifax, toppling trees and bringing down power lines as the storm barrelled through the Maritimes.
While the National Hurricane Centre in the United States had categorized Earl as a tropical storm, the Canadian Hurricane Centre said the storm was a Category 1 hurricane late Saturday morning.
Forecaster Chris Fogarty said an offshore buoy recorded wind speeds of 120 kilometres per hour.
``Our decision to maintain this as a Category 1 strength is founded by this observation,'' Fogarty told reporters during a conference call from the centre's headquarters in the Halifax suburb of Dartmouth.
The storm, fuelled in part by air and sea temperatures warmer than normal, brought heavy sheets of rain and swift gusts.
Fogarty said Earl was expected to track over the middle of Nova Scotia throughout the day, though the winds at the centre of the storm weren't as fierce.
``The really critical, tree damaging-type winds with possible structural damage ? siding on buildings, shingles and what not ? is likely to occur southeast of the track,'' he said.
...
Power outages were spreading across southern Nova Scotia, including Halifax, and the Annapolis Valley as the storm progressed.
One person has died in Nova Scotia in an incident related to Hurricane Earl.
Halifax Regional Police said two men made their way at about 2 p.m. AT Saturday to a boat that had slipped its moorings at Blind Bay on the outskirts of the city, though it wasn't clear how they got out to it. Once the vessel was reattached, one of the men dived into the water to swim back but slipped under the surface as he tried to return to land.
The man, believed to be in his 50s, was unresponsive when he was brought to shore, police say. An autopsy will be performed to determine the cause of death.
Hurricane Earl landed in Lunenburg County as a Category 1 hurricane at about 11:30 a.m. AT, but weakened to a tropical storm as it moved inland, said CBC meteorologist Peter Coade.
Around the time of the accident the winds were gusting to 100 km/h.
Earl brought high winds and heavy rain, knocking out power to more than 200,000 people as it moves through the Maritimes. In the late afternoon it was still buffeting Cape Breton as it moved over Prince Edward Island.
Halifax was lashed with wind gusts up to 109 km/h, leaving roads littered with fallen trees.
Power outages were reported all around Nova Scotia, from the southwest tip to Cape Breton. About 221,000 homes and businesses were without electricity as of 5 p.m. AT. Some homes may not have their power restored until Monday night...
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Doug Mills/The New York Times
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