tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2020 Apr 2:1-16. doi: 10.1017/ice.2020.101. [Epub ahead of print]
Forecasting the Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Deaths in China: a Boltzmann Function-based Modeling Study.
Gao Y[SUP]1[/SUP], Zhang Z[SUP]#[/SUP][SUP]1[/SUP], Yao W[SUP]1[/SUP], Ying Q[SUP]2[/SUP], Long C[SUP]#[/SUP][SUP]3[/SUP], Fu X[SUP]1[/SUP].
Author information
Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak is on-going in China. Here Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths in China, Hubei Province, outside Hubei, Wuhan City and outside Wuhan, being 3260 (95% CI 3187, 3394), 110 (109, 112), 3174 (3095, 3270), 2550 (2494, 2621) and 617 (607, 632), respectively.
KEYWORDS:
Boltzmann function; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; death; epidemic
PMID:32238216DOI:10.1017/ice.2020.101
Forecasting the Cumulative Number of COVID-19 Deaths in China: a Boltzmann Function-based Modeling Study.
Gao Y[SUP]1[/SUP], Zhang Z[SUP]#[/SUP][SUP]1[/SUP], Yao W[SUP]1[/SUP], Ying Q[SUP]2[/SUP], Long C[SUP]#[/SUP][SUP]3[/SUP], Fu X[SUP]1[/SUP].
Author information
Abstract
The COVID-19 outbreak is on-going in China. Here Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths in China, Hubei Province, outside Hubei, Wuhan City and outside Wuhan, being 3260 (95% CI 3187, 3394), 110 (109, 112), 3174 (3095, 3270), 2550 (2494, 2621) and 617 (607, 632), respectively.
KEYWORDS:
Boltzmann function; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; death; epidemic
PMID:32238216DOI:10.1017/ice.2020.101