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Australian swine flu fight holds lessons for world

Chuck

Moderator
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gAulTiDRNSk8LwqIj7tehaO2ijxw

Australian swine flu fight holds lessons for world


By Neil Sands (AFP) ? 1 hour ago

MELBOURNE ? Hard-hit Australia has become a global case study for swine flu, with Europe and the United States watching closely as it battles the disease in the southern hemisphere winter, experts say.

The outbreak began here in early May as Australia was entering its annual flu season, speeding up infections so much that in a month Melbourne was the world's "swine flu capital" with the highest concentration of cases anywhere.

More than 40 deaths and some 16,000 cases later, Australia's experience with A(H1N1) holds valuable lessons for northern countries contemplating the onset of autumn and winter.

"There's no doubt that the lessons learned from Australia will be useful for overseas," said University of New South Wales epidemiologist William Rawlinson.

"What's happening in Australia now and the evidence that the number of cases of swine flu has significantly increased as winter's become colder is exactly what we expect in the northern hemisphere during their winter.

"So certainly lots of people in the northern hemisphere, Europe and the United States, are very interested in what happens here."

Australia's efforts against the virus have ranged from reminding people to wash their hands to closing schools and planning a mass immunisation programme capable of covering the entire population.

Authorities have also been forced to fine-tune their response as the threat has evolved, concentrating efforts on the most vulnerable groups such as pregnant women and those with existing medical problems.

They have also issued warnings to the disadvantaged Aboriginal community and noted with alarm that the disease starting attacking rising numbers of young, otherwise fit, people.

"Australia has seen you do have to change your response and get that message out to the public and the health community," Rawlinson said. "The issues have to be very clear -- otherwise, people get confused.

"As deaths rise and as critical care becomes more important you have to respond to that, and that's one thing we've done very well in Australia."

The Influenza Specialist Group advisory panel said initial measures to stop the virus spreading, such as monitoring at ports and airports and shutting schools, had proved futile.

"It certainly proved that border protection does not work against this type of virus, although that was not unexpected," the panel's chairman Alan Hampson said.

He added that the disease could become more infectious by the northern hemisphere winter. World health experts fear a repeat of the devastating Spanish and Asian influenza pandemics of 1918 and 1958.

"It requires only a couple of points of mutation to acquire additional transmission capacity -- maybe that's what we're seeing now, we just don't know," Hampson said.

"Maybe by the time it gets to the northern hemisphere this virus will be much more able to spread."

Anne Schuchat, a doctor at the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, said health experts in the country were gathering information from around the world.

"Whether it's here in the United States or in places like Argentina or Australia, there is a way that we handle any types of medical challenges," she told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation.

With human testing for a swine flu vaccine already underway in Australia, Hampson said northern countries had a big advantage unavailable here going into flu season.

"The northern hemisphere will have a vaccine, which will be a major benefit that we haven't had," he said.

Copyright ? 2009 AFP. All rights reserved.
 
Re: Australian swine flu fight holds lessons for world

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gAulTiDRNSk8LwqIj7tehaO2ijxw

Australian swine flu fight holds lessons for world


By Neil Sands (AFP) – 1 hour ago

MELBOURNE — Hard-hit Australia has become a global case study for swine flu, with Europe and the United States watching closely as it battles the disease in the southern hemisphere winter, experts say.

The outbreak began here in early May as Australia was entering its annual flu season, speeding up infections so much that in a month Melbourne was the world's "swine flu capital" with the highest concentration of cases anywhere.

More than 40 deaths and some 16,000 cases later, Australia's experience with A(H1N1) holds valuable lessons for northern countries contemplating the onset of autumn and winter.

"There's no doubt that the lessons learned from Australia will be useful for overseas," said University of New South Wales epidemiologist William Rawlinson.

"What's happening in Australia now and the evidence that the number of cases of swine flu has significantly increased as winter's become colder is exactly what we expect in the northern hemisphere during their winter.

"So certainly lots of people in the northern hemisphere, Europe and the United States, are very interested in what happens here."

Australia's efforts against the virus have ranged from reminding people to wash their hands to closing schools and planning a mass immunisation programme capable of covering the entire population.

Authorities have also been forced to fine-tune their response as the threat has evolved, concentrating efforts on the most vulnerable groups such as pregnant women and those with existing medical problems.

They have also issued warnings to the disadvantaged Aboriginal community and noted with alarm that the disease starting attacking rising numbers of young, otherwise fit, people.

"Australia has seen you do have to change your response and get that message out to the public and the health community," Rawlinson said. "The issues have to be very clear -- otherwise, people get confused.

"As deaths rise and as critical care becomes more important you have to respond to that, and that's one thing we've done very well in Australia."

The Influenza Specialist Group advisory panel said initial measures to stop the virus spreading, such as monitoring at ports and airports and shutting schools, had proved futile.

"It certainly proved that border protection does not work against this type of virus, although that was not unexpected," the panel's chairman Alan Hampson said.

He added that the disease could become more infectious by the northern hemisphere winter. World health experts fear a repeat of the devastating Spanish and Asian influenza pandemics of 1918 and 1958.

"It requires only a couple of points of mutation to acquire additional transmission capacity -- maybe that's what we're seeing now, we just don't know," Hampson said.

"Maybe by the time it gets to the northern hemisphere this virus will be much more able to spread."

Anne Schuchat, a doctor at the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, said health experts in the country were gathering information from around the world.

"Whether it's here in the United States or in places like Argentina or Australia, there is a way that we handle any types of medical challenges," she told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation.

With human testing for a swine flu vaccine already underway in Australia, Hampson said northern countries had a big advantage unavailable here going into flu season.

"The northern hemisphere will have a vaccine, which will be a major benefit that we haven't had," he said.

Copyright © 2009 AFP. All rights reserved.


Pick me, pick me!! Australia's govt policy and approach to the swine 'flu pandemic doesn't provide any lessons for the world. This is just the usual parochial nonsense of 'please, please pick me' from Australia.

The policy response to the 2009 pandemic has actually been pathetic. Over-indulgence in Tamiflu stockpiling as the centre-piece of the country's disease mgt strategy puts it firmly in the also-rans camp. Chronic under-resourcing of hospitals; a belated response to communicating key risk factors (in particular: pregnancy, ethinicity) that have long been evident.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Re: Australian swine flu fight holds lessons for world

It is worth to note that:

--1) some of the viruses circulating in southern hemisphere are continuing to be re-introducted in norther hemisphere regions through travel;

--2) these re-introducted viruses are spreading among contacts of the rerturned travellers;

--3) some of the northern hemisphere nations have a climate (ie: Norway, Sweden, Iceland, Finland, portion of Russian Federation as Karelya) similar to certain southern hemisphere ones (for example parts of Argentina, Chile, etc.);

--4) nations have different socio-economic background with vast portion of population crowded in megalopolis (Sao Paulo, Singapore, Hong Kong); some nations have also large slums with people crowded without minimal hygienic tools as toilets, sewage system, potable water (I think in special mode to some Brazilian slums, in the Philippines, Indonesia, but even in Africa, and elsewhere potable water is a luxury good: Peru, Ecuador, Bolivia, etc.)

--5) behaviour of people varies greatly among nations and regions;

--6) genetic and antigenic characteristics of H1N1 2009 viruses alone cannot explain entirely different patterns of spread and severity of outcomes;

--7) if is true that a pathogenic strain kills richest as poorest, it is also true that if you are living without potable water, decent food, or with a couple of US$ a day for your essential needs, without a health care system able to provide basic services, then you could experience a great burden of morbidity and mortality; this is also the case of several affluent nations where public health care system suffered from severe fundings cuts in recent years;

--8) some time ago economists warned of the risks of the so-called ''immizering growth'' of some nations cited in the above article, and the possible fall-out in emergencies response of these nations.


I cannot say whether this virus will demonstrate as a ''1918 pandemic flu re-run''; it could be.

It could do worst.

But I am not a scientists: my work is evaluate the things under my eyes. I am seeing a lot of confusion; and I am not seeing the social distancing measures needed for a pandemic of the 1918 kind.

So, where is the coherence of the various ''experts'' speeches?
 
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