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Clinical symptoms cannot predict influenza infection during the 2013 influenza season in Bavaria, Germany

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  • Clinical symptoms cannot predict influenza infection during the 2013 influenza season in Bavaria, Germany

    Epidemiol Infect. 2015 Sep 21:1-7. [Epub ahead of print]
    Clinical symptoms cannot predict influenza infection during the 2013 influenza season in Bavaria, Germany.

    Campe H1, Heinzinger S1, Hartberger C1, Sing A1.
    Author information

    Abstract

    For influenza surveillance and diagnosis typical clinical symptoms are traditionally used to discriminate influenza virus infections from infections by other pathogens. During the 2013 influenza season we performed a multiplex assay for 16 different viruses in 665 swabs from patients with acute respiratory infections (ARIs) to display the variety of different pathogens causing ARI and to test the diagnostic value of both the commonly used case definitions [ARI, and influenza like illness (ILI)] as well as the clinical judgement of physicians, respectively, to achieve a laboratory-confirmed influenza diagnosis. Fourteen different viruses were identified as causing ARI/ILI. Influenza diagnosis based on clinical signs overestimated the number of laboratory-confirmed influenza cases and misclassified cases. Furthermore, ILI case definition and physicians agreed in only 287/651 (44%) cases with laboratory confirmation. Influenza case management has to be supported by laboratory confirmation to allow evidence-based decisions. Epidemiological syndromic surveillance data should be supported by laboratory confirmation for reasonable interpretation.


    KEYWORDS:

    Influenza; influenza (seasonal); public health; public health microbiology; respiratory infections

    PMID: 26388141 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]

  • #2
    alternatively you can just watch for the waves, when what virus is "around"
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

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