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Influenza Surveillance and Incidence in a Rural Area in China during the 2009/2010 Influenza Pandemic

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  • Influenza Surveillance and Incidence in a Rural Area in China during the 2009/2010 Influenza Pandemic

    PLoS One. 2014 Dec 26;9(12):e115347. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0115347. eCollection 2014.
    Influenza Surveillance and Incidence in a Rural Area in China during the 2009/2010 Influenza Pandemic.

    Zhang Y1, Li L1, Dong X1, Kong M2, Gao L1, Dong X3, Xu W1.
    Author information

    Abstract

    BACKGROUND:

    Most influenza surveillance is based on data from urban sentinel hospitals; little is known about influenza activity in rural communities. We conducted influenza surveillance in a rural region of China with the aim of detecting influenza activity in the 2009/2010 influenza season.
    METHODS:

    The study was conducted from October 2009 to March 2010. Real-time polymerase chain reaction was used to confirm influenza cases. Over-the-counter (OTC) drug sales were daily collected in drugstores and hospitals/clinics. Space-time scan statistics were used to identify clusters of ILI in community. The incidence rate of ILI/influenza was estimated on the basis of the number of ILI/influenza cases detected by the hospitals/clinics.
    RESULTS:

    A total of 434 ILI cases (3.88% of all consultations) were reported; 64.71% of these cases were influenza A (H1N1) pdm09. The estimated incidence rate of ILI and influenza were 5.19/100 and 0.40/100, respectively. The numbers of ILI cases and OTC drug purchases in the previous 7 days were strongly correlated (Spearman rank correlation coefficient [r] = 0.620, P = 0.001). Four ILI outbreaks were detected by space-time permutation analysis.
    CONCLUSIONS:

    This rural community surveillance detected influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 activity and outbreaks in the 2009/2010 influenza season and enabled estimation of the incidence rate of influenza. It also provides a scientific data for public health measures.


    PMID: 25542003 [PubMed - in process] Free full text




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