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Influenza associated mortality in Southern China, 2010-2012

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Vaccine. 2013 Dec 23. pii: S0264-410X(13)01744-1. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.12.013. [Epub ahead of print]
Influenza associated mortality in Southern China, 2010-2012.
Wang H1, Fu C1, Li K1, Lu J1, Chen Y1, Lu E1, Xiao X1, Di B1, Liu H1, Yang Z1, Wang M2.
Author information
Abstract
OBJECTIVE:

Influenza caused substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. The mortality burden caused by influenza has been under evaluation; however, data assessing this burden have been relatively sparse in tropical or subtropical regions. We estimated influenza-associated mortality in Guangzhou, China and assessed the excess mortality due to different influenza virus subtypes.
METHODS:

We estimated influenza-associated excess mortality due to all-cause, pneumonia and influenza, cardiorespiratory disease and other influenza-associated diagnoses from weekly numbers of deaths and influenza surveillance data through negative binomial regression model during 2010-2012.
RESULTS:

Estimates derived from the model indicated that influenza resulted in 14.72 (95% confidence interval (CI), 12.12-17.31) deaths per 100,000 population per year from all-cause death among all ages group. Most deaths (84.2%) occurred among people aged ≥65 years. B virus caused 5.84 (95%CI, 4.10-7.58) deaths per 100,000 population for all-cause death, which was higher than A (H3N2) (4.89, 95%CI, 3.19-6.59) or A(H1N1)pdm09 (3.99, 95%CI, 2.32-5.66).
CONCLUSIONS:

Influenza is responsible for a substantial mortality especially among people aged ≥65 years and influenza B virus caused the highest influenza-associated mortality. The results highlight the need for seasonal influenza vaccination programs in subtropical areas to decrease excess mortality.

Copyright ? 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.
KEYWORDS:

Excess deaths, Human, Influenza, Mortality, Regression analysis

PMID:
24370709
[PubMed - as supplied by publisher]

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24370709
 
Re: Influenza associated mortality in Southern China, 2010-2012

more flu-related deaths than in USA
15/100000 --> 45000 per year in USA

surprisingly B gave most deaths, maybe because there was
not so much H3 in those seasons ?


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