Re: La Nina Weather Pattern to Continue Through the Summer 2009
Re: La Nina Weather Pattern to Continue Through the Summer 2009
Please see this thread:
Outbreak of the El Nino Maybe a Precursor to Influenza Pandemic
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=91678
thread texts:
"Comprehensive data years 1890-2004, we can get influenza pandemic 6 climate features: Madre at its borders during the cold phase; the previous year or the first two years of moderate intensity for more than La Nina years; 50-70 during the 20th century At the same time, China's strong sandstorm years; before and after a year or year for the cold summer in Northeast China year (50-70 during the 20th century at the same time as serious cold damage years); was more than moderate intensity for El Nino years; year sunspot Valley for years, or m peak in M, m-1-year, m +1 or M +1 years. 1889-1890 years, in 1900 ,1918-1919 ,1957-1958 1968-1969 and 1977 bird flu outbreak are to meet this condition 6, At the same time, since 1890 to meet this condition, only 6 more than 6 times the outbreak of [4-6]."
"2011,2015,2018-2019 was possible El Nino years ,2013-2014 ,2016-2017 was a possible La Nina years, the 2009 La Nina and El Nino may be converted in"
Converted in what?
The above assumed the presence of Nino and Nina at the same time (at diferent places), but they oscilate one after the other.
Apart that in the above text cited the 1890-2004 period with 6 climate features, appeared many diferent variables, ex. not only cold and sunspots, but sandstorms, and that the anomalies named El Nino and El Nina 100 years ago were probably diferent than their actual more heavily manifestations.
So Could we join all this and flu with only El Nino / La Nina?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/El_Ni%C3%B1o-Southern_Oscillation
El Niño-Southern Oscillation
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<!-- start content -->For other uses, see
El Niño (disambiguation).
Average circulation in the south Pacific Ocean
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (
ENSO; commonly referred to as simply
El Niño) is a global coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon. The Pacific ocean signatures,
El Niño and
La Niña are important temperature fluctuations in surface waters of the tropical
Eastern Pacific Ocean. The name El Niño, from the
Spanish for "the little boy", refers to the
Christ child, because the phenomenon is usually noticed around
Christmastime in the Pacific Ocean off the west coast of
South America.<SUP class=reference id=cite_ref-DFG_0-0>
[1]</SUP> La Niña, similarly, means "the little girl". These effects were first described in 1923 by
Sir Gilbert Thomas Walker from whom the
Walker circulation, an important aspect of the Pacific ENSO phenomenon, takes its name. The atmospheric signature, the
Southern Oscillation (
SO) reflects the monthly or seasonal fluctuations in the air pressure difference between
Tahiti and
Darwin,
Australia.
The most recent occurrence of El Niño started in September 2006<SUP class=reference id=cite_ref-Pastor2006_1-0>[2]</SUP> and lasted until early 2007.<SUP class=reference id=cite_ref-Borenstein2007_2-0>
[3]</SUP>
From June 2007 on, data indicated a weak La Niña event, strengthening in early 2008 and weakening in late 2008, with a forecast return to neutral conditions in 2009.
ENSO is associated with floods, droughts, and other disturbances in a range of locations around the world. These effects, and the irregularity of the ENSO phenomenon, makes predicting it of high interest. Significant advances in the predictability of ENSO were contributed by
Stephen Zebiak and
Mark Cane.<SUP class=reference id=cite_ref-3>
[4]</SUP> ENSO is the most prominent known source of inter-annual variability in weather and climate around the world (about 3 to 8 years), though not all areas are affected. ENSO has signatures in the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian Oceans.
During major warm events, El Niño warming extends over much of the tropical Pacific and becomes clearly linked to the intensity of the Southern Oscillation. While ENSO effects are basically in phase between the Pacific and Indian Oceans, ENSO effects in the Atlantic Ocean lag behind those in the Pacific by 12 to 18 months. Many of the countries most affected by ENSO are developing countries that are largely dependent upon their agricultural and fishery sectors for food supply, employment, and foreign exchange.
New capabilities to predict the onset of ENSO events can have global socio-economic impacts. While ENSO is a natural part of the Earth's climate, an important concern is whether its intensity or frequency may change as a result of
global warming. Low-frequency variability has been evidenced; interdecadal modulation of ENSO from the
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) or the
Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) might exist. This could explain the so-called protracted ENSO of the early 1990s.
