tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 Apr 22;26(8). doi: 10.3201/eid2608.200536. [Epub ahead of print]
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020.
Muniz-Rodriguez K, Fung IC, Ferdosi SR, Ofori SK, Lee Y, Tariq A, Chowell G.
Abstract
To determine the transmission potential of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in Iran in 2020, we estimated the reproduction number as 4.4 (95% CI 3.9-4.9) by using a generalized growth model and 3.5 (95% CI 1.3-8.1) by using epidemic doubling time. The reproduction number decreased to 1.55 after social distancing interventions were implemented.
KEYWORDS:
2019 novel coronavirus disease; COVID-19; Iran; SARS-CoV-2; communicable diseases; coronavirus disease; epidemiology; infections; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; viruses; zoonoses
PMID:32320641DOI:10.3201/eid2608.200536
Free full text
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020.
Muniz-Rodriguez K, Fung IC, Ferdosi SR, Ofori SK, Lee Y, Tariq A, Chowell G.
Abstract
To determine the transmission potential of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in Iran in 2020, we estimated the reproduction number as 4.4 (95% CI 3.9-4.9) by using a generalized growth model and 3.5 (95% CI 1.3-8.1) by using epidemic doubling time. The reproduction number decreased to 1.55 after social distancing interventions were implemented.
KEYWORDS:
2019 novel coronavirus disease; COVID-19; Iran; SARS-CoV-2; communicable diseases; coronavirus disease; epidemiology; infections; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; viruses; zoonoses
PMID:32320641DOI:10.3201/eid2608.200536
Free full text