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Anti-viral resistance in 2009 A/H1N1 flu - historical compilation of news

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  • #91
    Tamiflu resistance in pandemic influenza - historical compilation of news

    Tamiflu resistance puzzle

    Category: Antivirals ? Influenza treatment ? Swine flu
    Posted on: July 23, 2009 7:00 AM, by revere


    There have been three reported oseltamivir (Tamiflu) resistant isolates of H1N1 swine flu (added: and now a fourth in Canada) but with those exceptions all others have been sensitive to this oral antiviral. This is in marked contrast to the other H1N1 strain, the seasonal variety which is almost entirely resistant. The spread of Tamiflu resistance in the seasonal strain happened with dramatic suddenness in the winter of 2007 - 2008 and came as an unhappy surprise. People assume that a rapidly mutating virus would inevitably become resistant, but based on several laboratory studies there were reasons to believe the mutation or mutations conferring resistance also made the virus less fit to replicate, infect host cells or cause disease. Moreover the resistance developed and spread very rapidly in areas where the virus was under little antiviral pressure. But the resultant H1N1 seasonal viruses transmitted readily and caused a typical influenza illness. It was a public health problem, but also in interesting scientific one. Now a clue may be emerging in findings just published in a Letter in Emerging Infectious Diseases from scientists in Luxembourg.


    Several mutations in the neuraminidase (NA) gene can cause Tamiflu to lose its effectiveness at blocking the virus's ability to detach its replicated progeny after infecting a host cell (and thus preventing further infection of other cells), but by far the most common is one designated H274Y. The 274 part is the amino acid location along the protein, while the H and Y say that Y has been substituted for H at that location. H is an abbreviation for the amino acid histidine, while Y is the abbreviation for tyrosine. In other words, in a resistant H1N1 virus, there is a change at a single place along the long string of amino acid beads that make up the N1 protein and it occurs 274 places down the line, substituting a tyrosine from a histidine building block. That's a pretty small change but it's enough to interfere with the docking of the Tamiflu to the neuriminidase enzyme on the virus's surface and allow it to perform its detaching function. But is this change all that's involved? Apparently not.


    NA is not the only protein made by the virus. Also on its surface is hemagglutinin (HA, one version of which, H1, gives H1N1 part of its name), which is involved in viral attachment to the host cell (and other functions) and 6 other gene segments, most internal to the virus and involved in replication and other functions. Could it be that the virus with mutant NA had other less visible mutations that somehow "mde up for" or corrected the lack of fitness found in resistant viruses with only H274Y? The scientists in Luxembourg compared sequences in all 8 gene segments in Tamiflu resistant versus sensitive H1N1s to see if there was another consistent change. They looked at 140 different isolates collected by Luxembourg's National Influenza Sentinel Surveillance System over the period when resistance emerged (December 2007 - March 2008). About a quarter of these isolates were Tamiflu resistant. They then searched for another genetic marker that accompanied H274Y but wasn't in H274 (the sensitive virus). No difference in most of the other genes -- PB1, polymerase A, hemagglutinin, nucleoprotein, matrix, nonstructural (NS) -- seemed to differentiate resistant from non-resistant. The exception was the PB2 gene, where a serine for proline change at position 453 (Pro453Ser) seemed to fit the bill. They looked at all published PB2 sequences to see if this was a common mutation and were able to find only three instances collected since 1918: one each in 1933, 1976 and 1988.



    The bottom line here is that these two genetic changes -- H274Y in NA and Pro453Ser -- are associated and seem to be related to the unexpected fitness of Tamiflu resistant seasonal H1N1.


    Science is a slow process and fitting all the pieces together takes even more time. There are false starts and backtracks and sometimes things that seem significant are only side tracks or misinterpretations. Whether this finding is indeed true, and if true, how it works mechanistically we don't know. But it's a clue that might tell us something important about viral fitness and Tamiflu resistance. Could it affect the pandemic? Possibly, if the existence of Pro453Ser could be used as a marker or early warning of developing Tamiflu resistance. Another possibility, that it might provide information about a new therapeutic target, is probably too distant to have any application in the next year or two.


    Science marches to its own rhythm.

    Comment


    • #92
      Re: EM - Tamiflu resistance puzzle

      P453S was among many polymorphisms in clade 2B that had been acquired from clade 2C via recombination

      Comment


      • #93
        Re: Tamiflu-resistant swine flu found on US-Mexico border

        Originally posted by Hogweed View Post
        Commentary

        Spread of Tamiflu Resistant Pandemic H1N1 in Texas
        Recombinomics Commentary 13:46
        August 4, 2009

        We have seen some cases, few of which we are confident, El Paso and around McAllen, Texas," said Dr. Maria Teresa Cerqueira, responsible local office of PAHO, at a conference on influenza A. The persons concerned cross the border regularly and were autom?dicament?es, says the doctor.

        The above translation adds to the uncertainty associated with the oseltamivir resistance report on the Texas / Mexico border (see map). Since the report cites self-treatment of Tamiflu, it is unclear if and when the resistant cases were treated. In previously announced cases worldwide, five were on prophylactic treatment because of exposure , and at least two developed symptoms on the fifth day of Tamiflu treatment, raising concerns that H274Y was present at reduced levels in these patients and the treatment allowed for the detection of the H274Y, which may be the case for some of the patients on the Texas border.

        However a traveler from San Francisco was tested in Hong Kong and had H274Y in the absence of Tamiflu treatment, which may also be the case for some of the patients along the Texas border. More aggressive testing and release of these sequences would be useful.

        However, these sequences should be tested more thoroughly for the presence of H274Y as a mixture. A recent report on Relenza resistance (Q136K) indicated the polymorphism was only detected after culture on MDCK cells, indicating the levels in the clinical sample were below detection. In addition to the nine examples in southeast Asia / Australia, which were in the report, a sequence from Nicaragua has been published (see list here) and a mixture from Pennsylvania was published a year ago, although agency reports claim no Relenza resistance in the US in the 2007/2008 season. The Q136K was in patients who were not being treated with Relenza, and more widespread treatment of swine flu patients will likely lead to more detected cases, which is the likely situation for H274Y also.

        The failure to provide more concrete information and sequences from the resistant patients along the Texas border increases concerns that resistant pandemic H1N1 is widespread, but grossly under-represented in the limited number of public sequences released at Genbank or GISAID.


        ====

        My Bolding - not Dr Niman's. The obvious question is what other polymorphisms might be gaining ground below the radar.
        PB1 E627K. It was in the original and first clone from Shanghai, but was absent in the second clone. This is another important change which may be flying below the radar, especially at this time in the northern hemisphere.

        In the fall, the story will be quite different.

        Comment


        • #94
          Re: Tamiflu-resistant swine flu found on US-Mexico border

          Originally posted by GennieF View Post
          Dr. Niman,

          Do you have any sort of rough outline as to what you think will happen in the fall and when things will start to become noticeable as far as severe sickness/death?

          Gennie
          The CDC has said they expect outbreaks like NYC to be widespread in the US in the fall. I think this is an optimistic projection. In the northern hemisphere the fall will signal the start of flu season and cases increase simply because the cooler temperature allows the virus to remain viable longer. Thus there is more transmission just because there is more virus laying around.

          However, the species jump is significant, and major changes are possible with minor changes. I expect H274Y to be widespread as well as PB2 E627K. These two changes alone could have a significant impact because the virus will be able to grow faster at lower temperatures and will be resistant to Tamiflu (and Relenza resistance may follow).

          Some signals will come out of sequences from the southern hemisphere, although those sequences lag. There is at least one marker for Argentina, and the Sao Paulo change may be significant. There may be more sequences released this week, which could make these initial onservations on fatal cases easier to evaluate.

          In addition, there are more people living in the northern hemisphere, so issues in the southern hemisphere could be magnified in the north. I suspect some time in September the picture will be clearer and I expect results to indicate that the CDC projection is VERY optimistic.

          Comment


          • #95
            Tamiflu resistance in pandemic influenza - historical compilation of news

            Patient that died was not treated in time. Onset: 7/25

            Deaths due to the first influenza A/H1N1 in Vietnam
            TPHCM 9 doctors, nurses of the Thong Nhat hospital with positive influenza A/H1N1. 4-8 To date, Vietnam has recorded 995 cases of influenza A/H1N1 infection
            4-8 days, the Ministry of Health issued new guidelines diagnosis, treatment and infection influenza A/H1N1 replaced Decision 1440/QD-BYT 29 - 4-2009 guide diagnosis, treatment and infectious influenza A/H1N1 in pigs.

            Deaths are not treated in time

            4-8 days, Dr. Nguyen Huy Nga, Director Department of Department of Health and Environment (Ministry of Health), said the report of Health Department of Khanh Hoa, a female patient Tran Thi Kim L., 29 years old (in the Th?nh Gia, Vinh Nguyen Ward, Nha Trang City, Khanh Hoa), infected on 25-7, with mild symptoms of fever, cough and sore throat.

            30-7 days, patients entered Military Health Institute 87, tested positive influenza A/H1N1 virus. then, 2-8 days, patients transferred to the Hospital Khanh Hoa and death 3-8 days by severe respiratory failure. Causes initially identified: After detecting the symptoms of influenza, the patient did not go to hospital to be treated timely.

            According to Trinh Quan Huan, Deputy Minister of Health, to assert that to make sure patients have died due to influenza A/H1N1 health departments will conduct some tests, and to study the disease profile This view has infected chronic or not. The agencies are conducting investigations to study epidemiology determine exactly causes death of this patient.

            Huan also by his ability to patient deaths due to influenza A/H5N1 virus infection was removed by the test results have confirmed patients negative for the virus this flu.

            24 more cases of influenza infection

            In 4-8 days, Vietnam has recorded 24 more cases of influenza A/H1N1 infection in the South: 10 CA, Northern: 11 ca, Central: 3 ca. Thus, up to this time, Vietnam has recorded 995 cases of influenza A/H1N1 infection.

            4-8 pm, Director of the Department of Health Quang Tri Tran Van Thanh confirmed patients first influenza A/H1N1 infection is Tran Thi Phuong Tan, 39 years old, indicated Quarter 4, Ward 5, Dong Ha (Quang Tri). Earlier, on 24-7, Ms. Q. TPHCM go on 26-7, in the Quang Tri.

            On 28-7, Ms. Q. see the hot and uncomfortable fever hospital treatment. After sending samples tested, the 4-8, Medical Center for Quang Tri province received her results Q. have been influenza A/H1N1 infection.

            According to new guidelines by the Ministry of Health, at present, the diagnosis and treatment is difficult by the place clinical diversity, there are many serious cases, evolve quickly, easily lead to death due to influenza virus A/H1N1.

            When patients acute events will have some manifestation as fever and symptoms of respiratory tract: inflammation on respiratory, sore throat, or khan or spotting, headache, and pain, fatigue, non, diarrhea. Many cases are manifestations of severe pneumonia, even respiratory failure and failure has increased.

            Cases have been identified as infected with clinical manifestations of influenza and tests positive for influenza A/H1N1 virus ... In this text, the Ministry of Health treatment guidelines for the slow response or resistance to drug Tamiflu, because the last time, Vietnam has a number of slow response patients with drugs of this specification.

            According to Ministry of Health, the patient is in hospital after the 3-day fever, clinical status is stable, testing A/H1N1 influenza virus on the fourth negative. In the case of the test on the fourth is still positive, the test again on Friday.

            Cases of patients infected with influenza A/H1N1 death shroud must be as prescribed preventive, must khử micro-organism with the micro-organism and khử. Move the corpse to burial or cremation with private vehicles, ensuring regulations and infection. Carcass must be buried away or cremation within 24 hours.

            Flu but have no clinical symptoms

            4-8 pm, Dr. Nguyen Duc Cong, Director of Hospital Thong Nhat (HCMC), confirmation has 9 doctors, nurses Hospital Thong Nhat positive for influenza A/H1N1. In particular, 4 doctors get flu from the outside community, and 5 nurses, nursing influenza A/H1N1 infected by close contact with patients being treated isolation flu here. The flu cases has no clinical symptoms.

            In addition, in the isolation of the Thong Nhat Hospital are 4 patients infected with influenza A/H1N1 treatment. "Health of the patients infected with influenza A/H1N1 here are stable, the suspect has spread process, so no worries" - the Doctor said.

            The same day, hospital treatment for influenza A/H1N1 in private secondary schools Nguyen Extension (Ward 13, Tan Binh, HCMC) was clearance.

            Comment


            • #96
              Tamiflu resistance in pandemic influenza - historical compilation of news

              Tamiflu Resistant Flu Cases Found



              # 3581


              Without providing much in the way of details, tonight officials at PAHO (Pan-American Health Organization) have announced the discovery of some small number of Tamiflu (oseltamivir) resistant swine flu cases near the Mexican border.

              First the press report, and then some commentary.

              UPDATE: Tamiflu-Resistant Swine Flu Found Near US-Mexico Border (Roche AG)
              (Updates with details, background)

              LA JOLLA, Calif. (AFP)--A strain of swine flu that is resistant to treatment with the drug Tamiflu has been discovered near the U.S.-Mexico border, the Pan-American Health Organization said on Monday.

              "We have found resistance to Tamiflu on the border. We have observed some cases, few to be sure, in El Paso and close to McAllen, Texas," said Maria Teresa Cerqueira, head of the local PAHO office.

              (Continue . . . )
              A certain amount of `spontaneous? resistance to Tamiflu, according to Roche laboratories, is to be expected. They estimate that happens about .5% of the time, or about 1 in every 200 people that take the drug.

              Up until now, only a handful of cases have been reported around the world, and no ongoing transmission of a resistant strain has been detected.

              The great concern is that this novel H1N1 virus will acquire the same level of resistance to Tamiflu that seasonal H1N1 has over the past year. That would effectively eliminate our massive stockpiles of antivirals as a weapon against this pandemic and could drive the CFR (case fatality ratio) higher.

              Right now, we have scant information available.

              Until we know how many cases have been found, and whether there appears to be ongoing transmission of this strain, it is hard to gauge the seriousness of this report.

              It is worrisome, however.

              No doubt, officials at the CDC and the WHO will be watching this story closely, as shall we.

              Comment


              • #97
                Re: Denmark Tamiflu Resistant Sequence Released

                The two companion sequences were collected Jun 4 (11F and 24M). The patient (21F) with resistance developed symptoms 5 days after the start of prophylactic Tamifu. The sample from her was collected 5 days after (Jun 9) the companion samples.

                Comment


                • #98
                  Re: Denmark Tamiflu Resistant Sequence Released

                  With the tamiflu resistance now becoming evident in swine flu, would it be better to keep relenza on hand rather than tamiflu? (in terms of which is more likely to remain effective around October)

                  Comment


                  • #99
                    Re: Denmark Tamiflu Resistant Sequence Released

                    Originally posted by Zac View Post
                    With the tamiflu resistance now becoming evident in swine flu, would it be better to keep relenza on hand rather than tamiflu? (in terms of which is more likely to remain effective around October)
                    Both would be best (Relenza resistance may also be silently circulating and may appear as Relenza use increases).

                    Comment


                    • Re: Tamiflu-resistant swine flu found on US-Mexico border

                      Health official clarifies 'swine flu' remarks regarding El Paso

                      Posted:<SCRIPT language=JavaScript>var wn_last_ed_date = getLEDate("Aug4, 2009 7:37 PM EST"); document.write(wn_last_ed_date);</SCRIPT> Aug 4, 2009 07:37 PM EDT
                      Updated:<SCRIPT language=JavaScript>var wn_last_ed_date = getLEDate("Aug4, 2009 8:42 PM EST"); document.write(wn_last_ed_date);</SCRIPT> Aug 4, 2009 08:42 PM EDT
                      By ABC-7 Reporter Darren Hunt
                      EL PASO -- A Pan-American Health Organization official was quoted during a seminar in California Monday as saying there have been Tamiflu-resistant cases of the H1N1 virus in El Paso.
                      Tuesday that same official, Border Chief Maria Cerqueira, was pressed by ABC-7 and she clarified her remarks. She said tougher strains of the Swine Flu virus are a concern but there have been no documented cases in El Paso or anywhere else along the border.
                      "There are lots of questions about vaccines, about the actual virus," said Cerqueira. "There's things we really don't know because it's so new, there is very little evidence and there's also very limited resources to research everything."
                      Officials with Cerqueira's organization responded via a statement. They said their border chief's comments, which were publicized in an article in the Armed Forces Press, were "inadvertent."
                      In the article, Cerqueira said, "We have found resistance to Tamiflu on the border. We have observed some cases, few to be sure, in El Paso and close to McAllen, Texas."
                      The article went on to state the resistant strains were likely emerging because of the overuse of Tamiflu along the border with Mexico. "In the United States, Tamiflu is sold with a prescription, but in Mexico and Canada it is sold freely and taken at the first sneeze. Then, when it is really needed, it doesn't work," Cerqueira added.
                      She went on to say the best way to avoid the possibility of getting a Tamiflu-resistant version of the virus is to avoid self-medicating with the drug.
                      A spokeswoman for the City Health Department said there have been no such documented cases but added there no labs in the Borderland to test for anti-viral resistance.

                      Comment


                      • Re: PAHO rejects report of resistant H1N1 cases on US-Mexico border

                        Drug resistant swine flu hits Texas; local schools preparing for outbreaks

                        SAN ANTONIO - One of the best current defenses against the swine flu is showing vulnerability.

                        MSNBC is reporting that six people have the virus that is resistant to Tamiflu just 220 miles away from San Antonio in McAllen, as well as other border towns like El Paso.

                        We called local health experts, and they say there is no need to be alarmed. These cases likely popped up because people are overusing the antiviral medication. A resistance can develop when people take it without any symptoms. So don't take it as a precaution. Only take it when it is needed.

                        When the swine flu outbreak first began in April, we saw a lot of people wearing surgical masks, yet there was no proof the masks offered any protection. But a new study found surgical masks and hand washing decrease your chances of getting the flu.

                        School districts all across our area are putting together swine flu plans. The best part of any plan is communication. The Center for Disease Control now has a monitoring system where you can report swine flu cases in schools. So if you know about an H1N1-related school or school district dismissal, the CDC would like you to fill out this online report?

                        http://www.woai.com/content/news/bac...OPDWdI1xQ.cspx

                        Comment


                        • Re: PAHO rejects report of resistant H1N1 cases on US-Mexico border

                          Originally posted by Snicklefritz View Post
                          Does this imply that CDC does not trust local officials to report 'accurately'?
                          This means that the CDC has NO real mechanism to monitor schools, which they admitted last year when I asked about school outbreaks during a conference call on Tamiflu resistance.

                          Comment


                          • Re: PAHO rejects report of resistant H1N1 cases on US-Mexico border

                            Originally posted by AlaskaDenise View Post
                            Is that the same number they pulled out when resistant H5N1 1st showed up in Egypt?

                            .
                            The number is based on resistance years ago (primarily in H3N2) in children in Japan who were given sub-optimal levels of Tamiflu. The number of recent (since 2006) H3N2 sequences with Tamiflu resistance is ZERO and the vast majority of H1N1 cases with H274Y were NOT treated with Tamiflu.

                            Comment


                            • Re: EM - Tamiflu resistance puzzle

                              my summary: H275Y(6) linked to P453S(1) ?
                              ---------------------------------

                              can't they show the sequences, so we can decide whether it may
                              be random ? they may have developed simultaneously.
                              Strange that revere doesn't even consider this possibility.
                              They had been advocating free access, free science.

                              no such link in **, the 3 Danish sequences from today
                              don't show connections


                              there are only few oldflu-H1N1 sequences where PB2 and NA are available.
                              In 2007 we had 308 complete H1N1 genomes, only 29 since then.
                              Why ? Doesn't this post show, that it's important ? More important now than
                              it was in 2007
                              I'm interested in expert panflu damage estimates
                              my current links: http://bit.ly/hFI7H ILI-charts: http://bit.ly/CcRgT

                              Comment


                              • Re: Tamiflu-resistant swine flu found on US-Mexico border

                                Originally posted by niman View Post
                                PAHO rejects report of resistant H1N1 cases on US-Mexico border


                                Cerqueira said she repeated several times that she had no information on any antiviral-resistant cases in the border area. "It is an unfortunate misinterpretation that needs to be clarified," she wrote.

                                She wrote that she has heard about two antiviral-resistant cases from a physician in Colombia, but that the source did not say they were near the US-Mexico border.


                                http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/con...esistance.html
                                These comments are still not adding up. There are confirmed H1N1 cases at multiple locations along the Texas / Mexico border, including deaths at multiple locations (see map)



                                and cross traffic with Mexico would include Arizona and California, where there are also multiple locations with confirmed cases and deaths on both sides of tborder, so the singling out of two locations in Texas of areas of increased concnern, without reports of Tamiflu resistance, makes little sense. Moreover, the description of the two cases specifically mentions diagnositic resistance, and the presence of H274Y is frequently considered diagnostic for resistance when samples are not formally tested for resistance. At Genbank, sequences with H274Y are labeled with and astrisk with the following warning

                                * This sequence has the H274Y mutation that might confer resistance to Oseltamivir.

                                Since it is well known that N1 with H274Y confers resistance in the range of 300-1000 (takes 300 to 1000X the amount of Tamiflu to acheive the same level of inhibition seen in wild type), the presence of H274Y is considered "diagnostic" of resistance (which is confirmed when such samples are directly tested with multiple concentrations of Tamiflu).

                                Thus, the confusion may simply be PAHO clinging to the absence of formal testing as an excuse for stating there is "no data" on resistance becasue there has been no direct resistance testing (which is only done at a handful of locations world wide - the Tamiflu resistance in Egypt, indicated by another polymorphisms linked to resistance, S294N, was "confirmed" in Atlanta by the CDC, which showed that the S294N confered the same resistance (10-20 fold) previously reported for this genetic change in other isolates.

                                The subsequent reports of 6 cases of resistance suggest the original remarks of resistance on the Texas / Mexico story were accurate, current "rejection reports" notwithstanding.

                                Comment

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