Tweet
Comput Math Methods Med. 2018 Nov 4;2018:7383170. doi: 10.1155/2018/7383170. eCollection 2018.
Avian Influenza A (H7N9) Model Based on Poultry Transport Network in China.
Zhang J1,2, Jing W1,2, Zhang W3, Jin Z1,2.
Author information
Abstract
In order to analyze the spread of avian influenza A (H7N9), we construct an avian influenza transmission model from poultry (including poultry farm, backyard poultry farm, live-poultry wholesale market, and wet market) to human according to poultry transport network. We obtain the threshold value for the prevalence of avian influenza A (H7N9) and also give the existence and number of the boundary equilibria and endemic equilibria in different conditions. We can see that poultry transport network plays an important role in controlling avian influenza A (H7N9). Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the effects of poultry in different places on avian influenza. In order to reduce human infections in China, our results suggest that closing the retail live-poultry market or preventing the poultry of backyard poultry farm into the live-poultry market is feasible in a suitable condition.
PMID: 30532797 PMCID: PMC6247641 DOI: 10.1155/2018/7383170
Free PMC Article
Avian Influenza A (H7N9) Model Based on Poultry Transport Network in China.
Zhang J1,2, Jing W1,2, Zhang W3, Jin Z1,2.
Author information
Abstract
In order to analyze the spread of avian influenza A (H7N9), we construct an avian influenza transmission model from poultry (including poultry farm, backyard poultry farm, live-poultry wholesale market, and wet market) to human according to poultry transport network. We obtain the threshold value for the prevalence of avian influenza A (H7N9) and also give the existence and number of the boundary equilibria and endemic equilibria in different conditions. We can see that poultry transport network plays an important role in controlling avian influenza A (H7N9). Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the effects of poultry in different places on avian influenza. In order to reduce human infections in China, our results suggest that closing the retail live-poultry market or preventing the poultry of backyard poultry farm into the live-poultry market is feasible in a suitable condition.
PMID: 30532797 PMCID: PMC6247641 DOI: 10.1155/2018/7383170
Free PMC Article