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THE PLAGUE OF JUSTINIAN - AD 541-542

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  • #16
    Re: THE PLAGUE OF JUSTINIAN - AD 541-542

    I just read about a 12-year period in plague-waves
    between 540 and 770, during which the waves became
    less severe and more localized.
    And then there were almost no plagues in Europe until 1347.

    That reminded me to the sun-spots and the hypothetical
    11-year pandemic cycle which they assumed in 1976
    when there was swine flu scare.

    Is there a paper about that 12-year cycle ?
    How can it be explained ? Immunity ?
    I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
    my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

    Comment


    • #17
      Re: THE PLAGUE OF JUSTINIAN - AD 541-542

      "Did Justinian Create the First Pandemic?"

      Hardly.
      What's about the various mileniums bugs of ancient Egipt/China/Mesopot./....
      ___

      Maybe if the Alexandrian biblio. wasn't burned we knowed more backwards.

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      • #18
        Re: THE PLAGUE OF JUSTINIAN - AD 541-542

        what I found so far:


        542-544 Constantinope
        543 South France
        544 or 545 Ireland
        547 Britain
        558 spring, Constantinople
        565 Liguria (Italy?)
        571 France,Auvergne
        580 France
        580 Constantinople
        590 Rome
        590 France,Avignon
        594 Antiochia
        610 China
        627-8 Betis, Iraq
        638-40 Emmaus,Syria
        664-6 England,Ireland
        684-7 England
        668-9 Basra,Iraq
        706 debtor
        716-7 prevail
        740 Tibet
        745-7 Constantinople

        537-9 Britain,Ireland (?)
        542 Gaul,Ireland
        544 Blefed, Ireland
        549 Ireland
        664-8 UK,Ireland
        682 UK
        683-5 Ireland
        709 Ireland ?
        772-86 Ireland
        806 Ireland
        825 Ireland
        1096 Ireland


        Paul adds that the plague only affected the Romans and those in Italy up to
        its northern borders: as was seen before, the germanic tribes to the north
        do not seem to have been immediately affected by an outbreak of the plague.
        I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
        my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

        Comment

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