• FluTrackers.com Inc. does not provide medical advice. Information on this web site is collected from various internet resources, and the FluTrackers board of directors makes no warranty to the safety, efficacy, correctness or completeness of the information posted on this site by any author or poster. The information collated here is for instructional and/or discussion purposes only and is NOT intended to diagnose or treat any disease, illness, or other medical condition. Every individual reader or poster should seek advice from their personal physician/healthcare practitioner before considering or using any interventions that are discussed on this website. By continuing to access this website you agree to consult your personal physican before using any interventions posted on this website, and you agree to hold harmless FluTrackers.com Inc., the board of directors, the members, and all authors and posters for any effects from use of any medication, supplement, vitamin or other substance, device, intervention, etc. mentioned in posts on this website, or other internet venues referenced in posts on this website.
  • We are not asking for any donations. Do not donate to any entity who says they are raising funds for us.

nCoV case numbers

gsgs

gsgs

Registered User
----2020/02/17/00:00 CET the first post in this thread was edited for update---------------

ome daily time series, which I think are important
to decide whether they can contain it
Time series which can be easily updated in this very first post in the thread
Jan.25-Feb.16

=======================
Feb.10-Feb.14, daily new cases, old method only
Hubei_old,2097,1638,1508,1728,1282,955
Wuhan_old,1552,1104,1072,1330,1001,?
H-W_old , 545,534, 436, 398, 281,?
hospitalised in Hubei on that day , Feb10-Feb14
25087,26121,33693,36719,38107-including 8309 with the new diagnosis

the data is no longer given since Feb.15
==============================


---------------------------------------
Hubei ex Wuhan, daily new reported confirmed cases Jan25-:
277,291,399,525,678,842,771,
1027,1070,1103,1189,1221,946,856*,
768,697,545,534,436*=1404,913,497,
295,243

*: change of definition

-----------------------------------------
China ex Hubei , daily new confirmed cases Jan.25-:
365,398,480,619,705,761,752,
678,722,890,728,707,696,558,
509,444,381,377,312,267,221
166,115

-----------------------------------------------------
China ex Hubei, daily new suspected cases Jan.25-
* since Feb.12 China ex Wuhan
----,----,----,----,----,----,----,
1956,1913,1890,2014,2098,2211,2141,
1849,1736,1722,1657,757*,681,709
645,571

-----------------------------------------
beeing treated in hospital, Hubei, Jan.25-
----,----,2567,3349,4334,5486,6738,
8565,9618,10990,12627,14314,15804,19835,
20993,22160,25087,26121,33693*,36719,38107,
39447,40814

---------------------------------------------
severe cases in hospital on that day , Hubei, Jan.25-
----,----,690,899,988,1094,1294,
1562,1701,2143,2520,3084,4002,5195,
5247,5505,6344,7241,7084*,9638,10152,
10396,9797

--------------------------------------
under observation, Hubei, Jan.25-
6904,9103,15559,20336,26632,32340,36838,
43121,56088,58544,66764,64127,64057,67802,
70438,73127,76207,77195,77308*,77685,77323,
74261,71613


by province and Hubei-cities:
https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ac...rest-of-china/





================================================== ======================

wikipedia has the list:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeli...virus_outbreak

here my charts from the wiki-data :
http://magictour.free.fr/JAN31.GIF

some of the logarithmic charts on the right bend a little towards horizontal,
which is a good sign.
However, this could be due to reduced report of cases, as they are being overwhelmed

---------------------------------------------------------
here ia a list of 4116 cases (as of 02/02) with additional data:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...008/edit#gid=0


data from feb01 :
http://magictour.free.fr/FEB01.GIF


seems to slow down ! discuss this also at https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/
 
Last edited:
epidemic charts updated :

https://ncovinfo.createaforum.com/ac...idemic-charts/

-----------------edit----------------
Feb.06
New Coronavirus Pneumonia Prevention and Control Program (Fourth Edition)
"The reported 'suspected cases' and 'clinical diagnosis cases' (only in Hubei Province)
shall be revised as 'confirmed cases' or be eliminated in time according to the
laboratory test results.
The reported 'asymptomatic infected persons' shall be revised as 'confirmed cases'
in a timely manner if any clinical manifestation occurs."
http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/...138bd0509a.pdf page 15
 
Last edited:
the numbers of new cases continue to go down. There was a big increase of severe cases
in Hubei ex Wuhan, consistent with the time-lag between infection and death.
Severe cases were also up a lot in Hubei.
But the total number of new cases is going down.
Wuhan could be special, though. Down today, but it goes up and down
almost randomly - let's say "stable" since 7 days
Surprising the small number of severe cases and deaths in China ex Hubei,
they should get more now with the calculated 22-days-timelag
between infection and death.
With this speed of decline there would be no new cases outside Wuhan in one week
-------------------------------------------------------
ahh, I've looked at hospitalization numbers , contacts traced, observations
in Hubei and these are still going up. I don't have these for China ex Hubei
and Hubei ex Wuhan yet
Since Feb.08 Hubei also lists suspected cases and these are going down.
But why would hospitalizations be going up and contacts tracings and observations
 
Last edited:
Hubei numbers are down again, especilly Wuhan
hospitalization in Hubei are up again, although not so much

surprisingly deaths are a little down too, with the 3-weeks-lag they should climb now

Hubei ex Wuhan, daily new reported confirmed cases Jan25-Feb11:
277,291,399,525,678,842,771,1027,1070,1103,1189,1221,946,856*,768,697,545,534

*: change of definition

-------------02:20 UTC , the update from China is available--------------
almost the same as yesterday, making a pause in the decline-trend outside Wuhan
deaths and severe cases are not going up yet, as anticipated from the 3-weeks-lag

reporting more severe cases in Hubei than in whole China --> must be an error somewhere
suspected cases are also down a bit
(in case that former confirmed cases are now subsumed under "suspected")
Hubei now has 4890 "clinically diagnosed" , I speculate they came from "suspected"
which went down by 5392. There are 2 lists for "suspected" in Hubei,
one has 1685 cases, the other 11295
 
gsgs said:
reporting more severe cases in Hubei than in whole China --> must be an error somewhere
Click to expand...
There is definitely some confusion in the translation as the critical cases are often reported separately but are included in the severe cases. The words critical and severe seem to both translate into English as "severe" making it impossible for me to keep it all straight. For instance, you could have 1 severe case and 1 critical case but their report translates as "2 severe cases and 1 severe case" even though the 2 severe cases include the 1 critical case. :confused:
 
yes, and I get "critical and critical" instead of "severe and critical", but this seems to be not the problem here. I speculate it's because
they use different numbering guidelines now for Hubei and other provinces
I just dicovered that China has also an English site , but it's not updated yet for Feb11
http://www.nhc.gov.cn/yjb/
http://en.nhc.gov.cn/DailyBriefing.html
http://wjw.hubei.gov.cn/fbjd/dtyw/index.shtml

-------------------------------------------------------
I see, they have an explanation:
The number of newly added severe cases is obtained by subtracting the number of severe cases on the previous day from the number of existing severe cases on that day. There are medical outcomes such as mild disease and death in severe cases. On February 11, the number of severe cases in 12 provinces decreased by 44 cases, and the number of severe cases in 8 provinces including Hubei increased by 915 cases.
 
China,55+49,53+29,45+28,31+17,48+44
SKor,91,146,105,78,125,101,89
Denmark,55,172,252,160,128,lockdown,32,39,57,92,91 ,
108,112,83,94,70,135,144,162,176,167,198,191,284
Czech,CZ,0,0,3,0,2,0,3,11,7,6,6,25,31,22,25,48,109 ,lockdown
85,67,110,205,124,158,114,128,185,291,259,373,262, 160,184,256
Netherlands,155,176,278,292,346,409,534,637,573,54 5,811,852,
1019,1172,1159,1104,884,845,1019
Austria : 430,680,925,684,838,1050,596,541,841,597,512
Japan,55,41,64,34,15,44,41,36,57,47,32,42 ,65,98,96,112,194,173, 87,225
Singapore,2,2,2,5,13,8,12,10,6,12,9,13,12,14,17,23 ,47,32,40,47,23,54,49,73,52,49,70,42,35,47,74
Taiwan,1,1,1,3,6,8,10,23,8,27,18,16,26,20,20,17,15 ,16,15,8,16,7
HongKong,5,1,5,9,2,6,4,7,9,10,25,16,48,18,43,40,29 ,24,43,65,64,59,41,32,51
Australia,0,8,3,10,7,12,20,15,29,42,50,50,78,77, 113,142,167,196,
281,364,430,285,379,369,460,345,265,311,303,184
New Zealand,1,2,0,4,8,8,11,13,14,36,53,50,78,85,83,63, 75,58,61,89
USA,2410,3948,5417,6271,8631,10410,9939,12226,1705 0,
19046,20093,19960,20718,25196,25756
-----------------------------------------
 
Italy charts by region : [sorry, I don't know how to remove the big graphics now
(replace by a link)
i-0402.GIF
 
Last edited:
gs x & y axis scales?
Edit: sorry x is days but did they say what y was in, I assume it is not log.
 
Last edited:
euromomo week 15 : http://magictour.free.fr/euromo15.GIF
Italy,UK,CZ,PL,AUT positive-rates : http://magictour.free.fr/PR-0416.GIF
Italy provinces : http://magictour.free.fr/ip-0417.GIF
in most Northern provinces it looks horizontal, not going down.
E.g. Torino,Milano,Pavia
South Korea : http://magictour.free.fr/kor0418.GIF
they keep it out, see the positive-rate
France, daily deaths from all causes by department : http://magictour.free.fr/F-0406.GIF
peak in Paris ~Apr01
99 worldcharts in one picture, updated daily : http://magictour.free.fr/w-0417.GIF
down : CHN,AUT,CHE,KOR,NOR,AUS,GRC,ISL,LUX,THA,NZL,CZE
 
2020/10/22,
population,
country,
new cases,
positive-rate
in hospital+new
in ICU +new
new deaths

Code: 
012,BEL,+16746,18.7%,03649+375,0573+48,+049
045,ARG,+16325,41.6%,30247+180,4611+38,+438
012,CZE,+14151,34.0%,04777+360,0735+78,+106
327,USA,+73103,06.7%,41010+739,8086-96,+1038
083,GER,+12466,03.0%,04798+358,1034+87,+044
047,SPA,+20986,12.4%,14160+462,1966+36,+155
065,FRA,+41622,14.3%,14032+847,2319+71,+165
066,UK-,+21242,06.8%,07704+284,0711+18,+189
060,ITA,+16079,15.3%,09664+537,0996,+66,+136
017,NLD,+09283,--.-%,02003+060,0463+13,+046
038,POL,+12107,24.1%,10091+652,0812+55,+168
 
189 sequences at genbank on 2020/11/01 with the A222V mutation

144 of these look like this :
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/LR882887

ETH Zuerich
without date,Country specification , "chromosome 1"

I don't know what that is.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/bioproject/PRJEB38472
Genome sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 in Switzerland
Whole genome sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 from the outbreak in Switzerland.
Accession PRJEB38472
Scope Monoisolate

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/biosample/SAMEA7356705

so, these 144 could all be from Switzerland
then 6 from Spain
then 39 (USA,Australia,Iran) with just A222V
but not the other Spanish mutations

none with a subset of these 7 mutations
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top