Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

[Gert van der Hoek]

Міністерство охорони : http://www.moz.gov.ua/ua/i/

Ministry of Health (English) : http://translate.google.com/transla....moz.gov.ua/ua/i/&sl=uk&tl=en&history_state0=

 

[gsgs]

Re: Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

interpolated weekly hospitalizations given by MOH
Oct.29 - Feb.15

118289=33604,40235,25584,18866
079499=14643,16720,22809,25327
077464=25945,19173,17031,15315
034502=11201,7767,7767,7767
------=12054

somehow increasing again

 

[sharon sanders]

Re: Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

It seems odd that there were 3 weeks in a row of exactly 7767 additional hospitalizations. The probability of this occurring is statistically remote. Can the uptick in the last week be a result of an adjustment of numbers that were not included in the previous identical weeks?

 

[alert]

Re: Міністерство охорони / Ministry of Health

I think he (gsgs) is interpolating linearly - that is seeing that no reports were posted for a couple weeks, and using the numbers from the latest report to estimate those three weeks.

I still think that either thousands of mild cases are being hospitalized as a precaution, or the mechanism for estimating total hospitalizations is broken. It is difficult to imagine that Ukraine has have 20,000-40,000 ARI cases in hospital for the past few months, but is only having 10-20 deaths/week.