tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Front Med (Lausanne)
. 2020 Apr 30;7:190.
doi: 10.3389/fmed.2020.00190. eCollection 2020.
Age-Dependent Risks of Incidence and Mortality of COVID-19 in Hubei Province and Other Parts of China
Hongdou Li[SUP] 1 2 3 [/SUP], Shuang Wang[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Fan Zhong[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Wuyin Bao[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Yipeng Li[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Lei Liu[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Hongyan Wang[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Yungang He[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP]
Affiliations
Abstract
The new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 pandemic of early 2020 poses an enormous challenge to global public health. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the virus has spread rapidly throughout the world, taking thousands of lives in just over 2 months. It is critical to refine the incidence and mortality risks of COVID-19 for the effective management of the general public and patients during the outbreak. In this report, we investigate the incidence and mortality risks of the infection by analyzing the age composition of 5,319 infected patients, 76 fatal cases, and 1,144,648 individuals of the general public in China. Our results show a relatively low incidence risk for young people but a very high mortality risk for seniors. Notably, mortality risk could be as high as 0.48 for people older than 80 years. Furthermore, our study suggests that a good medical service can effectively reduce the mortality rate of the viral infection to 1% or less.
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; incidence risk; mortality risk.
. 2020 Apr 30;7:190.
doi: 10.3389/fmed.2020.00190. eCollection 2020.
Age-Dependent Risks of Incidence and Mortality of COVID-19 in Hubei Province and Other Parts of China
Hongdou Li[SUP] 1 2 3 [/SUP], Shuang Wang[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Fan Zhong[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Wuyin Bao[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Yipeng Li[SUP] 4 [/SUP], Lei Liu[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Hongyan Wang[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Yungang He[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP]
Affiliations
- PMID: 32426363
- PMCID: PMC7204382
- DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2020.00190
Abstract
The new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 pandemic of early 2020 poses an enormous challenge to global public health. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by the virus has spread rapidly throughout the world, taking thousands of lives in just over 2 months. It is critical to refine the incidence and mortality risks of COVID-19 for the effective management of the general public and patients during the outbreak. In this report, we investigate the incidence and mortality risks of the infection by analyzing the age composition of 5,319 infected patients, 76 fatal cases, and 1,144,648 individuals of the general public in China. Our results show a relatively low incidence risk for young people but a very high mortality risk for seniors. Notably, mortality risk could be as high as 0.48 for people older than 80 years. Furthermore, our study suggests that a good medical service can effectively reduce the mortality rate of the viral infection to 1% or less.
Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus; incidence risk; mortality risk.