Originally posted by sharon sanders
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September 11, 2024
NIAID director on bird flu case in Missouri
- Source: recording
- Attribution: meeting of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Advisory Council
- Date: aired September 9, 2024
Jeanne Marrazzo, NIAID [00:28:31]
We heard that there was another case of H5N1 in Missouri.
I’m actually quite nervous about that case. I think that, from what we know, as you probably heard in the news, this case had no known link to exposure to H5N1.
It was a person with underlying predisposition to pulmonary infection, but no contact to anything that could remotely be linked back to a likelihood of H5N1 exposure.
The CDC, I was on a call this morning, is continuing to try to sequence the relative relevant parts of what they got.
Unfortunately, the CT value for the isolate that was retrieved was 38. So they’re really not gonna be able to probably assemble very much of the genome.
That said, it’s almost certainly consistent with the bovine strain. So it is not a mistake it’s real.
And you know, there are no herds infected with H5N1 in Missouri, which further contributes I think to the mystery.
…
Jeanne Marrazzo, NIAID [00:29:58]
It’ll be interesting to see now that birds are migrating back from the Arctic, what their situation is.
It looks like the mortality rate in migrating birds has probably leveled off a bit, which gives us some hope.
I think that they’re not gonna be perhaps as contagious, perhaps, we don’t really know, maybe that’ll decrease the likelihood of a spill over event. We really don’t know.
…
Jeanne Marrazzo, NIAID [00:45:40]
I can tell you the H5N1, I do have more details, some I can’t share, but I will say that if there was suspicion of human to human transmission, the threat level would be elevated considerably.
So there is at this time, no evidence to suggest human to human transmission.
But that is of course our worst fear, because once you go there, then obviously all bets are off.
We heard that there was another case of H5N1 in Missouri.
I’m actually quite nervous about that case. I think that, from what we know, as you probably heard in the news, this case had no known link to exposure to H5N1.
It was a person with underlying predisposition to pulmonary infection, but no contact to anything that could remotely be linked back to a likelihood of H5N1 exposure.
The CDC, I was on a call this morning, is continuing to try to sequence the relative relevant parts of what they got.
Unfortunately, the CT value for the isolate that was retrieved was 38. So they’re really not gonna be able to probably assemble very much of the genome.
That said, it’s almost certainly consistent with the bovine strain. So it is not a mistake it’s real.
And you know, there are no herds infected with H5N1 in Missouri, which further contributes I think to the mystery.
…
Jeanne Marrazzo, NIAID [00:29:58]
It’ll be interesting to see now that birds are migrating back from the Arctic, what their situation is.
It looks like the mortality rate in migrating birds has probably leveled off a bit, which gives us some hope.
I think that they’re not gonna be perhaps as contagious, perhaps, we don’t really know, maybe that’ll decrease the likelihood of a spill over event. We really don’t know.
…
Jeanne Marrazzo, NIAID [00:45:40]
I can tell you the H5N1, I do have more details, some I can’t share, but I will say that if there was suspicion of human to human transmission, the threat level would be elevated considerably.
So there is at this time, no evidence to suggest human to human transmission.
But that is of course our worst fear, because once you go there, then obviously all bets are off.
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