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Estimating Epidemic Parameters: Application to H1N1 Pandemic Data

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  • Estimating Epidemic Parameters: Application to H1N1 Pandemic Data

    Math Biosci. 2015 Apr 2. pii: S0025-5564(15)00066-8. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2015.03.007. [Epub ahead of print]
    Estimating Epidemic Parameters: Application to H1N1 Pandemic Data.

    Schwartz EJ1, Choi B2, Rempala GA3.
    Author information

    Abstract

    This paper discusses estimation of the parameters in an SIR epidemic model from the observed longitudinal new infection count data. The potential problems of the standard MLE approaches are revealed and possible remedies suggested. The analysis is based on the epidemic data from the 2009 outbreak of H1N1 influenza on the campus of Washington State University.
    Copyright ? 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.


    KEYWORDS:

    H1N1 influenza; Monte Carlo approximation; parameter estimation; stochastic SIR model

    PMID: 25843353 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]
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