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Elife . A large effective population size for established within-host influenza virus infection

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  • Elife . A large effective population size for established within-host influenza virus infection


    Elife


    . 2020 Aug 10;9:e56915.
    doi: 10.7554/eLife.56915. Online ahead of print.
    A large effective population size for established within-host influenza virus infection


    Casper K Lumby 1 , Lei Zhao 1 , Judith Breuer 2 , Christopher J R Illingworth 1



    Affiliations

    Abstract

    Strains of the influenza virus form coherent global populations, yet exist at the level of single infections in individual hosts. The relationship between these scales is a critical topic for understanding viral evolution. Here we investigate the within-host relationship between selection and the stochastic effects of genetic drift, estimating an effective population size of infection Ne for influenza infection. Examining whole-genome sequence data describing a chronic case of influenza B in a severely immunocompromised child we infer an Ne of 2.5 x 107 (95% confidence range 1.0 x 107 to 9.0 x 107) suggesting that genetic drift is of minimal importance during an established influenza infection. Our result, supported by data from influenza A infection, suggests that positive selection during within-host infection is primarily limited by the typically short period of infection. Atypically long infections may have a disproportionate influence upon global patterns of viral evolution.

    Keywords: evolutionary biology; infectious disease; microbiology; viruses.

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