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Effect of early oseltamivir treatment on mortality in critically ill patients with different types of influenza: a multi-season cohort study

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  • Effect of early oseltamivir treatment on mortality in critically ill patients with different types of influenza: a multi-season cohort study

    Clin Infect Dis. 2019 Feb 7. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciz101. [Epub ahead of print]
    Effect of early oseltamivir treatment on mortality in critically ill patients with different types of influenza: a multi-season cohort study.

    Lytras T1, Mouratidou E1,2, Andreopoulou A1, Bonovas S3,4, Tsiodras S1,5.
    Author information

    Abstract

    Background:

    The available evidence on whether neuraminidase inhibitors reduce mortality in patients with influenza is inconclusive, and focuses solely on influenza A/H1N1pdm09. We assessed whether early oseltamivir treatment (≤48 hours from symptom onset) decreases mortality compared to late treatment in a large cohort of critically ill patients with influenza of all types.
    Methods:

    The study included all adults with laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalized in intensive care units (ICU) in Greece over eight seasons (2010-2011 to 2017-2018) and treated with oseltamivir. The association of early oseltamivir with mortality was assessed with log-binomial models, and a competing risks analysis estimating cause-specific and subdistribution hazards for death and discharge. Effect estimates were stratified by influenza type and adjusted for multiple covariates.
    Results:

    1330 patients were studied, of whom 622 (46.8%) died in the ICU. Among patients with influenza A/H3N2, early treatment was associated with significantly lower mortality (Relative Risk 0.69, 95% CrI 0.49-0.94; subdistribution Hazard Ratio 0.58, 95% CrI 0.37-0.88). This effect was purely due to an increased cause-specific hazard for discharge, while the cause-specific hazard for death was not increased. Among survivors, the median length of ICU stay was shorter with early treatment by 1.8 days (95% CrI 0.5-3.5). No effect on mortality was observed for A/H1N1 and influenza B patients.
    Conclusions:

    Severely ill patients with suspected influenza should be promptly treated with oseltamivir, particularly when A/H3N2 is circulating. The efficacy of oseltamivir should not be assumed to be equal against all types of influenza.


    PMID: 30753349 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciz101
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