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Emerg Microbes Infect . Phylodynamic Reconstruction of H1N1pdm09 Influenza Virus Transmission in Brazil: A Decade of Evolutionary Dynamics

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
Emerg Microbes Infect


. 2026 Jan 19:2620237.
doi: 10.1080/22221751.2026.2620237. Online ahead of print.
Phylodynamic Reconstruction of H1N1pdm09 Influenza Virus Transmission in Brazil: A Decade of Evolutionary Dynamics

Isabela Carvalho Brcko[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Vinicius Carius de Souza[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Alex Ranieri Jeronimo Lima[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], James Siqueira Pereira[SUP] 1 2 [/SUP], Evaldo Stanislau Affonso de Araújo[SUP] 3 4 [/SUP], Ana Paula Nunes Viveiros Valeiros[SUP] 3 [/SUP], Melissa Palmieri[SUP] 5 [/SUP], Juliana Almeida Nunes[SUP] 5 [/SUP], Leandro Spalato Torres[SUP] 5 [/SUP], Hazerral de Oliveira Santos[SUP] 6 [/SUP], Anderson Brandão Leite[SUP] 6 [/SUP], Felicidade Mota Pereira[SUP] 6 [/SUP], Arabela Leal E Silva de Mello[SUP] 7 [/SUP], Vanessa Brandão Nardy[SUP] 7 [/SUP], Gabriela Sant'ana Menezes de Andrade[SUP] 7 [/SUP], Marcela Kelly Astete Gomez[SUP] 7 [/SUP], Lucas Luiz Vieira[SUP] 8 [/SUP], Mariana Matos Roll[SUP] 8 [/SUP], Brenno Vinícius Martins Henrique[SUP] 8 [/SUP], Lídio Gonçalves Lima Neto[SUP] 9 [/SUP], Elaine Cristina de Oliveira[SUP] 10 [/SUP], Júlia Deffune Profeta Cidin Almeida[SUP] 10 [/SUP], Stephanni Figueiredo da Silva[SUP] 10 [/SUP], Klaucia Rodrigues Vasconcelos[SUP] 10 [/SUP], Talita Emile Ribeiro Adelino[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Natalia Rocha Guimaraes[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Luiz Marcelo Ribeiro Tomé[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Lavinia Nery Villa Stangler Arend[SUP] 12 [/SUP], Ciciléia Correia da Silva[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Adriana Cristina Salvador Maia[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Cristiane Batista Mattos[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Glaucilene da Silva Costa[SUP] 11 [/SUP], Luiz Carlos Alcântara[SUP] 13 [/SUP], Esper G Kallás[SUP] 14 15 [/SUP], Sandra Coccuzzo Sampaio[SUP] 1 14 [/SUP], Svetoslav Nanev Slavov[SUP] 1 14 [/SUP], Marta Giovanetti[SUP] 13 16 17 [/SUP], Maria Carolina Elias[SUP] 1 14 [/SUP]


Affiliations
Abstract

The H1N1pdm09 influenza virus, which emerged in 2009 following a unique reassortment of swine-origin gene segments, rapidly replaced the seasonal H1N1 strain and triggered the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century. In Brazil, the virus initially spread through intense community transmission before establishing a pattern of seasonal circulation. However, its long-term evolutionary dynamics in the country remain insufficiently characterized. To address this gap, we conducted a coordinated national genomic surveillance effort focused on the period from 2014 onward, when Brazil began systematic whole-genome sequencing of circulating H1N1pdm09 viruses. Through collaborative sequencing across all five Brazilian macroregions, we generated 597 complete genomes collected between 2014 and 2024. Using phylodynamic approaches, we reconstructed the spatiotemporal spread of H1N1pdm09, identified major circulating lineages, and integrated epidemiological data to assess patterns of persistence and regional transmission. Our findings reveal sustained circulation and multiple independent viral introductions over the past decade, with evidence of localized lineage maintenance, particularly in the Southeast and South regions. Phylogenetic analyses also indicate repeated seeding from international sources, underscoring the continued impact of global viral movement. In addition, genome-wide comparisons revealed reassortment events involving internal segments, which may have contributed to the persistence and adaptation of dominant lineages following the COVID-19 pandemic. This study presents the most comprehensive reconstruction of H1N1pdm09 evolutionary dynamics in Brazil to date, highlighting the critical role of integrated, nationwide genomic surveillance in enhancing public health preparedness in tropical and subtropical regions.

Keywords: Brazil; H1N1pdm09; Phylodynamics; genomic surveillance; whole-genome sequencing.

 
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