Re: Bird flu killed five in Azerbaijan - WHO
Are these all NEW CASES? What are the relationships with the OLD cases?
Have people been given tamiflu? Could that have delayed death?
Is there any evidence that these people could have done something like collecting dead swans or collecting feathers from the dead swans left lying around? Could this be the mode whereby they got infected in a multimodal fashion?
Who are the other 3 who died but aren't listed? What's their relationship to previous cases? If they are family members, are there any alternative explanations for their deaths besides h to h transmission?
I'm a scientist, albeit a distrustful one at times when politics and business get tied up with the science, but I would like to see all the facts and findings laid out and all the gene sequences subjected to scientific scrutiny. There's science that can be brought to bear at all levels is information is provided freely.
As for the gene sequences, looks like there is some movement toward making that info more available. Time will tell, just as time will tell if this is efficient human to human transmission occurring in Azerbaijain or if transmission suggests the change in S127N (that occurred in Turkey) and nothing more than inefficient h to h...
A sick caregiver would be pretty suggestive unless he or she collected swan feathers on the side or played kissy face with a pet dog that had been eating dead swans... Epidemiology! Let's see ALL the facts! you WHO reps!
Check this thread:
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=2345
List List of People Reported Infected or Dead in Azerbaijan from 3/14 (AnneZ, Zkurmus & Mellie contributed):
People reported infected or dead in Azerbajan <hr size="1" style="color: rgb(204, 204, 204);"><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --> Thank you to Zkurmus for finding the news reports.
I have reorganised the following list in to clusters.
20 cases: 4 deaths, 5 recovered, 11 unknown status.
Cluster 1. This maybe a cluster, it is based on the surnames of these people.
Shahriyar Asgerov.(Shakhmar,Shahlar,Shamkhar,Sahmar Askerov,Asgarov)
16 male, Daikand village, Salyan region, died 10-Mar-06
Nabat Askerov (Nebat Asgerova Askerova). 20 Female, died 3-Mar-06
Cluster 2.
Ahmadov Yashar Bahlul, 14 female, Salyan, discharged from Baku Hospital No. 7
Ahmadova Kamila Bahlul, 17 female, Salyan, discharged from Baku Hospital No. 7
Cluster 3.
E.G, sibling to O.G., from Tokat, Cumhuriyet University Hospital
O.G., sibling to E.G., from Tokat, now at Cumhuriyet University Hospital
Cluster 4.
A.S., Sibling to B.S., from Tokat, now at Cumhuriyet University Hospital
B.S., sibling to A.S. from Tokat, now at Cumhuriyet University Hospital
Mammadova Agaselim Arif, 13, discharged from Baku Hospital No. 7
Manafov Elsever Panah, 20, Kyurdamir, discharged.
Shahsenem Ibrahimova, 6, Salyan, discharged.
Ziyafet Muhtarov, 35, Dayikent and nearby village,
Emrah Ismailov,9, Dayikent and nearby village,
Schaxsenem Ibrahimova, 2.5 female, admitted to hospital 6-mar-2006
Amrah Ismayilov, 9, Sarvan
Maleyka Rzazade, Narimanov District of Baku resident
Ziyafet Mukhtarov, 35 male, Salyan.
Seymur Gulmaliyev, 28 male, worker of Safali-broiler farm.
Khatira (Hatira) Abbasova, 17 , Dayikend, died 23-Feb-06
Gunel Gasymova (Gyune Gasimova), 16 or 17 female, Sarvan, died 8-mar-2006.
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