Re: "Revere" will be interviewed by Sharon Sanders of the FluTrackers Team on Monday January 11, 2010
{Sharon is louder today, but a bit hard to understand for me
revere also hard to understand for me
how many reveres are there}
22:04 5year anniversary , 2nd to blog about health , (12 months)
22:06 how fluwikie was founded
22:10 how to organize health and services in a pandemic with 30% absenteism
22:12 praising FW+FT
{with so much mutual praising, you wonder why they don't merge}
22:14 flu very unpredictable maybe the least predictable infectious disease
22:16 compares flu with auto-accidents
22:17 not learn from this pandemic for this pandemic, it takes longer
22:19 nobody knows where the resistance against panflu of the elderly comes from
22:20 what makes a virus virolent
22:22 different impact of the same strain in different communities
22:23
a)coughing+sneezing, big droplets
b)tiny droplets ... for days
{big droplets sink, become dust, rise again ?}
c)contact
22:26 no evidence that hanwashing helps against flu
22:27 why flu is seasonal
22:28 Palese for humidity , but Nicaragua against it July+August, peak 100% humidity
22:29 break
22:32 again all the posters listed {why}
thinks they want to be acknowledged
22:35 risk from vax many magnitudes lower than risk from the flu
22:37 {I didn't understand exactly, he predicts another wave ~Feb.15 ?}
22:39 too late for vax if a 3rd wave comes {why ?}
22:40 3rd wave likely H1N1, but seasonal also possible
22:42 human flu was H1,H2,H3 {back to when ?, early pandemics could have been anything}
22:43, 1957,1968,1977
2 types since 1977 {amount of flu increases or they share the human resources since then ?}
22:47 crowding out
22:48 my question !!!
{says I had asked him on the blog, so it's the same revere - I never felt there
were more than one }
no confidence in his own number , if he gave it (>0,<100) (<50%)
22:50 another pandemic is possible
{but pH1N1 may crowd it out as long as we have no immunity against it ?!}
22:52 dislikes numbers but "very,very high" (H5N1-CFR)
22:54 better invest in public health+social services to prepare for panflu
because vax,antivirals are only for one special strain
{blackout for me, no more sound}
{22:58 reload ... still nothing}
Always counting something!