H1N1 Cases in Brazil Are Under-reported

[mbeltran]

O governo brasileiro est? cometendo um terr?vel engano e por isso os casos de influenza H1N1 no Brasil n?o est?o sendo diagnosticados.
O Brasil considera como caso suspeito apenas aquelas pessoas que tem sintomas da "gripe su?na" e que viajaram recentemente ao exterior, ou que mant?m contato direto com parentes que viajaram e apresentaram sintomas da doen?a.
As pessoas com sintomas da gripe causada pelo v?rus A-H1N1 que n?o tenham viajado ou n?o tenham contato com viajantes n?o s?o considerados suspeitos e n?o s?o feitos exames de laborat?rio para diagn?stico da influenza pelo v?rus A/H1N1.
? por essa raz?o que o Brasil n?o apresentou mais casos da doen?a, mas tenho certeza que o v?rus est? circulando pelo pa?s, o que pode gerar uma epidemia descontrolada por culpa do governo.

Mauricio F Beltran
www.mauricio.beltran.nom.br
www.precavido.com.br
--------------------- google translate --------------

The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake and why the cases of H1N1 influenza in Brazil are not being diagnosed.
Brazil considers as suspected cases only those people who have symptoms of the "swine flu" which recently traveled abroad, or who maintains contact with relatives who traveled and showed symptoms of the disease.
People with symptoms of influenza caused by A-H1N1 virus that have not traveled or do not have contact with travelers is not considered suspicious and are not taken for laboratory diagnosis of influenza A/H1N1 virus.
That is why Brazil has not produced more cases of the disease, but I'm sure that the virus is circulating the country, which could generate an epidemic uncontrolled by the government's fault.

Mauricio F Beltran
www.mauricio.beltran.nom.br
www.precavido.com.br

 

[Gert van der Hoek]

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Many countries may have a similar case definition like you describe for Brasil, I would assume.

Just checked the case definition in my country, the Netherlands; some important items:

In addition to acute or serious respiratory infection or serious pneumonia, the patient should:

have been in close contact with a confirmed case (human or animal)

or have travelled to an area or country with confirmed H2H infection, area indicated as such by WHO .


Then the doctor should call a national authority to consult them if a RT-PCR test with nose and throat swaps can be done.


http://www.rivm.nl/cib/binaries/Cas...met het mexicaansegriepvirus_tcm92-60110.doc# class=

 

[marcovth]

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Didn't Japan make the same mistake these past weeks ?

 

[tropical]

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Didn't Japan make the same mistake these past weeks ?

Yes, their decisions are similar like photo copies, but Japan learned on failures, so lifts up after, the closures and more screening, but it is not clear if it would insist or desist (hopefully insist).

This weak answers will create an global domino effect of infections.

The WHO weak posture about not naming it pandemic virus now legitimate such behaviour, under which such worldwide decisions could be tolerated.

 

[WTB]

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Hi
In Quebec, Canada, our case definition is now every patient who is hospitalised with flu like symptom. No contact nor travel is needed. But we will only have the worst patient. The number begins to be hard to follow. I thonk we will need to follow the deads... by week. 0-17-48-72

WTB

 

[tropical]

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Re: The Brazilian government is making a terrible mistake

Hi
In Quebec, Canada, our case definition is now every patient who is hospitalised with flu like symptom. No contact nor travel is needed. But we will only have the worst patient. The number begins to be hard to follow. I thonk we will need to follow the deads... by week. 0-17-48-72

WTB

Hi WTB.

So it spreads.

At the same time the official statements says: ~"the worst is over in Canada", posted news at FT today.

The best way to perceive if something nasty is going on, is by valuating the official statements.

When they became controversial, or even ridicolous, instead of reporting the true picture, that means that things goes more out of control.

 

[FrenchieGirl]

Re: H1N1 Cases in Brazil Are Under-reported

Suspected A/H1N1 cases drop to 17 in Brazil

The number of suspected cases of the A/H1N1 flu in Brazil fell from 18 to 17 on Wednesday, the country's Health Ministry said.

The suspected cases are spread over the states of Sao Paulo (five), Rio de Janeiro (two), Rio Grande do Sul (two), Amapa (one), Amazonas (one), Goias (one), Rondonia (one), and Sergipe (one), as well as the Federal District (three).

In the past week, the number of suspected cases of the A/H1N1 flu in the country dropped about 50 percent.

According to the ministry, there are still 16 people being monitored by health authorities, in the states of Sao Paulo (five), Rio Grande do Norte (three), Santa Catarina (two), Rio Grande do Sul (two), and one each in the states of Rio de Janeiro, Parana, Minas Gerais and Goias.

The number of confirmed cases remained at eight, which were registered in the states of Rio de Janeiro (three), Sao Paulo (two), and one each in Minas Gerais, Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina states.

Most of the infected patients have already been released from the hospital after going through the contagion stage.

According to the World Health Organization, 40 countries have reported more than 9,830 cases, mostly in the U.S. and Mexico. The global death tally is 87, 75 in Mexico, 10 in U.S., one in Canada and one in Costa Rica.

(Xinhua News Agency May 21, 2009)