FrenchieGirl
Senior Moderator
[Google Translation]
05.07.2009, 14:46 clock
Flu pandemic:
What happens when millions of German are sick?
? Sergio Perez / Reuters
Worldwide there are currently more than 55,000 people in the pig flu sick
By Nina Bublitz
If the pig flu virus spreading around the world, could one in three cancer, warn scientists. How does it influence the life of every individual, if in the autumn and winter millions of people while a flu auskurieren?
Around 25 million people fall ill within eight weeks of flu, 13 million go to the doctor so, 370,000 must be in a clinic. More than 100,000 die. If a flu wave of such force on Germany rolls, the impact on the lives of every individual, whether sick or healthy.
Many schools close so that the virus does not spread further. Trains and buses are out, because drivers are sick. In supermarkets, the shelves are empty, if the logistics are no longer the case, or too little staff is there, everything should be. In all company employees are missing, whether air traffic controllers, hairdressers or security personnel in nuclear power. Because it covers not only the sick, but also those who care for someone at home or their children.
The numbers - 370,000 more patients in hospitals, more than 100,000 deaths are from the National Pandemic Plan, where she worked as a "moderate scenario" should be recorded. This is based on the assumption that 30 percent of the population in about two months contagious, but a calculation of 15 percent and 50 percent of infected persons exists.
With a flu so we may have to wave this year. Experts suspect the virus as H1N1 could trigger a pandemic. "The cases doubling every week. If this trend continues, could be the end of August up to 100,000 people a day contract this disease," said England's health minister Andy Burnham yesterday on the situation in Britain. Without a vaccine could infect every second, according to France's health minister Roselyne Bachelot, according to "Le Parisien".
Still, so far, the process of influenza infection usually mild, many patients are back after a week on their legs, have neither the doctor nor the hospital. "We have good reasons to believe that this pandemic of moderate danger," said WHO director Margaret Chan at a conference in Mexico. They cautioned against panic, but also before an unsuspecting to dealing with the disease. "The most important is the vigilance," she said.
Schools, football games and public transport
Germany is prepared for a pandemic, not only since H1N1 emerged, but even longer. Because sooner or later that the next flu pandemic comes, it is clear (see box). In addition to the National Pandemic Plan, there are plans of the countries and communities. That the authorities in a massive spread of the pathogen at mass gatherings can say is about pandemic influenza in the Bavarian-frame. Since the Bundesliga would just break it, like a september Munich Oktoberfest. Also keep any kindergartens and schools closed. The fact that in the cities of no more buses and trains go to the risk of infection, reducing, however, is extremely unlikely - would be ultimately the entire public life is broke, says the plan.
Many hospitals already are planning how to rush the deal during a pandemic. One measure: If you have a surgery date, it will be well in the event of a pandemic must be patient. Because interventions that can wait, the doctors will move. They think more capacity for the influenza patients free.
Parking spaces for nurses
But what happens if too many doctors, nurses and caregivers become ill? To avoid this, advise hospitals Cologne University Hospital as their employees that they - if possible - with the car instead of public transport for work travel. For additional car parking areas are close to free hospital evacuated. And: "Sufficiently respirator masks are important, especially for the staff. The man must also store. If the pandemic is only because they are almost guaranteed," says Felix Kolibay, which is at the Cologne University Hospital with emergency planning employs.
An even larger crowd, the doctors experience. The should - according to the Hessian Pandemic Plan - Special hours for flu sick setup. Or, as far as possible, and make home visits.
Exercise for the emergency case
In 2007 were public authorities, aid organizations and businesses the pandemic event. "L?kex" called himself that - "Cross-Country Crisis Management Exercise". In addition to representatives of ministries, provinces, and authorities were companies, relief organizations and associations. Through the through of the crisis scenarios rehearsed crisis teams, as they indicate the likely problems, where the hooks cooperation and how these can be improved.
"In the case of exercise showed that key personnel such as professional drivers in various areas, including the Bundesbank mit?benden, only a limited number are available," says a spokeswoman of the Federal Office for Civil Protection and Disaster Relief. Whether under these circumstances at any ATM as usual filled with notes, is questionable. According L?kex-evaluation report will be interruptions in the supply chain and potential IT problems with a high probability of significant bottlenecks in the nationwide supply of cash lead. The cashless money transactions could not compensate. "This leads, for example in the field of primary care of the population to significant impairments. The implications for all sectors of society must be further investigated and analyzed possible solutions", says report.
That they find a solution, by as if by magic everything is running smoothly, but is not expected. The National Pandemic Plan brings the best in the German authorities to the point: "An influenza pandemic is, however - like other major damage also - an event that (...) through the initial overload to deal available infrastructure is marked." What is called nothing else than we have in the event of a pandemic with overcrowded surgeries expected. And with empty ATMs.
05.07.2009, 14:46 clock
Flu pandemic:
What happens when millions of German are sick?
? Sergio Perez / Reuters
Worldwide there are currently more than 55,000 people in the pig flu sick
By Nina Bublitz
If the pig flu virus spreading around the world, could one in three cancer, warn scientists. How does it influence the life of every individual, if in the autumn and winter millions of people while a flu auskurieren?
Around 25 million people fall ill within eight weeks of flu, 13 million go to the doctor so, 370,000 must be in a clinic. More than 100,000 die. If a flu wave of such force on Germany rolls, the impact on the lives of every individual, whether sick or healthy.
Many schools close so that the virus does not spread further. Trains and buses are out, because drivers are sick. In supermarkets, the shelves are empty, if the logistics are no longer the case, or too little staff is there, everything should be. In all company employees are missing, whether air traffic controllers, hairdressers or security personnel in nuclear power. Because it covers not only the sick, but also those who care for someone at home or their children.
The numbers - 370,000 more patients in hospitals, more than 100,000 deaths are from the National Pandemic Plan, where she worked as a "moderate scenario" should be recorded. This is based on the assumption that 30 percent of the population in about two months contagious, but a calculation of 15 percent and 50 percent of infected persons exists.
With a flu so we may have to wave this year. Experts suspect the virus as H1N1 could trigger a pandemic. "The cases doubling every week. If this trend continues, could be the end of August up to 100,000 people a day contract this disease," said England's health minister Andy Burnham yesterday on the situation in Britain. Without a vaccine could infect every second, according to France's health minister Roselyne Bachelot, according to "Le Parisien".
Still, so far, the process of influenza infection usually mild, many patients are back after a week on their legs, have neither the doctor nor the hospital. "We have good reasons to believe that this pandemic of moderate danger," said WHO director Margaret Chan at a conference in Mexico. They cautioned against panic, but also before an unsuspecting to dealing with the disease. "The most important is the vigilance," she said.
Schools, football games and public transport
Germany is prepared for a pandemic, not only since H1N1 emerged, but even longer. Because sooner or later that the next flu pandemic comes, it is clear (see box). In addition to the National Pandemic Plan, there are plans of the countries and communities. That the authorities in a massive spread of the pathogen at mass gatherings can say is about pandemic influenza in the Bavarian-frame. Since the Bundesliga would just break it, like a september Munich Oktoberfest. Also keep any kindergartens and schools closed. The fact that in the cities of no more buses and trains go to the risk of infection, reducing, however, is extremely unlikely - would be ultimately the entire public life is broke, says the plan.
Many hospitals already are planning how to rush the deal during a pandemic. One measure: If you have a surgery date, it will be well in the event of a pandemic must be patient. Because interventions that can wait, the doctors will move. They think more capacity for the influenza patients free.
Parking spaces for nurses
But what happens if too many doctors, nurses and caregivers become ill? To avoid this, advise hospitals Cologne University Hospital as their employees that they - if possible - with the car instead of public transport for work travel. For additional car parking areas are close to free hospital evacuated. And: "Sufficiently respirator masks are important, especially for the staff. The man must also store. If the pandemic is only because they are almost guaranteed," says Felix Kolibay, which is at the Cologne University Hospital with emergency planning employs.
An even larger crowd, the doctors experience. The should - according to the Hessian Pandemic Plan - Special hours for flu sick setup. Or, as far as possible, and make home visits.
Exercise for the emergency case
In 2007 were public authorities, aid organizations and businesses the pandemic event. "L?kex" called himself that - "Cross-Country Crisis Management Exercise". In addition to representatives of ministries, provinces, and authorities were companies, relief organizations and associations. Through the through of the crisis scenarios rehearsed crisis teams, as they indicate the likely problems, where the hooks cooperation and how these can be improved.
"In the case of exercise showed that key personnel such as professional drivers in various areas, including the Bundesbank mit?benden, only a limited number are available," says a spokeswoman of the Federal Office for Civil Protection and Disaster Relief. Whether under these circumstances at any ATM as usual filled with notes, is questionable. According L?kex-evaluation report will be interruptions in the supply chain and potential IT problems with a high probability of significant bottlenecks in the nationwide supply of cash lead. The cashless money transactions could not compensate. "This leads, for example in the field of primary care of the population to significant impairments. The implications for all sectors of society must be further investigated and analyzed possible solutions", says report.
That they find a solution, by as if by magic everything is running smoothly, but is not expected. The National Pandemic Plan brings the best in the German authorities to the point: "An influenza pandemic is, however - like other major damage also - an event that (...) through the initial overload to deal available infrastructure is marked." What is called nothing else than we have in the event of a pandemic with overcrowded surgeries expected. And with empty ATMs.