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The COVID Digest, 26 Mar 2022

Mary Wilson

Well-known member
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Amber Schmidtke, PhD

This week things are nearing historic lows on the COVID-19 front as we look at the data nationally. Nationwide, the 7-day average for cases is lower than it has been in a long time, but still 173% higher than the previous low set on 21Jun2021. Similarly, COVID hospitalizations are nearing the 2021 low (set 29Jun2021), but remain 15% higher. The US is still averaging 801 deaths per day. But this is a big improvement considering that the US averaged >1000 deaths per day from 21Aug2021 - 21Mar2022. ...

... The new Community Levels map from CDC has thresholds so high that by the time an area pops out of the green zone, there is already a lot of momentum for the virus. It means we are scrambling to find other warning signs and unfortunately some of it is limited or anecdotal - not exactly where we want to be. For example, requests for travel nurses are starting to tick upward. We can also look at wastewater surveillance. ...

... Last week, BA.2 (pink) represented about a third of the specimens sequenced for Region 1 (the northeast). This week, it represents 55% of the specimens sequenced, a healthy jump. You can see how this proportion has grown over the past two months in the graph below. ...

https://amberschmidtkephd.substack....=9rxea&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
 
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