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PB2/627 temperature theory issues

Sally Furniss

Well-known member
As an aside

It's interesting the temperature thing has popped up again. I'm not really sure where it fits in.

In humans flu virus replicates better in the cooler nasal/throat temps brought on by winter. Nasal temperature drops to 35 degrees Celsius?. Correct me if I am wrong.

In birds most of the problem is in the gut which is not affected by cooler weather temperatures.

The nasal area in birds would drop to a temperature that is still higher than the human one.

Am I missing some thing here?
 
PB2/627 temperature theory issues

I keep seeing speculation that temperature has something to do with out breaks. I am wondering what the theory is?

It seems very vague.
 
PB2/627 temperature theory issues

Are there are two temperature theories?

1, the lower temperature requirement for easier transmission to humans

2, Sudden cold snaps trigger deaths in birds.
 
PB2/627 temperature theory issues

If lower temperatures plays a role in killing birds. What is the mechanism.

If in birds the main problem is the virus in the gut...then external temperature is not an issue.

If virus in respiratory tract is the main problem then could external temparature play a role in bird deaths.
 
PB2/627 temperature theory issues

AnneZ;

The temperature issues continues to bother me also. I have read the details for months & keep wondering:

- If birds are carrying a strain that can kill birds, then it must be the 627 (set to high replication temperature) strain, which cannot replicate in humans. (right?)

- If birds are carrying a 627 strain that can replicate in and kill humans, then shouldn't that (set to low replication temperature) version NOT be able to replicate in birds?

- So how can a strain that can replicate in & kill birds (assuming 627 is set to high replication setting) also replicate in and kill humans (requiring 627 be set to low replication setting)?

- Is is possible that birds are dually infected - each one with a different 627 setting?

- My understanding of the 627 settings would infer that one strain cannot replicate in & kill BOTH birds and humans. :confused:

I believe in the past someone said that as birds start dying, their bodies cool & the virus with low temperature setting start duplicating. So what caused them to become sick to start with? H5N1 virus with a high-temp setting in a dual infection situation, or something else?

.
 
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PB2/627 temperature theory issues

Maybe there are both 627 present.

High temperature setting kills the birds. When the temperature is low enough the low setting takes over.
 
PB2/627 temperature theory issues

Dual infection?

That would mean when the large number of Qinghai bird deaths tested positive for E627K (lower human-temperature setting), that large population were all dually infected with both strains. Does that seem reasonable? Would not BOTH strains have been found by the tests?


Would it follow that the surviving birds, flying elsewhere, were those infected by only one strain - the one adapted to lower temperature replication? But when those birds arrived on the shores of the Crimean Penn., remember how many died - going in circles with bent necks? Wouldn't that require the higher temperature setting?

My brain is getting whip lash from this issue. ;)

.
 
Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

Presumably E627K was dominant in the testing, others may have been ignored.

Although Qinghai tested positive for E627K, by definition, it was not that aspect of the virus that killed them. Unless the birds cool and that encourages replication at the lower temps and then kills the birds.

For the Crimean Peninsula the birds could have picked up the high temp. setting when they got there.

Whiplash :D
 
Re: Absence -- again!

Re: Absence -- again!

...Qinghai tested positive for E627K, by definition, it was not that aspect of the virus that killed them...
But could they have died without the "virus with the deadly aspect" replicating (via 627 set at high temp) enough to create an effective viral load?

.
 
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PB2/627 temperature theory issues

But could they have died without the "virus with the deadly aspect? replicating (via 627 set at high temp) enough to create an effective viral load?

.
Perhaps some thing made them succumb to a lower viral load than normal? Was viral load measured?
 
Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

I leave bird virus up to Dr. Niman. But, human virus does depend on viral load for increased mortality. And, I believe by the same mechanism found in birds. (Please correct me if I am wrong here experts.) ARDS in humans and massive internal bleeding in birds. So, I am wondering if we are talking apples and oranges here.

Birds are not affected equally by the virus. We now have asymptomatic ducks and geese but chickens and sparrows (and mice) are suffering higher mortality rates. So, it seems to me that PB2/627 isn't the only criteria we should be focused on. http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/content/influenza/avianflu/news/oct1807birds.html

Study says H5N1 has varied effects in small land birds

Oct 18, 2007 (CIDRAP News) – A study on the effects of the H5N1 avian influenza virus on small land birds suggests it is often lethal in sparrows but has lesser effects on starlings and pigeons and does not readily spread to other birds of the same species.
However, the researchers say their findings also suggest that sparrows and starlings could potentially spread the virus to poultry and mammals.
The results of the study, conducted at St Jude Children's Research Hospital in Memphis, were published early online by Emerging Infectious Diseases.
Scientists have fleshed out some H5N1 patterns in waterfowl species, which have been shown to shed the virus for prolonged periods and are thought to play some role—along with the poultry business—in the geographic spread among the world's poultry populations. However, less is known about small terrestrial birds, which also intermingle with waterfowl and poultry.
To gauge how the H5N1 virus behaves in small birds, the researchers inoculated sparrows, starlings, and pigeons with four different strains that were isolated from birds. Two of the strains had previously been shown to infect waterfowl in Thailand, and two were recently isolated during wild-bird surveillance in Hong Kong.
The sparrows and starlings used in the study were captured in the wild, while 6-week old Carneux pigeons were bought from supply houses. At the start of the study, the authors obtained cloacal swabs from the birds to rule out existing influenza A infections.
After the birds were inoculated with the H5N1 strains, researchers placed them in cages with uninfected birds of the same species for 14 days to gauge virus transmission. The ratio of infected to uninfected birds was 1:1 for sparrows and starlings and 2:3 for pigeons.
The birds were monitored each day for death and illness, and oropharyngeal and cloacal swabs were collected on days 2, 4, 6, 8, and 11 for sparrows and starlings and on days 3, 5, and 7 for pigeons. At the end of the 14-day period, the investigators collected serum samples from the inoculated and contact birds for hemagglutanin-inhibition testing.
Death rates were highest for the sparrows: 66% to 100% of them died, depending on the H5N1 strain they received. High viral loads were detected in dead sparrows' brain and lung tissues. However, none of the starlings or pigeons died.
Regular testing after inoculation showed that all of the sparrows and starlings were infected, but infection in pigeons depended on the strain of the virus. One of the Hong Kong strains infected both sparrows and starlings, as well as all of the inoculated pigeons, though the authors found the viruses replicated relatively poorly in the pigeons.
Virus titers showed sparrows and starlings shed similar amounts of the virus, but titers from cloacal swabs of sparrows were higher than those from the starlings.
The researchers found no evidence of spread of the virus among the sparrows and pigeons. Only one starling showed evidence of transmission, involving one of the Hong Kong strains.
The authors concluded that that the birds varied in their susceptibility to the H5N1 viruses but that transmission to the contact birds was infrequent.
Compared to earlier reports on the susceptibility of sparrows, starlings, and pigeons to a 1997 Hong Kong H5N1 virus, the current study suggests that the bird species are more susceptible to the more recent H5N1 isolates used in the study.
"Although drawing conclusions on the basis of a single 1997 isolate is inappropriate, these data are consistent with studies that have demonstrated increased virulence or host range for recent influenza [H5N1] viruses in mammalian species," the authors write.
A key question is whether smaller wild birds can be intermediate hosts or long-term reservoirs for the H5N1 virus, the researchers point out. The results in sparrows suggest that they could potentially infect poultry and mammals, but, given the high death rate, wouldn't likely serve as a reservoir for prolonged viral shedding. Starlings, because they survived and shed the virus longer, could act as an intermediate host, but transmission evidence in the study was limited, the report says. The authors suggest that the role of pigeons in spreading the virus may be minor because they shed only small amounts of the virus and didn't transmit the disease to other pigeons.
The researchers conclude that terrestrial wild bird species vary considerably in their susceptibility to H5N1 virus strains, and some species, such as sparrows, could suffer substantial losses during H5N1 outbreaks. Also, they write that mutations in circulating H5N1 viruses could enhance the role of sparrows and starlings as intermediate hosts.
Boon ACM, Sandbulte MR, Seiler P, et al. Role of terrestrial wild birds in ecology of influenza A virus (H5N1). Emerg Infect Dis 2007 Nov; [Full text]
 
Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

I interpret this study (along with other studies) to mean that H5N1 is endemic in a host of bird species not only in Asia but in Europe and Africa as well. Lower temperature preferences found in recent virus samples does not preclude infection in birds. We know this because the samples were from birds not mammals. What it does mean is an increased likelihood of cross infections to humans and other mammals. http://pathogens.plosjournals.org/p...ocument&doi=10.1371/journal.ppat.0030133&ct=1 and http://penumbra-of-pandemia.blogspot.com/2007/10/h5n1-viruses-in-africa-and-europe.html

Higher temperature requirements made mammalian infection far more difficult. Humans had to pull the virus deep into lung tissue for the virus to find a temperature conducive to replicating. That is no longer the case with some strains. Lower temperatures found in nose and throats of mammals are now prime targets for replication. Scientists also now know that receptors once thought rare in humans are in fact quite common. This too makes infection far more likely in humans.
http://respiratory-research.com/content/8/1/73/abstract and http://jvi.asm.org/cgi/content/abstract/81/22/12439

Lastly, flu virus thrives in cooler temperatures. Recent scientific studies as well as anecdotal evidence shows undoubtedly we can expect the number of cases to rise in humans in the winter months in the Northern Hemisphere. http://www.curevents.com/vb/showthread.php?t=83353
 
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Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

Dual infection?

That would mean when the large number of Qinghai bird deaths tested positive for E627K (lower human-temperature setting), that large population were all dually infected with both strains. Does that seem reasonable? Would not BOTH strains have been found by the tests?


Would it follow that the surviving birds, flying elsewhere, were those infected by only one strain - the one adapted to lower temperature replication? But when those birds arrived on the shores of the Crimean Penn., remember how many died - going in circles with bent necks? Wouldn't that require the higher temperature setting?

My brain is getting whip lash from this issue. ;)

.
E627K is heavily selected in human flu, and all human influenza A has E627K. Prior to Qinghai Lake, H5N1 in birds did not have E627K. The only H5N1 with E627K was from mammals (humans, dogs, cats, or experimental mice).
At Qinghai Lake E627K was found in birds, which may have been because the E627K lowers the level of H5N1 in birds which may allow more tom survive and transport/transmit the H5N1.

There are many factors that influence host outcomes, including other infections, stress from migrating, conprimised immune system etc, which may have led to the large number of deaths at Qinghai Lake.

E627K has become fixed in Qinghai, so well over 90% of the published Qinghai PB2 sequences have E627K.

The low levels of H5N1 may also contibute to the abysmal surveillance performance, which can't pck up H5N1 in healthy wild birds.
 
Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

.......At Qinghai Lake E627K was found in birds, which may have been because the E627K lowers the level of H5N1 in birds which may allow more tom survive and transport/transmit the H5N1.

There are many factors that influence host outcomes, including other infections, stress from migrating, conprimised immune system etc, which may have led to the large number of deaths at Qinghai Lake.

E627K has become fixed in Qinghai, so well over 90% of the published Qinghai PB2 sequences have E627K.

The low levels of H5N1 may also contibute to the abysmal surveillance performance, which can't pck up H5N1 in healthy wild birds.

Thanks for the help in understanding this issue.

In the plosjournal.org reference, I found....

Furthermore, we found that PB2-627Glu mutants of VD18 wild-type and VN1203PB2-627Glu viruses, but not those of VN1204, VD5, and Mal/NY viruses, mutated to Lys during replication in mice.

Once again, H5N1 clearly has a mind of it's own & is a virus on a mission.

.
 
Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

Here's another article about temperatures, however this one is about the effect of temperature on viral replication. It seems that various temperatures can impact the various chemicals invovled in the replication process, thereby the process itself.

Temperature sensitive influenza A virus genome replication results from low thermal stability of polymerase-cRNA complexes

Abstract

Background

The RNA-dependent RNA polymerase of Influenza A virus is a determinant of viral pathogenicity and host range that is responsible for transcribing and replicating the negative sense segmented viral genome (vRNA). Transcription produces capped and polyadenylated mRNAs whereas genome replication involves the synthesis of an alternative plus-sense transcript (cRNA) with unmodified termini that is copied back to vRNA. Viral mRNA transcription predominates at early stages of viral infection, while later, negative sense genome replication is favoured. However, the "switch" that regulates the transition from transcription to replication is poorly understood.
Results

We show that temperature strongly affects the balance between plus and minus-sense RNA synthesis with high temperature causing a large decrease in vRNA accumulation, a moderate decrease in cRNA levels but (depending on genome segment) either increased or unchanged levels of mRNA. We found no evidence implicating cellular heat shock protein activity in this effect despite the known association of hsp70 and hsp90 with viral polymerase components. Temperature-shift experiments indicated that polymerase synthesised at 41°C maintained transcriptional activity even though genome replication failed. Reduced polymerase association with viral RNA was seen in vivo and in confirmation of this, in vitro binding assays showed that temperature increased the rate of dissociation of polymerase from both positive and negative sense promoters. However, the interaction of polymerase with the cRNA promoter was particularly heat labile, showing rapid dissociation even at 37°C. This suggested that vRNA synthesis fails at elevated temperatures because the polymerase does not bind the promoter. In support of this hypothesis, a mutant cRNA promoter with vRNA-like sequence elements supported vRNA synthesis at higher temperatures than the wild-type promoter.
Conclusion

The differential stability of negative and positive sense polymerase-promoter complexes explains why high temperature favours transcription over replication and has implications for the control of viral RNA synthesis at physiological temperatures. Furthermore, given the different body temperatures of birds and man, these finding suggest molecular hypotheses for how polymerase function may affect host range.

(body of article is very long.....)

Conclusion

Human influenza A virus, genome RNA synthesis is inhibited at high temperature, with transcription strongly favoured over replication. This temperature effect is due to the differential stability of negative and positive sense polymerase-promoter complexes, which is accentuated at high temperature (fig. 9). These findings have implications for the mechanisms that control normal viral RNA synthesis. Furthermore, as temperature is a notable physiological difference between avian and mammalian host systems, such considerations may have significance for the influence of avian virus-derived polymerase genes on host range and pathogenesis.

.
 
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Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

E627K is heavily selected in human flu, and all human influenza A has E627K. Prior to Qinghai Lake, H5N1 in birds did not have E627K. The only H5N1 with E627K was from mammals (humans, dogs, cats, or experimental mice).
At Qinghai Lake E627K was found in birds, which may have been because the E627K lowers the level of H5N1 in birds which may allow more tom survive and transport/transmit the H5N1.

There are many factors that influence host outcomes, including other infections, stress from migrating, conprimised immune system etc, which may have led to the large number of deaths at Qinghai Lake.

E627K has become fixed in Qinghai, so well over 90% of the published Qinghai PB2 sequences have E627K.

The low levels of H5N1 may also contibute to the abysmal surveillance performance, which can't pck up H5N1 in healthy wild birds.

Had the birds that died on the Crimean Penn migrated from Qinghai.

How much E627K was found in the birds that died on the Crimean Penn?

At what % do you consider something to have become fixed?
 
Re: PB2/627 temperature theory issues

"Temperature sensitive influenza A virus genome replication results from low thermal stability of polymerase-cRNA complexes"

thank you ANNE Z :
but do you have a link ? :tiphat: this article seems very promising
 
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