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  • WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

    WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

    Maggie Fox, Reuters Published: Friday, August 28, 2009



    WASHINGTON - Doctors are reporting a severe form of swine flu that goes straight to the lungs, causing severe illness in otherwise healthy young people and requiring expensive hospital treatment, the World Health Organization said on Friday.

    Some countries are reporting that as many as 15 per cent of patients infected with the new H1N1 pandemic virus need hospital care, further straining already overburdened health care systems, WHO said in an update on the pandemic.

    "During the winter season in the southern hemisphere, several countries have viewed the need for intensive care as the greatest burden on health services," it said.

    "Preparedness measures need to anticipate this increased demand on intensive care units, which could be overwhelmed by a sudden surge in the number of severe cases."

    Earlier, WHO reported that H1N1 had reached epidemic levels in Japan, signaling an early start to what may be a long influenza season this year, and that it was also worsening in tropical regions.

    "Perhaps most significantly, clinicians from around the world are reporting a very severe form of disease, also in young and otherwise healthy people, which is rarely seen during seasonal influenza infections," WHO said.

    "In these patients, the virus directly infects the lung, causing severe respiratory failure. Saving these lives depends on highly specialized and demanding care in intensive care units, usually with long and costly stays."

    Minority groups and indigenous populations may also have a higher risk of being severely ill with H1N1.

    "In some studies, the risk in these groups is four to five times higher than in the general population," WHO said.

    "Although the reasons are not fully understood, possible explanations include lower standards of living and poor overall health status, including a high prevalence of conditions such as asthma, diabetes and hypertension."

    WHO said it was advising countries in the Northern Hemisphere to prepare for a second wave of pandemic spread. "Countries with tropical climates, where the pandemic virus arrived later than elsewhere, also need to prepare for an increasing number of cases," it said.

    Every year, seasonal flu infects between 5 per cent and 20 per cent of a given population and kills between 250,000 and 500,000 people globally. Because hardly anyone has immunity to the new H1N1 virus, experts believe it will infect far more people than usual, as much as a third of the population.

    It also disproportionately affects younger people, unlike seasonal flu which mainly burdens the elderly, and thus may cause more severe illness and deaths among young adults and children than seasonal flu does.

    "Data continue to show that certain medical conditions increase the risk of severe and fatal illness. These include respiratory disease, notably asthma, cardiovascular disease, diabetes and immunosuppression," WHO said.

    Read latest breaking news, updates, and headlines. Calgary Herald offers information on latest national and international events & more.

  • #2
    Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

    WHO warns of severe form of swine flu




    28/08/2009 17:55

    <!-- slug: OUKWD-UK-FLU-PANDEMIC -->By Maggie Fox, Health and Science Editor
    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Doctors are reporting a severe form of swine flu that goes straight to the lungs, causing severe illness in otherwise healthy young people and requiring expensive hospital treatment, the World Health Organisation said on Friday.
    Some countries are reporting that as many as 15 percent of patients infected with the new H1N1 pandemic virus need hospital care, further straining already overburdened healthcare systems, WHO said in an update on the pandemic.
    "During the winter season in the southern hemisphere, several countries have viewed the need for intensive care as the greatest burden on health services," it said.
    "Preparedness measures need to anticipate this increased demand on intensive care units, which could be overwhelmed by a sudden surge in the number of severe cases."

    <!-- to be inserted after first few blocks of content --><NOSCRIPT></NOSCRIPT>



    Earlier, WHO reported that H1N1 had reached epidemic levels in Japan, signalling an early start to what may be a long influenza season this year, and that it was also worsening in tropical regions.

    "Perhaps most significantly, clinicians from around the world are reporting a very severe form of disease, also in young and otherwise healthy people, which is rarely seen during seasonal influenza infections," WHO said.
    "In these patients, the virus directly infects the lung, causing severe respiratory failure. Saving these lives depends on highly specialized and demanding care in intensive care units, usually with long and costly stays."
    MINORITIES AT RISK
    Minority groups and indigenous populations may also have a higher risk of being severely ill with H1N1.
    "In some studies, the risk in these groups is four to five times higher than in the general population," WHO said.
    "Although the reasons are not fully understood, possible explanations include lower standards of living and poor overall health status, including a high prevalence of conditions such as asthma, diabetes and hypertension."
    WHO said it was advising countries in the Northern Hemisphere to prepare for a second wave of pandemic spread. "Countries with tropical climates, where the pandemic virus arrived later than elsewhere, also need to prepare for an increasing number of cases," it said.
    Every year, seasonal flu infects between 5 percent and 20 percent of a given population and kills between 250,000 and 500,000 people globally. Because hardly anyone has immunity to the new H1N1 virus, experts believe it will infect far more people than usual, as much as a third of the population.
    It also disproportionately affects younger people, unlike seasonal flu which mainly burdens the elderly, and thus may cause more severe illness and deaths among young adults and children than seasonal flu does.
    "Data continue to show that certain medical conditions increase the risk of severe and fatal illness. These include respiratory disease, notably asthma, cardiovascular disease, diabetes and immunosuppression," WHO said."When anticipating the impact of the pandemic as more people become infected, health officials need to be aware that many of these predisposing conditions have become much more widespread in recent decades, thus increasing the pool of vulnerable people."


    WHO estimates that more than 230 million people globally have asthma, and more than 220 million have diabetes. Obesity may also worsen the risk of severe infection, WHO said.
    The good news -- people infected with AIDS virus do not seem to be at special risk from H1N1, WHO said.http://www.tiscali.co.uk/news/newswi...e-reuters.html
    CSI:WORLD http://swineflumagazine.blogspot.com/

    treyfish2004@yahoo.com

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

      The reporter got one fact wrong from the WHO statement http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...d.php?t=123130 The statement says that up to 15 percent of those hospitalized need intensive care, not that 15 percent of those infected need to be hospitalized.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

        I posted this yesterday, from India:

        excerpt:
        The current H1N1 death rate in the country is 2.21%.
        So far, 25 people have died of swine flu in Pune, seven each in Mumbaiand Nashik, two each in Thane and Latur, and one each in Aurangabad, Dhule, Jalna and Beed.
        An analysis of 30 fatal cases randomly picked from Pune and Mumbai has revealed that most of the patients died of cough and pneumonitis (inflammation in lungs), which had set in because they reported late for treatment. Health officials feel this may be the cause for deaths in other cities too.
        According to Dr RK Srivastawa, director general of health services, the 30 deaths analysed in Maharashtra fell under category 'C', which means the patients showed typical swine flu symptoms -- breathlessness, drowsiness, chest pain, coughing up blood, low blood pressure and bluish nails.
        Srivastawa said most of these patients had reported five days after having caught the infection. "Had they reported to a designated government health centre in time, their lives could have been saved," he said.
        In all these cases, pneumonitis had set in and the patients' lungs had lower breathing
        capacity by the time they reported at H1N1 centres.
        "Most of them had first gone to private hospitals or doctors, who could not detect the problem in time. When their condition worsened, they came to government hospitals," Srivastawa said.
        http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...41&postcount=3

        NEW DELHI: The Centre late on Friday night issued revised guidelines for treatment of A(H1N1) influenza patients in the wake of a large number of people turning up at the hospitals for testing.

        All individuals seeking consultations for flu-like symptoms should now be screened at healthcare facilities, both government and private, or examined by a doctor.

        The patients have been categorised as follows:

        Category A: Patients with mild fever plus cough/sore throat with or without body ache, headache, diarrhoea and vomiting. They do not require Oseltamivir and should be treated for the symptoms mentioned above. The patients should be monitored for their progress and reassessed after 24 to 48 hours by the doctor. No testing of the patient for H1N1 is required. Patients should confine themselves at home and avoid mixing with the public and high risk members in the family.

        Category B: (i) In addition to all the signs and symptoms of Category A, if the patient has high grade fever and severe sore throat, he/she may require home isolation and Oseltamivir; (ii) In addition to all the signs and symptoms of Category A, individuals having one or more of the following high risk conditions shall be treated with Oseltamivir: children under five, pregnant women, those above 65 years, those with lung diseases, heart disease, liver disease, kidney disease, blood disorders, diabetes, neurological disorders, cancer and HIV/AIDS; Patients on long term cortisone therapy. No H1N1 tests are required for Category-B (i) and (ii). Such patients should confine themselves at home and avoid mixing with the public and high-risk members in the family.

        Category C: In addition to the symptoms of Categories A and B, if the patient has one or more of the following: breathlessness, chest pain, drowsiness, fall in blood pressure, sputum mixed with blood, bluish discolouration of nails; irritability among small children, refusal to accept feed; worsening of underlying chronic conditions. Such patients require testing, immediate hospitalisation and treatment.

        The guidelines were finalised after a five-hour meeting chaired by Health and Family Welfare Minister Ghulam Nabi Azad.
        These norms will be reviewed and revised from time to time as per the need and on the basis of spread of the disease.

        The meeting was attended by officials of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Directorate-General of Health Services, and representatives and experts of private and public hospitals. During the meeting, various guidelines and protocols developed by the World Health Organisation, Geneva, the Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Atlanta, United States, and the National Health Service, United Kingdom, were also discussed.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

          I moved to this forum for emphasis.

          Thanks everyone!

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

            Originally posted by Chuck View Post
            The reporter got one fact wrong from the WHO statement http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/sho...d.php?t=123130 The statement says that up to 15 percent of those hospitalized need intensive care, not that 15 percent of those infected need to be hospitalized.
            We can stil extract the supposed main message:

            #1: "a severe form of swine flu that goes straight to the lungs"

            If the real overall infected numbers are not the supposed milions, but much lower, than the critical severe percent could rise more ...

            Who can said that further the critical numbers will remain <1&#37;, not maybe <2% or more?

            #1:
            "WASHINGTON - Doctors are reporting a severe form of swine flu that goes straight to the lungs, causing severe illness in otherwise healthy young people and requiring expensive hospital treatment, the World Health Organization said on Friday.

            Some countries are reporting that as many as 15 per cent of patients infected with the new H1N1 pandemic virus need hospital care, further straining already overburdened health care systems, WHO said in an update on the pandemic."
            __________

            P.S. #4:... India assesment ...

            This assesment seems what is need to be aired elsewhere also, instead of somewhere relying on the "seasonal like" f. tale.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

              Thanks Chuck for catching that.

              So it this severe form a "significant" genetic change in the virus?

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                Originally posted by Florida1 View Post
                Thanks Chuck for catching that.

                So it this severe form a "significant" genetic change in the virus?
                I think that it just calls attention to the primary viral pneumonia and resulting ARDS that can occur after infection with 2009 H1N1. We have heard of these cases throughout the spring and summer, rapidly fatal cases, cases requiring intensive care, and cases requiring mechanical ventilation.

                Nothing new, just in the news.
                Separate the wheat from the chaff

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                  It seems that you prefer to read only an excerpt from WHO update instead the full lenght text.

                  The ''overwhelming'' majority of cases were mild or self-limiting.

                  Very few cases required intensive care, and WHO - with its attitude toward not hurting national sentiments - avoid to point out the different social and economic status of various population around the world, to date experienced pandemic flu.

                  A ''severe influenza'' epidemic may be looming, but what are saying to us the Japanese reports about flu? Chile is experiencing a steep reduction in both ILI activity and fatalities.

                  If media outlets continue to excerpt only things able to gain public attention, we also should emphasis that a number of reports to date point toward a less severe scenario.

                  Of course - if we are able to trust only 1% of the most recent paper in Sci Library from both US CDC and EU Eurosurveillance.

                  It is disconcerting once more to read about sensationalim instead to facts.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                    The headline ''WHO warns about more severe form of swine flu'' is completely misleading - and denotes a bad attitude toward falsity.

                    We are seeing widespread activity in a certain number of nations and regions; one of the most striking of these scenarios, is probably Hong Kong: with a population of 7 millions, around 10,000 people have been confirmed as infected by H1N1 2009; of these, four have died and a proportion variable of ten people per day is staying in ICUs. Strikingly, some deaths were confirmed as caused by H3N2 seasonal strain.

                    Other nations, New Zealand, for example, in full winter outbreaks have experienced a lower-than-expected attack rate: around 10% of population developed ILI, most without need to seek medical care.

                    An amount of data are available even here on FT: statistics, projections, epi-curves, incidences per age classes, ethnicity etc.

                    No comments by users are available for these data.

                    Instead, it was preferred a bad media outlets journalism.

                    I am again disconcerted for this.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                      Originally posted by Florida1 View Post
                      Thanks Chuck for catching that.

                      So it this severe form a "significant" genetic change in the virus?
                      Excerpt for excerpt:

                      H1N1 now the dominant virus strain

                      Evidence from multiple outbreak sites demonstrates that the H1N1 pandemic virus has rapidly established itself and is now the dominant influenza strain in most parts of the world. The pandemic will persist in the coming months as the virus continues to move through susceptible populations.

                      Close monitoring of viruses by a WHO network of laboratories shows that viruses from all outbreaks remain virtually identical. Studies have detected no signs that the virus has mutated to a more virulent or lethal form.
                      Likewise, the clinical picture of pandemic influenza is largely consistent across all countries. The overwhelming majority of patients continue to experience mild illness. Although the virus can cause very severe and fatal illness, also in young and healthy people, the number of such cases remains small.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                        Ironorehopper,

                        Primo, the stain you are right seems to be stable at this moment.

                        Secondo, there are still 100 times more people who need helps from ventilators from this H1N1 than the seasonnial flu.

                        cf:

                        In French La mortalit? directe du H1N1 serait cent fois celle de la grippe saisonni?re

                        In english I made the best translation I could at
                        The direct mortality of H1N1 by ARDS would be one hundred times more than seasonnial flu

                        If you want I will translated it in Italian but you are better than me.

                        Michaelo

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                          "Although the virus can cause very severe and fatal illness, also in young and healthy people, the number of such cases remains small".

                          Very true.

                          My understanding is that the reason for the article is to emphasize that this presentation of severe, acute viral pneumonia is more common among those infected with 2009 H1N1 and affects a younger age group than is seen among those infected during outbreaks of seasonal influenza.

                          I read it as stating a difference in the presentations, not as trying to sow panic. The larger implications for increased demand of intensive care services and need for ventilators during this outbreak is worth considering.
                          Separate the wheat from the chaff

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                            Originally posted by Snowy Owl View Post
                            Ironorehopper,

                            Primo, the stain you are right seems to be stable at this moment.

                            Secondo, there are still 100 times more people who need helps from ventilators from this H1N1 than the seasonnial flu.

                            cf:

                            In French La mortalit? directe du H1N1 serait cent fois celle de la grippe saisonni?re

                            In english I made the best translation I could at
                            The direct mortality of H1N1 by ARDS would be one hundred times more than seasonnial flu

                            If you want I will translated it in Italian but you are better than me.

                            Michaelo
                            Yes, Snowy, you are right.

                            I read Le Monde article, a very good one, with plentiful of informations said in a simple, readable manner.

                            But we have to see the actual experiences: are New Zealand, Australia, Chile and Argentina experiencing an excess motality because of pandemic flu?

                            It is not a question of small importance: the amount of avoidable deaths (excess mortality) is a paramount indicator for a novel pathogen (or another kind of public health / environmental threat) danger and severity.

                            We have to see this indicator.

                            It is an ex-post analysis, possible after the end of acute phase of an epidemic.

                            So Southern Hemisphere experiences are important: if after all Chile, Argentina and New Zealand experienced an overall number of fatalities during the ten weeks of national epidemics not above the expected, then we can conclude that the risks are presents but not impossible to manage.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: WHO warns of severe form of swine flu

                              then we can conclude that the risks are presents but not impossible to manage, si Ironorehopper.

                              Will you translate Le Monde article because it will take me two hours for my Ital friends and nears ones, please.

                              Snowy

                              Comment

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