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Swine flu could bring UK to a halt, Whitehall told

Chuck

Moderator
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jul/12/swine-flu-paralyse-country


Swine flu could bring UK to a halt, Whitehall told

Vital sections of society could be paralysed if swine flu reaches epidemic proportions as expected, the government has been warned.

A Whitehall meeting of emergency services and business chiefs has been told that more than a third of Britain's businesses have no response plans at all for dealing with the pandemic, while specific fears have been raised about the ability of the country's broadband network and the London Underground to operate effectively.

The development follows news last week that the first British person with no underlying health problems had died of swine flu. The patient, who died on Friday at a hospital in Essex, was the 15th swine flu-related death in the UK. "This death underlines that, although the virus is proving generally mild in most people, it is more severe in some cases," said the government's chief medical officer, Sir Liam Donaldson.

Doctors have also warned that rates of infection are reaching epidemic levels in London and the West Midlands. Several million people could become ill with either seasonal flu or swine flu by the end of the year. Schools would close and transport and other vital services, such as GP surgeries, would be put under severe strain.

As a result, health officials are considering plans that would allow people with suspected swine flu to take up to two weeks off work without a doctor's note. At present employees are allowed to sign themselves off sick for seven days.

According to data revealed at the Whitehall meeting, 38% of businesses have no response plans for dealing with a pandemic. At the meeting, transport bosses outlined details of how trains, airports and bus services would function. Transport for London officials said staff shortages could produce a reduced tube service but argued this would be sufficient as there would be fewer commuters.

But international business continuity expert Lyndon Bird, who attended the meeting, told the Observer he was "not convinced" by TfL's response. Bird, who is international technical director of the Business Continuity Institute, was also sceptical about the ability of Britain's digital infrastructure to cope with hundreds of thousands of people being forced to work from home.

BT could not give "definitive" assurances that Britain's broadband network would work fully because of the vast numbers of people logging on from home, he said.
 
Re: Swine flu could bring UK to a halt, Whitehall told

http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/mpapps/pagetools/print/news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/8149796.stm?ad=1
Story from BBC NEWS July 14:

Swine flu 'to disrupt transport'

A UK swine flu epidemic could severely disrupt transport in London, a business group and union have warned.
If 40% of the UK population contract it, as the government estimates, there will be "considerable" travel problems, the Business Continuity Institute says.

Transport for London (TfL) said it had contingency plans and any service reduction would correspond with a reduced number of passengers.
The Rail, Maritime and Transport (RMT) union has demanded to see the plans...

England's chief medical officer Sir Liam Donaldson said the number of cases in London is approaching epidemic levels.

Business Continuity Institute director Lyndon Bird said he expected "quite a lot" of rail stations to close and a significant reduction in the number of trains and buses available as swine flu spreads.

He said: "This will maybe handle the volume that are required but it will certainly cause considerable travelling delays to the public and will probably cause frustrations and difficulties for businesses."

'Devastating' impact

RMT general secretary Bob Crow said transport workers are at greater risk of contracting swine flu as they tend to work in close contact with the public, often in confined spaces such as trains, buses and on the London Underground.

Mr Crow said: "If the predicted development of the swine flu is accurate it will have a devastating impact on transport services and will expose both the shortage of staff and the inadequate planning across our fragmented system."

He added: "London is expected to be hardest hit and it would be a dangerous gamble to try to run services without adequate staffing levels."
A TfL spokesman said: "If a pandemic were to occur then it is likely that transport staff, like the rest of the general population, will be affected, which could reduce the number of frontline staff available to operate services.

"Depending on the numbers affected then this could mean that the overall level of transport service provided would reduce, but this would correspond with a reduction in passenger demand due to the spread of flu within the general population."

But Mr Crow said this was "dangerous nonsense" that was "miles out of touch with the safety implications of running services with inadequate staffing levels".
The union asked to view TfL's contingency transport plans and to be involved in future discussions on dealing with the spread of swine flu.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/uk_news/8149796.stm
 
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