Egypt - MOH Announces 2 new H5N1 cases and 1 death - no details - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

[sharon sanders]

machine translation -

Health": the stability of the incidence of "bird flu"
Wednesday, May 25, 2011 - 13:43

Dr.. Amr Kandil, Chief of Preventive Ministry of Health and Population, the "seventh day", he did not show any human cases of bird flu in Egypt since the last case was announced by the end of April last, explaining that the injuries down to a lower rate during the summer, to bounce back again by winter.

He pointed out that the rate of human cases of the disease in Egypt is the rate "constant" since 2006, from 25 to 30 cases, where the number of infections since the disease appeared 145 cases, at the time I arrived in deaths to 47 cases, 30% of the total casualties, pointing out that such a percentage represents half the rate of global mortality from the disease
Of 60%.

He added that the number of casualties since January 2011 came to 27 cases, 9 people died of them.

http://www.youm7.com/News.asp?NewsID=420546&SecID=97&IssueID=168

 

[sharon sanders]

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

I wish we had more clarity. I have charted 125 cases and 8 deaths for 2011 which corresponds to the WHO totals:


2011


#119 - 40 year old male, onset date December 25, 2010 - hospitalized December 30, 2010 - Dakahlia governorate Death (Jan 2, 2011)

#120 - 8 year old male, onset date January 5, 2011, hospitalized January 8, 2011 - Giza Governorate

#121 - 1.5 year old, onset date January 12, 2011 - hospitalized on January 13, 2011 - Alexandria governorate

#122 - 7.5 years old, no details available at this time, hospitalized - Gharbia governorate

#123 - 45 years old, male, onset date January 20, hospitalized January 26, died February 5 - Menoufia governorate Death

#124 - 26 years old, female, onset date onset January 18, hospitalized January 23 - Dakahlia Governorate

#125 - 4 year old, male, onset date February 16, hospitalized February 18 - Damiata Governorate

#126 - 32 years old, female, onset date February 10, hospitalized February 14, died March 4 - Sharqia governorate Death

#127 - 2 years old, male, onset date February 18, hospitalized February 20 - Kafr El-Sheikh governorate

Unconfirmed by WHO - H5N1 case listed on Egyptian government document - Gharbia governorate

#128 - 17 years old, female, onset date February 27, hospitalized March 1 - Beheira governorate

#129 - 17 years old, female, onset date February 24, hospitalized February 26, died February 28 - Dakahlia governorate Death

#130 - 38 years old, female, onset date March 1, hospitalized March 7, died March 11 - Ismailia Governorate - Death

#131 - 32 years old, female, onset date March 8, hospitalized March 12, died March 13 - Suez governorate - Death

#132 - 28 years old, female, onset March 8, hospitalized March 10 - Giza governorate

#133 - 4 years, male, onset March 5, hospitalized March 7 - Beheira governorate

#134 - 1 year old, male, onset February 14, hospitalized February 16, discharged February 22 - Beheira governorate

#135 - 3 year old, female, onset March 10, hospitalized March 12, discharged March 18 - Beheira governorate

#136 - 34 years old, female, onset March 9, hospitalized March 15 - Alexandria governorate

#137 - 30 years old, female, onset March 7, hospitalized 15, discharged March 27 - Kafr El-Shaikh governorate

#138 - 20 years old, female, onset March 14, hospitalized March 19, died March 28 - Beheira governorate Death

#139 - 2 years old, female, onset March 26, hospitalized March 27 - Menoufia governorate

#140 - 55 years old, female, onset March 20, hospitalized March 22, discharged April 5 - Beheira governorate

#141 - 1 year old, male, onset March 20, hospitalized March 28 - Fayoum governorate

#142 - 29 years, male, onset April 1, hospitalized April 4, died April 7 - Fayoum governorate Death

#143 - 1.5 years, male, onset April 9, hospitalized April 11 - Fayoum governorate


* please see this link for previous years list

 

[Giuseppe]

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

The last known Ministry of Health update about cumulative number of human H5N1 cases was published on May 11 2011, http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=408013&postcount=1

The update accounted for one additional fatal H5N1 case.

Consequently, the cumulative number of cases and deaths since 2006 were: 144 and 48 respectively.

WHO update was posted on April 21 2011, http://www.who.int/csr/don/2011_04_21d/en/index.html - with these figures (since 2006): 143 cases and 47 deaths.

Since the beginning of 2011, the figures are for the WHO (http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/country/cases_table_2011_04_21/en/index.html ),
24 cases and 7 deaths (25 and 8 if we add the last available Min. Of Health release, see above).

My most recent post is dated May 11 2011, http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=408013&postcount=1

Taking into account the post #1 in this thread (http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=409618&postcount=1 ), we have two additional cases and one additional death with respect to the last MOH data (27 cases and 9 deaths).

Summary:

1) Youm7 newswire (post #1): (2011), 27 cases and 9 deaths
2) The most recent known MOH update: (2011), 25 cases and 8 deaths
3) The most recent WHO update: (2011), 24 cases and 7 deaths.
4) Additional cases since last WHO report (April 21 2011), 5 cases and 2 deaths.

I would like to express my disappointing as well since the new Ministry of Health website does not longer report avian influenza cases - or at least not in a publicly readable manner; since the disease is of public health concern I invite those involved in correcting this issue as soon as possible.

The new MOH website is at: http://www.mohp.gov.eg/default.aspx

 

[sharon sanders]

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

Thank you Giuseppe. Very nice summary.

 

[Giuseppe]

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

machine translation -

Health": the stability of the incidence of "bird flu"
Wednesday, May 25, 2011 - 13:43

Dr.. Amr Kandil, Chief of Preventive Ministry of Health and Population, the "seventh day", he did not show any human cases of bird flu in Egypt since the last case was announced by the end of April last, explaining that the injuries down to a lower rate during the summer, to bounce back again by winter.

He pointed out that the rate of human cases of the disease in Egypt is the rate "constant" since 2006, from 25 to 30 cases, where the number of infections since the disease appeared 145 cases, at the time I arrived in deaths to 47 cases, 30% of the total casualties, pointing out that such a percentage represents half the rate of global mortality from the disease
Of 60%.

He added that the number of casualties since January 2011 came to 27 cases, 9 people died of them.

http://www.youm7.com/News.asp?NewsID=420546&SecID=97&IssueID=168

The two statements in red are conflicting because for the WHO the total number of cases since 2006 are 143 with 47 deaths (April 21 2011 update, http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/country/cases_table_2011_05_13/en/index.html )

The subsequent statement in red tells about 27 cases and 9 deaths for the 2011 where the WHO count is 24 and 7.

Since the article adds two cases with no new death cases (145, 47) then one cannot add three cases and two deaths.

See also above http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showpost.php?p=409628&postcount=3

Figures in the article: total cases 145, total deaths 47 / 2001 cases: 27 - 2011 deaths: 9
Figures in the last WHO report: total cases 143, total deaths 47 / 2011 cases: 24 / 2011 deaths: 7.

 

[sharon sanders]

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

Re: Egypt - Ministry of Health Says No New Bird Flu H5N1 Cases - Total 2011 Cases 27, 9 Deaths

As a point of clarification our chart matches WHO. The difference is the first case for 2011. Since case 1 died in 2011, but became sick in 2010, we have this case listed for 2011, not 2010 as WHO does.

This may also explain the MOH numbers too. Then we are at 2 new cases and 1 new death.