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Indonesia Bird Flu Issues

Re: Indonesia Bird Flu Issues

If the UK Ebola thing is really H5N1, we will be seeing cases from the origin country very soon. She would have been shedding virus for a week now.
 
Re: Indonesia Bird Flu Issues

Based on the numbers from King County, Seattle by day 28 we should see 31 cases. Now if we see 31 cases across Indonesia for the month of May I am going to be very concerned because there is very little knowledge about where all these cases are getting infected.

we know the virus is endemic in Indoesian poultry/birds- so unless its in close physical or contact proximity to the cluster- its not gonna necessarily mean they are all connected. They could easily be from other sources.

Put that same 30 cases in one or adjoining villages, and I'm losing sleep.
 
Re: Indonesia Bird Flu Issues

If the UK Ebola thing is really H5N1, we will be seeing cases from the origin country very soon. She would have been shedding virus for a week now.

I would think so too, goju.

but this is why Africa concerns me- that area has such crappy healthcare, that unless theres a major metropolitan ceter, I'm not sure it would rise above the background level of illness to be reported on in the Western press in just a weeks time. Especially if it was a hemorrhagic case of flu- because only a portion of the victims might have hemorrhagic symptoms, right? If its Ebola, that might just show up faster-as most victims will have a hemorrhagic presentation.

Hey, I dont KNOW any of the answers here, for sure. I'm talking out loud here, exploring the ideas I have with you. I'm open to other takes on it. I just want to understand the reasons it might be otherwise. Just trying to think it thru logically.
 
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