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Check out the recent spike in Federal Region IV. Maybe I don't understand the data set very well, but this doesn't seem to agree with the Region IV ILI trend in the latest FluView report. Am I missing something?
Gsgs or Missouriwatcher - any thoughts?
"I know God will not give me anything I can't handle. I just wish that He didn't trust me so much." - Mother Teresa of Calcutta
Fluview seems to be a week behind Distribute's data. Region 1 and 3 are also up. So if trend continues, expect to see rises in Regions 1, 3 and 4 it next week's Fluview. Also, Distribute will update their main page tomorrow. This should reflect the upward trends of the Regions, whatever up means any more.
In the attached file, the tables with the data of the 122 cities total and P&I mortality in the last 12 months and in the last 31 weeks, compared with previous years.
Elderly' s mortality is the lowest with 6000 to 29000 less deaths in 12 months.
Since 122 cities are about 1/4 of the population of USA, these numbers must be multiplied by 4.
On the contrary, P&I mortality is high if compared to previous years, similar to 2007/08 ( a year with 13000 more deaths in the elderly) and with 2000 P&I less deaths compared to 2003/04 and 2004/05 ( but with 23000-29000 more deaths in the elderly).
Certainly it was a good year for the elderly, becouse seasonal influenza disappeared and they were spared by pandemic influenza.
But the void they left was filled by other age groups.
Due to the difficultly with testing for H1N1 it can be useful to look at surrogate markers. S. pneumoniae often complicates H1N1 infection as the virus can make the lungs more susceptible to this bacterial infection. The below CDC chart shows 2010 cases of invasive S. pneumoniae at 6757 compared to 1679 for this period in 2009.
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