tetano
Editor, Senior Moderator
Emerg Infect Dis
. 2020 Oct 20;27(1).
doi: 10.3201/eid2701.202114. Online ahead of print.
Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy
Giorgio Guzzetta, Flavia Riccardo, Valentina Marziano, Piero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, Antonino Bella, Xanthi Andrianou, Martina Del Manso, Massimo Fabiani, Stefania Bellino, Stefano Boros, Alberto Mateo Urdiales, Maria Fenicia Vescio, Andrea Piccioli, COVID-19 Working Group,; Silvio Brusaferro, Giovanni Rezza, Patrizio Pezzotti, Marco Ajelli, Stefano Merler
Abstract
On March 11, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. We estimate that, 14 days after lockdown, the net reproduction number had dropped below 1 and remained stable at ?0.76 (95% CI 0.67-0.85) in all regions for >3 of the following weeks.
Keywords: COVID-19; Italy; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus disease; lockdown; reproduction number; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; transmissibility; viruses; zoonoses.
. 2020 Oct 20;27(1).
doi: 10.3201/eid2701.202114. Online ahead of print.
Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy
Giorgio Guzzetta, Flavia Riccardo, Valentina Marziano, Piero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, Antonino Bella, Xanthi Andrianou, Martina Del Manso, Massimo Fabiani, Stefania Bellino, Stefano Boros, Alberto Mateo Urdiales, Maria Fenicia Vescio, Andrea Piccioli, COVID-19 Working Group,; Silvio Brusaferro, Giovanni Rezza, Patrizio Pezzotti, Marco Ajelli, Stefano Merler
- PMID: 33080168
- DOI: 10.3201/eid2701.202114
Abstract
On March 11, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. We estimate that, 14 days after lockdown, the net reproduction number had dropped below 1 and remained stable at ?0.76 (95% CI 0.67-0.85) in all regions for >3 of the following weeks.
Keywords: COVID-19; Italy; SARS; SARS-CoV-2; coronavirus disease; lockdown; reproduction number; respiratory infections; severe acute respiratory syndrome; severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; transmissibility; viruses; zoonoses.