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BMJ Glob Health . Long COVID prevalence and risk factors in adults residing in middle- and high-income countries: secondary analysis of the multina

tetano

Editor, Senior Moderator
BMJ Glob Health


. 2025 Apr 15;10(4):e017126.
doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-017126. Long COVID prevalence and risk factors in adults residing in middle- and high-income countries: secondary analysis of the multinational Anti-Coronavirus Therapies (ACT) trials

Lucas Etienne Hermans[SUP] 1 [/SUP], Sean Wasserman[SUP] 2 3 [/SUP], Lizhen Xu[SUP] 4 [/SUP], John Eikelboom[SUP] 5 [/SUP]



Affiliations
Free article Abstract

Background: During the recent COVID-19 pandemic, reports of long-term persistence or recurrence of symptoms after SARS-CoV-2 infection emerged, which are now collectively referred to as 'long COVID'. Most descriptions of long COVID originate from patients residing in high-income countries. We set out to characterise long COVID in a large-scale clinical trial that was conducted in low-middle, high-middle and high-income countries.
Methods: The Anti-Coronavirus Therapies trials enrolled 6528 adult patients with symptomatic COVID-19 in Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Colombia, Ecuador, Egypt, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa and the United Arab Emirates. Long COVID was defined as the presence of patient-reported symptoms at 180 days after enrolment. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate associations of baseline characteristics with long COVID.
Results: Of 4697 included participants, 1181 (25.1%) reported long COVID symptoms. The most frequently reported symptoms were sleeping disorders (n=601; 12.8%), joint pain (n=461; 9.8%), fatigue (n=410; 8.7%) and headaches (n=382; 8.1%). Long COVID prevalence was higher in participants from lower middle-income compared with high-income countries (29.8% (850/2854) vs 14.4% (102/706); adjusted OR (aOR) 1.53 (1.10 to 2.14); p=0.012). Prevalence also varied between participants of different ethnic backgrounds and was highest (36.1% (775/2145)) for patients of Arab/North African ethnicity. Patients requiring inpatient admission were at increased risk of long COVID (aOR: 2.04 (1.63 to 2.54); p<0.001). Other independent predictors of long COVID were male sex, older age and hypertension. Vaccination, prior lung disease, smoking and diabetes mellitus conferred protective effects.
Conclusion: Symptoms of long COVID are reported in a quarter of cases of symptomatic COVID-19 in this study and were significantly more prevalent in participants from countries with lower income status and in patients of Arab/North African ethnicity. Research to further assess the health burden posed by long COVID in low- and middle-income countries is urgently needed.

Keywords: COVID-19.

 
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